MLB Player Props for Friday, 5/2: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Friday from Steven Kwan, Logan Allen, and Framber Valdez? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Friday, May 2nd. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
The MLB has an exciting 15-game slate on tap to begin the weekend, with all 30 teams scheduled to be in action. Even more fun, all 15 games are scheduled for a first pitch of 6:10 PM ET or later, giving the betting community plenty of time to get their research done and find a few plays to their liking before the action gets underway.
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat, or unlucky, if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Friday, May 2nd!
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Best MLB Player Props for Friday, May 2nd
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:10 PM ET on Friday, May 2nd:
- Steven Kwan Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Logan Allen Over/Under 15.5 Outs Recorded
- Framber Valdez Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
Steven Kwan OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145, bet365)
In 17 games from April 10th to April 28th, Kwan recorded at least 1 hit in 16 of the games, with the lone outlier coming on a hitless April 16th day against the Orioles. That makes it all the more incomprehensible that the contact-oriented Kwan has somehow managed to go hitless in each of his last 3 games entering play tonight.
The good news is that Kwan has a solid matchup, as he looks to break out of his mini slump. Chris Bassitt has been significantly worse against lefties in every season since 2019. The early returns in 2025 have been better, but Bassitt’s pitch mix and pitch shapes remain relatively consistent with where they were in 2024, when he struggled mightily across the platoon. Kwan is well-positioned to have a productive day at the plate.
Logan Allen UNDER 15.5 Outs Recorded (-115, bet365)
On the surface, this isn’t the most difficult matchup for Allen. Toronto’s offense has sputtered against southpaws of late, ranking 22nd in wRC+ since April 18th. That being said, the 30-day numbers for the Blue Jays offense against LHP have them ranked 9th in wRC+, indicating that there is at least some hope that they are more talented than their recent body of work.
Allen is a low-strikeout lefty who has subpar command—a combination that leads to longer at-bats and frequent inefficiencies on the bump. Cleveland’s arm barn isn’t in the best shape behind Allen, but manager Steven Vogt might have no choice but to get someone else into the game in the 6th inning if Allen continues to struggle to get quick outs.
Framber Valdez OVER 17.5 Outs Recorded (-200, DraftKings)
No matter how a person slices the data, the White Sox are undeniably one of the league’s worst offenses against LHP. Across the last 30 days, only 4 teams rank worse than the White Sox in wRC+ against southpaws. Valdez has been extremely efficient of late, averaging 3.7 pitches per batter faced across his last 29 innings of work. He should have little trouble recording 18 outs this evening.
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