NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Predictions for Sunday (11/12)
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday from Mark Williams, Michael Porter, and Kevin Durant? Follow along as our NBA betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NBA prop bets for today — Sunday, November 12, 2023. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NBA player props, at ScoresandOdds.
Sunday’s 11-game NBA slate begins at noon ET with an afternoon affair at Madison Square Garden between the Hornets and Knicks. There are two additional afternoon contests, with the other eight games each tipping off at 6:00 p.m. ET or later. Though the NFL often dominates bettors’ attention to end the week, there are plenty of exciting player prop opportunities on the hardwood on Sunday, with stars such as Joel Embiid, Luka Doncic, Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, and LeBron James in action!
Below, we take a look at three player prop leans worth considering for November 12, 2023!
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NBA Player Props Today – Sunday, November 12
- Mark Williams Over/Under 21.5 Points + Rebounds
- Michael Porter Over/Under 1.5 Assists
- Kevin Durant More/Less Than 3.5 Turnovers
Mark Williams Over/Under 21.5 Points + Rebounds
Mark Williams is coming off of a monster 21-point, 24-rebound performance against the Washington Wizards on Friday, but he is likely to have a much more difficult time on Sunday afternoon at Madison Square Garden. Williams is averaging 8.5 field goal attempts per game this season, 7.0 of which are coming inside the restricted area. The New York Knicks have allowed the seventh-fewest field goal attempts inside the restricted area of any team in the NBA this season. According to props.cash, six of the last seven centers to have a points prop released against the Knicks have gone under that market number. The Knicks also lead the league in rebound percentage, which makes this a tough matchup on the glass for Williams. Six of the last seven centers to have a rebound prop released against New York have gone under that market number. Williams is a strong candidate for negative regression in this spot, making the under on this combination prop a worthwhile risk.
- PICK: Williams UNDER 21.5 Points + Rebounds (-130), PointsBet
Michael Porter Over/Under 1.5 Assists
Michael Porter has eclipsed this market number in seven of his first nine games played this year, but he is likely due for regression in the assists department judging by his role in the Denver Nuggets offense. In three road games this season, Porter is averaging only 2.0 potential assists per game, which gives him very thin margins with this market number at over/under 1.5. The Houston Rockets have played surprisingly well to begin the new season, ranking seventh in defensive efficiency while allowing the fewest opponent assists per game of any team in the league. According to props.cash, each of the last four small forwards to have an assists prop released against the Rockets has gone under that market number. It would not be surprising to see that trend continue on Sunday.
- PICK: Porter UNDER 1.5 Assists (-101), Caesars
Kevin Durant More/Less Than 3.5 Turnovers
Kevin Durant has been uncharacteristically careless with the basketball to begin the new campaign, averaging a career-worst 4.2 turnovers per game. Sunday could be a good opportunity for him to bring that ghastly number down, facing an Oklahoma City Thunder defense that is near the league average in forcing opponent turnovers this year. Durant also has favorable splits in this matchup, averaging only 3.5 turnovers per game at home compared to 4.8 turnovers per game on the road this season. Durant is likely to begin cutting down on his mistakes sooner rather than later, and perhaps as soon as today.
- PICK: Durant LESS THAN 3.5 Turnovers
Check out more DFS sites with Fantasy basketball pick’em like Betr Picks.
NBA 2023-2024 Results – Wager Type
Points: 15-9-1
Rebounds: 2-5
Assists: 1-7
Points + Rebounds + Assists: 1-3
Points + Rebounds: 1-0
Rebounds + Assists: 2-2
Three-Pointers Made: 2-1
Field Goals Attempted: 1-0
3-Point Field Goals Attempted: 0-0-1
Combined Record: 25-25-3 (50.0%)