MLB Underdog Player Predictions for Thursday (4/16)
Thursday, April 16, 2026: Below are three of the best picks for today’s MLB slate on Underdog according to our projections team. Using factors like Statcast data, advanced sabermetrics, weather impacts, and environmental factors, every single pick is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge. Get access to all of these picks, including much more, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Don’t forget to check out our MLB weather page to see how that may impact these picks as the day progresses. And you can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s lineup is by heading to our MLB starting lineups page.
Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Thursday slate.
First… Sign Up to Make MLB Underdog Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for MLB matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
When making your MLB Underdog picks today, let RotoGrinders do the heavy lifting for you!
Underdog Top MLB Picks for April 16, 2026
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top MLB DFS picks on Underdog for Thursday:
- Max Fried lower than 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
- Ryan Weiss higher than 1.5 Earned Runs
- Parker Messick lower than 1.5 Walks Allowed
Angels vs. Yankees MLB Underdog Predictions
Max Fried lower than 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
The strikeouts projection for Max Fried looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 6.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. This pick projects to hit 61.2% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 3.4% edge.
Rockies vs. Astros MLB Underdog Predictions
Ryan Weiss higher than 1.5 Earned Runs
The earned runs projection for Ryan Weiss looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 1.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. This pick projects to hit 61.2% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 3.4% edge.
Orioles vs. Guardians MLB Underdog Predictions
Parker Messick lower than 1.5 Walks Allowed
The walks allowed projection for Parker Messick looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 1.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. This pick projects to hit 54.9% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 1.4% edge.
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Image Credit: Imagn