MLB Player Props for Monday, 6/29: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect from Nick Lodolo, Ryan Johnson, and George Kirby Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Monday, June 29, 2026. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Happy Monday! Major League Baseball has 13 games on tap to begin the new week, with first pitch scheduled for 6:35 PM ET. As always, it’s important to keep an eye on the MLB weather report before committing to any wagers. There is a heat advisory on the East Coast and in the Midwest for the early portion of this week, which is a significant boost for hitters in those environments.
Below, you can find three of my favorite picks for Monday, June 29th!
Best MLB Player Props for Monday, June 29th
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:35 PM ET on Monday, June 29th:
- Nick Lodolo Over/Under 15.5 Outs Recorded
- Ryan Johnson Over/Under 14.5 Outs Recorded
- George Kirby Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts
Nick Lodolo OVER 15.5 Outs Recorded (-120, BetMGM)
BETMGMLodolo exited his most recent outing after only 4 innings of work because he was hit by a comebacker. Prior to that start, however, Lodolo had faced 24+ batters in 6 consecutive starts. Thus, his leash is rather long, and he should have a similar opportunity to get deep into tonight’s game after Cincinnati heavily used their arm barn over the weekend.
In Lodolo’s career, he owns a 3.71 FIP and 1.01 WHIP on the road, compared to a 4.58 FIP and 1.45 WHIP at home. Tonight, he will get to face a Milwaukee offense that ranks only 19th in wRC+ against LHP during the last 14 days. If he’s even somewhat effective, he should have a chance to record at least one out in the 6th inning.
Ryan Johnson OVER 14.5 Outs Recorded (-143, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSSince being recalled from the minor leagues, Johnson has been throwing a lot more sweepers against righties and more sinkers against lefties. The early returns have been good, posting back-to-back starts with an 11% SwStr% or better. The primary concern with Johnson is simply that he doesn’t throw enough strikes. Still, the Mariners have been one of the league’s least productive offenses against RHP in recent weeks. The Angels’ arm barn isn’t in great shape heading into the new week either, which could further incentivize the team to give Johnson every chance to get through 5 frames.
George Kirby UNDER 6.5 Strikeouts (+100, Novig)
Kirby draws a very favorable matchup for strikeouts against the Angels, but the line has already adjusted for that. Kirby has managed 7+ strikeouts in only 2 of his 16 starts this season, and he hasn’t posted better than a 13.6% SwStr% in any start.
The Angels chase a lot of bad pitches out of the zone, which often contributes to their high strikeout totals. While Kirby is certainly capable of generating swings at pitches out of the zone, he’s also someone who pounds the zone at a high rate, which could lead to fewer deep counts and fewer strikeout opportunities. At even money, there is value on the under, even if it’s a tough bet to make psychologically.
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