NBA Player Props for Monday, 1/12: Best Bets & Predictions Today
What kind of performances can we expect from Derrick White, Joel Embiid, and Sam Merrill? Follow along as our NBA betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for Monday, January 12th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Monday’s 6-game NBA slate will be headlined by a matchup between the Celtics and Pacers at 7:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. Stars such as Luka Doncic, Donovan Mitchell, and Joel Embiid are also scheduled to be in action to begin the new week.
There are a number of notable names on the NBA injury report for Monday, including Brandon Ingram, Kawhi Leonard, and Paul George, each of whom is listed as questionable as of this writing.
As always, be sure to use tools like CourtIQ and our NBA starting lineups page to evaluate how injuries impact usage and to search for inefficiencies in the player prop and DFS markets.
Below, you can find 3 of my favorite picks for Monday, January 12th!
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Best NBA Player Props for Monday, January 12th
Here are my top player prop bets for today, with tip-off scheduled for 7:00 PM ET on Monday, January 12th:
- Derrick White Over/Under 5.5 Assists
- Joel Embiid Over/Under 29.5 Points + Assists
- Sam Merrill Over/Under 13.5 Points
Derrick White OVER 5.5 Assists (-145, BetMGM)
BETMGMAccording to our RotoGrinders CourtIQ tool, White is averaging 6.9 assists per 36 minutes this season with Jaylen Brown off of the floor. In 2 games with Brown inactive, White has posted 9 assists against the Wizards and 7 assists against the Raptors. Tonight, he draws a favorable matchup against a Pacers defense that ranks 18th in assists allowed per game during their last 8 contests. White should have a good opportunity to collect 6+ assists again this evening.
Joel Embiid UNDER 29.5 Points + Assists (-122, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSEmbiid has been ramping up his workload in recent weeks, but it’s still far from a guarantee that he clears this number on Monday. Filtering for only games that Embiid has played 30+ minutes this season, he’s still only managed 30+ points and assists in 6 of 11 contests, including only 3 of 6 games on the road.
Toronto ranks 6th in the NBA in defensive rating across their last 8 games. They should be able to slow down Embiid.
Sam Merrill UNDER 13.5 Points (-119, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSMerrill has cleared this number in all 4 games he’s played this season with Dean Wade inactive, but more context is needed. Only once in those 4 games has Merrill attempted more than 8 shots from the field.
Merrill has been unsustainably hot of late, shooting 57.5% from the field and 61.8% from 3-point territory in 4 games to begin January. There is real risk of negative regression in terms of efficiency this evening. There simply hasn’t been enough volume for him on a nightly basis to count on him for 14+ points.
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