NBA DFS First Look: Thursday, January 4th

The NBA DFS First Look is complete with sortable NBA odds, implied team totals, player statistics, and NBA projected starters to help you get an early start on the upcoming slate.

NBA Schedule & Vegas Lines

Road Team Home Team Favorite Spread Game Total Road Total Home Total Time (ET)
Milwaukee Bucks San Antonio Spurs MIL -9.0 249.5 129.3 120.3 7:30 PM
Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors DEN -3.0 234.0 118.5 115.5 10:00 PM

Implied Totals, Team Stats, and Pace of Play

Offense Line Total PPG +/- O-Rat Pace Reb % Matchup Pace Reb % 3PAtt 3P % PAPG D-Rat P-Pace Time (ET)
Milwaukee Bucks -9.0 129.3 124.8 4.5 3 4 19 at SAS 3 27 23 29 27 25 102.8 7:30
San Antonio Spurs 9.0 120.3 110.9 9.3 29 3 27 vs MIL 4 19 11 2 24 21 102.8 7:30
Denver Nuggets -3.0 118.5 115.1 3.4 8 29 7 at GSW 13 3 17 7 20 19 98.9 10:00
Golden State Warriors 3.0 115.5 116.9 -1.4 13 13 3 vs DEN 29 7 3 9 3 8 98.9 10:00

Note: The stats to the left of the first grey column are for the offense, the stats to the right are for the defense of the opponent. Total = team total, PPG = points per game, +/- = difference between total and PPG, O-Rat = offensive rating, Pace = pace of play, Reb % = rebounding rate, 3PA = 3-point attempts allowed, 3P % = 3-point percentage allowed, PAPG = points allowed per game, D-Rating = defensive rating, P-Pace = projected pace of game

Point Guard (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Damian Lillard MIL 129.3 $9,300 PG $8,600 PG 35.2 -0.8 43.8 -11.5 27% -3% 25.4 -5.6 6.7 -2.2 11.0 4.4 -0.9 1.25 -0.30 1.19 -0.29 at SAS 7:30
Tre Jones SAS 120.3 $5,100 PG $5,000 PG 23.5 1.5 20.4 1.0 16% 0% 8.0 0.0 4.9 -0.6 10.4 2.9 2.4 0.87 -0.01 0.86 -0.01 vs MIL 7:30
Jamal Murray DEN 118.5 $8,000 PG $8,500 PG 29.7 0.5 37.9 4.4 26% 1% 19.7 1.6 6.2 1.3 10.3 3.9 -0.4 1.28 0.12 1.25 0.14 at GSW 10:00
Stephen Curry GSW 115.5 $9,000 PG/SG $8,700 PG 33.6 0.3 43.3 -2.6 30% 0% 27.6 -4.6 4.6 0.9 8.3 4.4 -1.9 1.29 -0.09 1.21 -0.01 vs DEN 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last 4 games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Shooting Guard (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Malik Beasley MIL 129.3 $5,400 SG $4,900 SF/SG 29.7 -0.6 22.1 -2.6 13% 0% 11.7 1.3 1.4 -0.9 2.8 4.2 -1.4 0.74 -0.08 0.71 -0.12 at SAS 7:30
Devin Vassell SAS 120.3 $6,700 PG/SG $7,200 SG 30.4 2.6 30.3 5.7 22% -2% 18.1 -0.1 3.0 1.0 6.4 3.4 0.1 1.00 0.09 0.98 0.17 vs MIL 7:30
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope DEN 118.5 $5,000 SG $4,800 SG 32.1 -2.5 20.7 1.2 12% 1% 10.0 0.3 2.7 0.8 4.5 2.1 0.2 0.65 0.09 0.67 0.08 at GSW 10:00
Chris Paul GSW 115.5 $6,400 PG $6,200 PG 27.6 1.9 27.4 -0.4 14% 1% 9.0 5.5 7.3 -3.0 14.5 3.7 -0.9 0.99 -0.08 0.99 -0.12 vs DEN 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last 4 games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Small Forward (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
MarJon Beauchamp MIL 129.3 $3,500 SG/SF $3,800 SF 15.3 2.2 10.0 5.6 13% 3% 5.1 4.2 0.7 0.3 1.5 2.4 0.6 0.65 0.24 0.63 0.23 at SAS 7:30
Julian Champagnie SAS 120.3 $4,700 SG/SF $4,400 SF 14.2 2.6 11.9 1.0 16% -2% 5.8 -0.5 0.8 0.2 1.6 1.9 0.6 0.84 -0.07 0.84 -0.04 vs MIL 7:30
Michael Porter DEN 118.5 $6,600 SF/PF $6,800 SF/PF 31.2 -0.1 31.5 -1.9 20% 0% 16.3 -1.0 1.5 -0.7 2.3 7.5 -0.5 1.01 -0.06 0.98 -0.04 at GSW 10:00
Klay Thompson GSW 115.5 $5,900 SG/SF $5,900 SG 30.0 -2.7 27.2 -7.2 23% -3% 16.7 -6.7 2.1 0.2 3.3 3.7 -0.9 0.91 -0.17 0.86 -0.14 vs DEN 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last 4 games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Power Forward (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIL 129.3 $12,000 PF/C $12,100 PF 34.9 0.0 58.6 7.3 32% -3% 30.8 -0.3 5.8 2.2 11.5 11.3 2.5 1.68 0.21 1.65 0.20 at SAS 7:30
Jeremy Sochan SAS 120.3 $5,600 PF $5,800 PG/PF 29.1 -1.3 25.0 -3.7 18% -2% 10.9 -1.1 4.0 -0.7 7.9 5.5 -1.5 0.86 -0.09 0.84 -0.07 vs MIL 7:30
Aaron Gordon DEN 118.5 $5,800 PF $6,400 PF 31.7 -3.6 29.8 -3.3 18% -2% 13.4 -0.4 3.3 -1.8 5.8 6.7 -0.7 0.94 0.00 0.95 -0.02 at GSW 10:00
Jonathan Kuminga GSW 115.5 $5,300 PF $6,000 SF/PF 22.2 4.3 21.3 5.6 23% 1% 12.7 1.8 1.3 1.2 2.7 4.1 2.2 0.96 0.05 0.95 0.04 vs DEN 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last 4 games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Center (Projected Starters)

