NBA Player Props for Wednesday, 11/11: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect from RJ Barrett, Jayson Tatum, and Evan Mobley? Follow along as our NBA betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Get all of Nick’s props, including picks from other experts as well as access to PickLabs, by subscribing to the RG Props package.
Wednesday’s NBA slate features 10 games, with a number of the league’s most prominent teams scheduled to be in action, including the Cavaliers, Knicks, Celtics, Spurs, Nuggets, Lakers, Thunder, and more!
Of course, the best teams in the league being on the schedule doesn’t always mean that the best players in the league will be on the court. The NBA injury report is busy once again on Wednesday, with Lauri Markkanen, Scottie Barnes, and Paul George among the notable names who have already been ruled out.
As always, be sure to use tools like CourtIQ and our NBA starting lineups page to evaluate how injuries impact usage and to search for inefficiencies in the player prop and DFS markets.
Below, you can find 3 of my favorite picks for Wednesday, November 11!
Best NBA Player Props for Wednesday, November 11th
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 11th:
- RJ Barrett Over/Under 22.5 Points
- Jayson Tatum Over/Under 27.5 Points
- Evan Mobley Over/Under 15.5 Points
RJ Barrett UNDER 22.5 Points (-115, BetMGM)
BETMGMBarrett is averaging 21.3 points per game this season, but his three best performances have come against the Bucks, Magic, and Clippers – each of which ranks 23rd or worse in defensive rating.
Facing everyone else, Barrett is averaging only 19.3 points per game.
Tonight’s opponent, Boston, ranks 3rd in defensive rating and 7th in schedule-adjusted defensive rating. They have allowed the 4th-fewest shot attempts per game in the restricted area and 9th-fewest shot attempts per game in the paint, which are areas of the floor Barrett likes to attack.
This is a tough matchup for a player who hasn’t proven himself against a top-tier defense yet this season.
Jayson Tatum UNDER 27.5 Points (-115, bet365)
BET365The Raptors will be without their best defender, Scottie Barnes, tonight against the Celtics, but this still doesn’t profile as an overly favorable matchup for Tatum.
Tatum is averaging 19.3 shot attempts per game this season, 6.8 of which come from above-the-break 3-point attempts. The Raptors have allowed the 4th-fewest attempts per game from that area of the floor. Tatum could rely more on his mid-range game if he gets chased off of the 3-point line, but that isn’t a guarantee to lead to clean looks either. Toronto has allowed the 2nd-lowest success rate on pull-up attempts inside the arc.
This season, Tatum is averaging 33.6 minutes per game. He’s averaging only 25.5 points per 34 minutes with Paul George off of the floor. Factor in a tough road matchup against a good defense, and the math shows a slight edge to the under.
Evan Mobley OVER 15.5 Points (+100, bet365)
BET365Mobley was benched for much of the 2nd half of Cleveland’s loss to Charlotte on Monday along with the rest of the team’s starting lineup. Still, he had an efficient 9 points in 24 minutes.
This season, Mobley is averaging 17.5 points in 31.9 minutes per game. He has also averaged 18.2 points per game or better in Cleveland’s previous two seasons.
The Knicks are one of the league’s better defenses around the rim, but this is nonetheless a good buy-low opportunity on Mobley following the team’s embarrassing loss to the Hornets earlier this week. Mobley is one of the team’s most important pieces. If Cleveland is going to make amends for Monday’s poor effort, Mobley is likely to be a big part of the solution.
ScoresAndOdds has Mobley projected for 16.03 points on Wednesday.
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