MLB PrizePicks Predictions Today: Top Plays for Tuesday, May 7th
Traditional MLB DFS formats aren’t the only way to profit from daily fantasy baseball. MLB PrizePicks is a great fantasy pick’em site where we can take today’s projections versus theirs and combine two or more baseball predictions for sizeable payouts.
In this space, we’ll explore a few PrizePicks plays for the upcoming MLB slate. This article isn’t the be-all, end-all of great plays or a recommendation for a full ticket; it’s simply a starting place for you to explore thinking about the game within the game. Maybe you want to scatter these plays across entries. Maybe there are only two or three you think are worth playing. Daily fantasy pick’em gives us the flexibility to make only the plays in which we think there is value rather than being forced to create a full lineup while competing against the best DFS players in the industry.
PrizePicks is daily fantasy baseball made simple, and our MLB PrizePicks tool makes the process even simpler.
All stats cited are since the start of the 2023 season unless otherwise noted.
If you haven’t signed up for a PrizePicks account, make sure to use the PrizePicks promo code ROTOBONUS and get a $100 deposit match.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions for Tuesday, May 7th
- Shota Imanaga MORE Than 4.5 Strikeouts
- Ross Stripling LESS Than 16.5 Outs
- Kyle Harrison MORE Than 15.5 Outs
- Pete Alonso MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Shota Imanaga MORE Than 4.5 Strikeouts
The wind is blowing out at Wrigley, Imanaga is a fly-ball pitcher, and these Padres have low K rates, but Imanaga only has 1.04 BB/9 and a 5.4% barrel rate allowed while manufacturing a 26.5% K rate on a 24.7% whiff rate. He should limit the damage to get him deep enough into the game to beat such a low PrizePicks projection, as he’s gone 7, 6.1, and 6 innings his last 3 starts and only needing 87, 88, and 92 pitches to get there. Projected for 91 pitches, 6 innings is incredibly doable, and therefore, so is 5+ Ks. We have Imanaga projected for 5 on the dot. It’s not a projection he should smash, but 4.5 is just too low.
Ross Stripling LESS Than 16.5 Outs
Stripling is really bad, and the Rangers are really good. Don’t overthink this misprojection from PrizePicks. Stripling isn’t striking anyone out and is getting away with a very high 82.7% contact rate. We should like the Rangers to knock him around and out of the game earlier than the 5th inning pretty often enough. Stripling at LESS than 16.5 outs is rated as the best play on the entire board in our MLB PrizePicks tool, as we project him for only 15.2 outs.
Kyle Harrison MORE Than 15.5 Outs
Harrison is a lefty against the Rockies. Sure, it’s Coors Field, where anything can happen by any offense against any pitcher at any time, but the Rockies’ active roster has a 69 wRC+ against LHP. This is like an average Triple-A team, and Harrison is a legitimately average MLB-caliber pitcher. We have Harrison projected for 16.5 outs, and his MORE than 15.5 outs is rated as our top MLB PrizePicks play after Stripling.
Pete Alonso MORE Than 1.5 Total Bases (DEMON)
Miles Mikolas is one of the highest-contact pitchers in all of baseball. Take away the strikeout risk for Alonso, and we’re talking about one of the biggest power threats in the game in any ballpark. Sure, St. Louis isn’t a great place to hit, but it’s better than Citi Field, so this is a ballpark bump for his 13% barrel rate. Mikolas isn’t a good pitch-to-contact guy; he’s pretty bad, especially against righties. Mikolas’ .260 ISO and 11.5% barrel rate allowed this season on a 55.7% hard-hit rate is a sign that his shtick is wearing out. We have Alonso projected for 2.2 total bases. The DEMON boost is gravy.
All projections referenced are accurate at the time of writing but subject to change.
Huge slate today with everyone in action. Great for a high volume of contests. Not the best hitting DEMON boosts right now outside of Alonso and Evan Carter MORE than 1.5 total bases, but there’s a ton of potential pitching action to attack on the outs sides of the streets.
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