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Brook Lopez MIL 129.3 $6,200 C $7,300 C 31.0 0.8 29.2 0.2 16% 1% 12.9 -0.9 1.4 0.1 1.9 5.1 1.4 0.94 -0.02 1.02 -0.02 at SAS 7:30
Victor Wembanyama SAS 120.3 $8,300 PF/C $9,500 PF/C 29.4 -4.7 44.4 0.9 29% 8% 18.9 4.8 2.9 0.4 5.3 10.2 -3.5 1.51 0.32 1.55 0.36 vs MIL 7:30
Nikola Jokic DEN 118.5 $11,600 C $11,900 C 33.4 -1.4 60.2 -8.6 29% -7% 25.7 -4.7 9.1 -1.3 14.8 12.3 0.0 1.80 -0.19 1.74 -0.22 at GSW 10:00
Trayce Jackson-Davis GSW 115.5 $5,700 C $5,700 PF/C 12.9 10.4 14.2 9.5 16% 2% 5.9 5.4 1.0 0.5 1.1 4.0 2.0 1.10 -0.08 1.14 -0.10 vs DEN 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last 4 games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Notable Bench Players

Starter Team Total DK Pos FD Pos MIN/G +/- FP/G +/- USG% +/- PPG +/- APG +/- PAPG RPG +/- DK/M +/- FD/M +/- Matcup Time (ET)
Pat Connaughton MIL 129.3 $4,300 SF/PF $4,000 SF/SG 21.8 -2.1 14.3 -5.2 10% -3% 5.3 -2.3 1.9 -0.1 3.3 3.6 -2.1 0.66 -0.19 0.65 -0.19 at SAS 7:30
Bobby Portis MIL 129.3 $6,000 PF/C $5,600 PF/C 24.0 -0.9 25.5 -2.9 20% -1% 12.5 -2.5 1.1 0.4 2.0 6.8 -1.3 1.06 -0.09 1.07 -0.05 at SAS 7:30
Cameron Payne MIL 129.3 $3,800 PG $4,100 PG/SG 15.7 -3.1 12.6 2.3 16% 5% 6.3 1.2 2.4 0.1 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.80 0.38 0.77 0.36 at SAS 7:30
Keldon Johnson SAS 120.3 $6,900 SF/PF $7,000 PF/SF 32.5 -1.0 33.9 0.1 22% 3% 17.6 1.4 3.9 0.4 6.8 6.3 -1.0 1.04 0.03 1.01 0.04 vs MIL 7:30
Doug McDermott SAS 120.3 $3,600 SG/SF $3,700 PF/SF 15.9 1.7 10.6 -0.7 14% -1% 5.9 1.4 1.4 -0.6 2.0 1.0 -0.5 0.67 -0.11 0.63 -0.15 vs MIL 7:30
Cedi Osman SAS 120.3 $3,900 SF/PF $4,000 SF/PF 18.1 -2.7 14.5 -3.9 16% -6% 7.3 -4.0 1.8 0.2 3.1 2.4 0.6 0.80 -0.11 0.78 -0.11 vs MIL 7:30
Christian Braun DEN 118.5 $4,200 SG/SF $4,300 SG 19.9 -1.2 17.2 -1.5 17% -1% 8.3 -0.8 1.8 0.2 2.9 3.7 -1.2 0.87 -0.02 0.87 -0.02 at GSW 10:00
Reggie Jackson DEN 118.5 $4,600 PG $5,300 PG 23.8 -7.9 23.5 -4.7 22% 3% 12.3 -3.8 4.4 -0.1 7.2 2.2 -0.2 0.99 0.20 0.96 0.18 at GSW 10:00
Peyton Watson DEN 118.5 $4,900 PF/C $5,100 PF/SF 17.7 6.1 14.3 6.5 15% 5% 6.6 5.2 1.1 0.4 1.5 2.6 0.2 0.81 0.06 0.85 0.01 at GSW 10:00
Andrew Wiggins GSW 115.5 $5,200 SF/PF $5,200 SF/PF 26.5 -0.5 21.4 3.4 22% 0% 12.6 1.7 1.3 1.2 3.4 4.4 -1.1 0.81 0.15 0.79 0.18 vs DEN 10:00
Brandin Podziemski GSW 115.5 $6,100 PG/SG $6,300 SG/SF 23.4 6.5 23.0 7.7 16% -2% 9.1 2.4 3.1 1.4 5.1 5.4 0.9 0.98 0.04 0.97 0.06 vs DEN 10:00
Kevon Looney GSW 115.5 $3,900 C $4,300 C 20.8 -4.8 19.9 -7.7 10% -1% 5.3 -0.5 2.5 -1.2 4.4 7.5 -3.5 0.96 -0.19 0.98 -0.21 vs DEN 10:00

Note: The +/- columns show the difference between the season and the last 4 games. MIN = minutes per game, FP/G = fantasy points per game, USG = usage rate, PPG = points per game, APG = assists per game, PAPG = potential assists per game, RPG = rebounds per game, DK/M = DraftKings points per minute, FD/M = FanDuel points per minute.

Cover Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on X – @RG_Notorious