NBA Starting 5 (GPP): Monday, December 4th

The Starting 5 Series will provide Grinders a quick look at the day’s top positional plays, as analyzed by one of our daily fantasy sports experts.

Monday, December 4th

First off, I’m going to give the Morning Grind podcast a shoutout (you can find it on iTunes, Stitcher or on the podcast page), as Stevie did an incredible job breaking down all 11 games with all the injury news (I definitely owe you one for doing that solo). If you want an in-depth breakdown on how the injuries will factor into the slate, that’s the best place to start.

That being said, I’m going to write up five guys who are in for a usage or role change. None of these guys are safe (if they were safe and reliable, they’d be starters), but with lots of stars on the slate, these value plays could help you fit in two or more studs.

Point Guard: Alec Burks – $4,000 on DraftKings – Utah Jazz

The fade of Burks on the back end of playing three games in four nights didn’t work, but now after a few days to rest up, he’s in a great spot if Hood and Neto sit out again. Snyder has shown a willingness to play Burks more than 22-25 minutes, and he played over 30 in the last game of the back to back. Burks took 17 shots in both of those games and now gets a pace-up spot against the Wizards. The Jazz have also been way faster without Gobert on the court, so it’s really tough to not lock in Burks at this cheap tag.

Shooting Guard: Jonathon Simmons – $5,000 – Orlando Magic

After weeks of complaining, Frank Vogel finally listened to DFS players’ cries for help to shorten his rotation. Part of it was the injury to Ross, but I’m sure some of it was actually wanting to win some games. The result of the tighter rotation has been massive minutes for Simmons (38 and 39 respectively), and more importantly a usage bump, as he’s taken 32 shots in the last two games. The matchup against Charlotte isn’t the fastest, but this is a player who will be in the $6K range soon enough. He’s playing a ton of minutes and can help us fit in a stud play.

Small Forward: Davis Bertans – $3,000 – San Antonio Spurs

Keep an eye out on the status of Kyle Anderson and Rudy Gay. If one of them is out, Bertans offers us some solid value at $3K (UPDATE: Kyle Anderson has been ruled OUT; Rudy Gay is probable). Don’t expect the 12 shots he took on Sunday, as Aldridge will be back today after resting Sunday, but he still does a lot of things on the floor. For $3K, if you can project him for 20-28 minutes, he’s a very solid value option.

Rudy Gay at $4,800 is also a good play if you believe he can play 30+ minutes. He hasn’t done it this year, but just like Carter-Williams and Burks last week, they haven’t been in situations where they have had to play those minutes until injuries piled up. One of those two will crush value; it all depends on what Pop does, so get your magic 8-ball out now.

Power Forward: Mason Plumlee – $4,300 – Denver Nuggets

With Jokic out again Monday, Plumlee is looking at a 28-minute floor with a 35-minute ceiling as a point per minute player. You’d take that for $6-7K, but for $4.3K, you really can’t fade this spot. Dallas is one of the worst teams at defending big men and Plumlee should be able to stretch out Dirk or Mejri to the three-point line, making a tough matchup even harder for the Mavs. Don’t get cute here; just play Plumlee against Dallas and enjoy all the fantasy points.

Center: Enes Kanter – $6,200 – New York Knicks

Paying $6K for Kanter looks weird at first glance, but with no Porzingis or Hardaway on the court, Kanter averages 32 minutes while averaging (according to RG’s CourtIQ) 1.2 DK points per minute. That gets you an average of 40 a game, and he also draws an amazing pace-up spot against the Pacers, who don’t defend centers well. I wouldn’t be surprised if Kanter was a 50 fantasy point play today, and he makes for a great play on DRAFT as a late round value center; on DraftKings he makes for a great contrarian play for lineups that have a bit more balance than the chalk stars-scrubs build.

As always, leave questions and comments in the comment box below. Good luck!

About the Author

  • CJ Kaltenbach (theseige)

  • A popular contributor for RotoGrinders, C.J. Kaltenbach, aka TheSeige, is an attorney turned DFS professional who has made multiple live finals including winning the 2015 FantasyAces College Football Championship. He is consistently ranked in the top 100 of the RotoGrinders rankings in all major sports. He currently co-hosts The Morning Grind along with stevietpfl and can frequently be found on various GrindersLive shows

    RotoGrinders AMA

Comments

  • Primal

    seige, with gobert probably playing, no idea on minutes, how you feel about burks now?

  • thunderdan63

    • Blogger of the Month

    Pretty solid core here, throw in Beasley and you can build some really solid lineups with plenty of studs.

  • leratain

    Great work as usual Seige !!!

  • Taterchipdip

    Nice!!!

  • rrtrifecta

    well I liked Plumlee until the Siege mentioned him…probably a full fade now

  • rrtrifecta

    and plumlee has 8 min in the first half…good luck getting that ceiling on minutes. might as well flip coins instead of take this guy’s advice. Been tracking his articles and of his last 62 picks or mentions, only 17 have made 5x salary…so yeah. Keep up the good work.

  • rrtrifecta

    if you played all 5 of these as your core (and if you pay attention youll see that doing so with Siege picks is hilariously bad), you would have had zero chance to cash, even with 2 of the 5 being good and one of the 5 being amazing.

    Kanter 16
    Bertans 19.5
    Simmons 24.5
    Burks 43.25
    Plumlee 18.75

    So 122 and 3 slots left. and you need about 150-160 to reach the GPP cash line. if you somehow could go back and make sure you pick the best remaining guys after seeing the scores (that you can afford) you could get about 155 points.

    And this is the best picks article I’ve seen in a few weeks from him.

    Wouldn’t it be nice if touts had to have some accountability?

  • theseige

    • 2015 DraftKings FFWC Finalist

    • x2

      2016 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    Rudy Gay 38 for 4.8k dosn’t count? Obviously news changes after i write the article most weeks, also the last couple weeks were all value plays not every value play is going to go off.

    Sorry I’m not going to write up the most 5 obvious plays each day just in the name of picking the best point per dollar plays, thats what the consensus value rankings are for, this article (at least when I write it) is about some off the radar plays that have GPP winning upside (like Rudy Gay at 2.8% announced before lock as a starter) that can help you move from a cash to a life-changing score, if that doesn’t work for you lots of other awesome content on RotoGrinders to help you find the chalk plays of the day

  • mburtner17

    I didn’t play Kanter but played the other four and knocked it out of the park. Of course my other guys were Booker, B. Simmons, Cousins, and Rondo. Don’t let these guys rain on your parade. This was extremely helpful!

  • troveur

    @theseige said...

    Rudy Gay 38 for 4.8k dosn’t count? Obviously news changes after i write the article most weeks, also the last couple weeks were all value plays not every value play is going to go off.

    Sorry I’m not going to write up the most 5 obvious plays each day just in the name of picking the best point per dollar plays, thats what the consensus value rankings are for, this article (at least when I write it) is about some off the radar plays that have GPP winning upside (like Rudy Gay at 2.8% announced before lock as a starter) that can help you move from a cash to a life-changing score, if that doesn’t work for you lots of other awesome content on RotoGrinders to help you find the chalk plays of the day

    That’s a pretty good disclaimer to put at the top of your future articles for the complainers. All the sheeple expect the home runs out of every pick instead of realizing what the point of the article is and that there should be quite a bit of failures.

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