NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for 76ers vs. Heat (12/25)
What kind of performances can we expect on Christmas from De’Anthony Melton, Tyler Herro, and Duncan Robinson? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Monday, December 25, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
On Christmas Day, the Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat will meet in South Beach at 8:00 p.m. ET. This highly-anticipated matchup lost some of its luster with news that Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler will not take the floor, but there is still plenty of star talent on tap in this contest, including Tyrese Maxey and Tyler Herro.
If looking to target the player prop market in this game, we have three player prop leans worth considering for today’s Christmas Day matchup between the 76ers and Heat!
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NBA Player Props Today – Monday, December 25, 2023
- De’Anthony Melton Over/Under 3.5 Assists
- Tyler Herro Over/Under 4.5 Rebounds
- Duncan Robinson Over/Under 13.5 Points + Rebounds
De’Anthony Melton Over/Under 3.5 Assists
Joel Embiid has been ruled out for tonight’s game against the Heat, which means there is plenty of usage to be redistributed to other 76ers players, including De’Anthony Melton. According to RotoGrinders CourtIQ, Melton is averaging 5.9 assists per 36 minutes of action this season with Embiid off of the floor. When Jimmy Butler is off of the floor for Miami, the Heat rank in the 32nd percentile in defensive efficiency. At plus money, this is worth a stab on Monday evening.
- PICK: Melton OVER 3.5 Assists (+110), BetMGM
Tyler Herro Over/Under 4.5 Rebounds
According to RotoGrinders CourtIQ, Tyler Herro is averaging 6.8 rebounds per 36 minutes of action this season with Jimmy Butler off of the floor. This season, Herro has eclipsed this market number in all three games that he has played with Butler not in uniform. In those games, Herro had 5 rebounds on 11 rebound chances, 8 rebounds on 12 rebound chances, and 7 rebounds in a game that NBA advanced tracking data was evidently not present. This is a strong look for Christmas Day.
- PICK: Herro OVER 4.5 Rebounds (-134), FanDuel
Duncan Robinson Over/Under 13.5 Points + Rebounds
In four games without Jimmy Butler in uniform this year, Duncan Robinson has scored 11 points, 13 points, 12 points, and 27 points. He also had 3 rebounds in all four of those contests. According to RotoGrinders CourtIQ, Robinson is averaging 18.8 points per 36 minutes of action this season with Butler off of the floor, which bodes well for his production on Monday against the short-handed 76ers.
- PICK: Robinson OVER 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-115), Caesars
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 40-25-2
Rebounds: 14-19-1
Assists: 10-11-1
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 7-12
Points + Rebounds: 4-0
Rebounds + Assists: 3-2
Three-Pointers Made: 11-4
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Turnovers: 1-0
Steals: 0-1
Blocks + Steals: 0-1
Combined Record: 91-73-6 (55.6%)
Image Credit: Getty Images