MLB Player Props for Monday, 8/11: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Corey Seager, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Nick Kurtz? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Monday, August 11th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Happy Monday! There are 11 MLB games on tap to begin the new week, beginning at 6:10 p.m. ET with the Phillies and Reds. There are a number of notable pitchers scheduled to be on the bump as well, including AL Cy Young contenders Nathan Eovaldi and Garrett Crochet, which should lead to entertaining evening of baseball.
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat, or unlucky, if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Monday, August 11th!
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Best MLB Player Props for Monday, August 11
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:10 PM ET on Monday, August 11th:
- Corey Seager Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over/Under 17.5 Outs Recorded
- Nick Kurtz Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Corey Seager OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145, BetMGM)
BETMGMSeager is having another fantastic season against right-handed pitching, hitting .268 with a 133 wRC+. Tonight, he gets a great matchup against Ryne Nelson, who really struggles to miss bats against left-handed hitters. Nelson had an 18.5% strikeout rate across the platoon in 2024 and enters play on Monday at 18.1% in 2025. Seager should be able to put at least a couple of balls in play. Hitting in the 2-hole, he is positioned to either drive in a run or get driven home, giving this bet a good chance to cash.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto OVER 17.5 Outs Recorded (-155, BetMGM)
BETMGMYamamoto doesn’t consistently get through the 6th inning of his starts, but there are a few reasons to think that manager Dave Roberts could give him a little bit of a longer leash this evening. Yamamoto hasn’t pitched since August 3, meaning that he’s pitching on extremely extended rest. The Dodgers bullpen isn’t quite “taxed,” but neither is it particularly fresh. Alexander Vesia, Ben Casparius, Blake Treinen, Anthony Banda, and Justin Wrobleski each appeared yesterday – Casparius, Treinen, and Banda have each appeared 2 of the last 3 days overall. Jack Dreyer is the only southpaw out of the bullpen who didn’t appear yesterday, which also reduces the likelihood of Yamamoto being lifted to create a matchup advantage.
The Angels aren’t the most aggressive offense in baseball, but this isn’t an easy travel spot for them, traveling from Detroit to Los Angeles without a day off in between. Yamamoto should have an opportunity to get deep into this ballgame.
Nick Kurtz OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSRyan Pepiot is a fly-ball pitcher who will be pitching in a small, wind-sensitive minor league venue. One of the men who could potentially give Pepiot trouble is Kurtz, who enters play with a .351 batting average and 216 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. Kurtz has been on a tear since the All-Star Break, hitting 6 home runs and driving in 18 runs in only 21 games. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him continue to produce at a high level on Monday.
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