MLB Player Props for Thursday, 8/7: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday from Paul Skenes and Kyle Stowers? Follow along as our MLB betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite MLB prop bets for Thursday, August 7th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more MLB plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
There are only 2 evening games on tap for Thursday’s MLB slate, but fortunately for baseball fans, one of those games involves Paul Skenes on the bump! That means nobody will be short on entertainment, even with most of the league enjoying a scheduled day off today.
As always, be sure to monitor our MLB starting lineups page throughout the day, as unexpected changes in the batting order can result in value opportunities in the betting and DFS markets.
Another reminder – it’s not a bad beat, or unlucky, if you bet a player to hit a home run and his fly ball dies on the warning track because it’s 40 degrees with the wind blowing in! Before locking in any bets, use our MLB weather page, curated by Chief Meteorologist, Kevin Roth. There are countless edges to be found if we make the right reads on possible rain delays and great hitting weather, just to name a few. Taking a look at the weather report can save us from a bad bet that otherwise looks good on the surface.
Below, you can find my 3 picks for Thursday, August 7th!
Editor’s Note: Don’t live in a state with sports betting? Use our Underdog promo code & PrizePicks referral code GRINDERS for over $1,000 in sign-up bonuses for fantasy pick’em contests today.
Best MLB Player Props for Thursday, August 7
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM ET on Thursday, August 7th:
- Paul Skenes Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts
- Paul Skenes Over/Under 1.5 Walks Allowed
- Kyle Stowers Over/Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Paul Skenes UNDER 7.5 Strikeouts (-115, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSEntering play on Thursday, the Reds are near the league average in strikeout rate against RHP during the last 14 days. They have been chasing bad pitches less frequently than the league average offense and making contact in the zone at a nearly average rate. Their biggest issue has been making contact on pitches when they do chase out of the zone.
The good news for Cincinnati is that Skenes actually doesn’t generate a lot of swings at bad pitches – only 62nd percentile this year. Teams have also been increasingly aggressive against Skenes when they get pitches in the zone of late. If Cincinnati follows suit this evening, they could have a good chance to keep their strikeout numbers on the lower end.
Paul Skenes OVER 1.5 Walks Allowed (+115, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSThis isn’t the most analytical play of all time, but rather is a play on the eye test. Skenes has clearly been laboring in recent starts as he gets deeper into the contest. He hasn’t been walking many batters, but plenty of plate appearances have gone to 3 balls, which has contributed to his inefficient 4.1 pitches per batter faced during the last 30 days. Skenes has the added challenge of coming out of Coors Field on normal rest to pitch this evening. Players don’t recover as well in altitude as they do at normal levels of elevation. If there is any lingering fatigue or soreness for Skenes tonight, it could lead to an extra free pass or two against a Cincinnati offense that has walked at the 7th-highest rate against RHP during the last 14 days.
Kyle Stowers OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSStowers has been a menace against RHP in 2025, hitting .301 with a 169 wRC+. His biggest issues have been related to strikeouts, but that should be less of a concern this evening facing Carlos Carrasco, who has struck out only 15.5% of the left-handed hitters he’s faced this season. Stowers should be able to put a few balls in play in this matchup – hopefully his 98th-percentile barrel% or 91st-percentile hard-hit% allow him to accrue some counting stats.
Image Credit: Imagn