MLB Player Props Today: Freeman, Williamson, Plus a PrizePicks Prediction (July 17)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday from Freddie Freeman, Brandon Williamson, and Luis Matos? Follow along as our MLB betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets and DFS pick’em predictions for today – Monday, July 17, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more baseball props, at ScoresandOdds.
Happy Monday! This week’s MLB action will get underway with a 10-game slate, beginning with a matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Baltimore Orioles on the east coast at 7:05 p.m. EST. Three of tonight’s contests have a scheduled first pitch of 9:38 p.m. EST or later, offering the betting community plenty of time to find their way to the window to lock in a wager or two.
Not counting the All-Star Game, since May 1, we are 98-82-7 on non-Home Run props and 2-4 on Home Run recommendations. We are now 73-40-4 on pitcher prop recommendations for the season. There is plenty of opportunity once again on the player prop market today – below are three prop leans for July 17!
MLB Props Results – Wager Type
HITTER PROPS
Dinger Tuesday: 4-9-1
Hitter: 67-71-4
Stolen Base: 0-2
PITCHER PROPS
Hits Allowed: 2-1
Outs Recorded: 27-12
Strikeout: 47-26-3
MISCELLANEOUS PROPS
1st Inning: 0-4
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MLB Player Props Today
- Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases
- Brandon Williamson u4.5 Strikeouts
- Luis Matos less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+100), DraftKings
Prior to being demoted near the end of May, Grayson Rodriguez had an 8.60 FIP, 2.09 WHIP, and had allowed a .329 opponent batting average to left-handed hitters in 2023. Tonight, he will have to contend with Freddie Freeman, who is arguably the most talented left-handed hitter in all of baseball. Freeman enters play with a .319 batting average, .911 OPS, and a 147 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year. At even money, this is incredible value in the player prop market.
Brandon Williamson u4.5 Strikeouts (-152), FanDuel
Entering play on Monday, Brandon Williamson has eclipsed this market number in only four of his 10 turns through the rotation. He gets a deceptively difficult matchup tonight against the San Francisco Giants, which have the 7th-lowest strikeout percentage against southpaws since June 15. According to props.cash, none of the last five left-handed starting pitchers to have faced the Giants have hit the over on their strikeout prop. We will gladly take the under once again in this spot.
MLB DFS Pick’em
Luis Matos less than 0.5 Hitter Strikeouts, PrizePicks
Luis Matos has 27 plate appearances against left-handed pitching since being called up to the big leagues. He has struck out only once in that small sample size while posting a .381 batting average, .881 OPS, and a 159 wRC+. Brandon Williamson has struck out only 17.8% of the right-handed batters he has faced this season, while posting a 5.86 FIP and a 1.35 WHIP across the platoon. Trust Matos to put the ball in play each time he steps in the box tonight against Williamson. We will take our chances with Matos in the late innings against the Cincinnati Reds bullpen.
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