NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Monday (2/10)
I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.
Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.
Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.
We have 10 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 2/10. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Monday evening.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.
Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 2/10
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 2/10 at a glance:
- Jarred Vanderbilt Higher/Lower Than 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Austin Reaves Higher/Lower Than 23.5 Points + Assists
- Nikola Jokic Higher/Lower Than 12.5 Rebounds
Jazz vs. Lakers NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Jazz vs. Lakers NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Jarred Vanderbilt Lower Than 12.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
We project him at 10.78 PRA, with simulations showing a 5.7% edge and 63.5% win probability. Vanderbilt has averaged 11.7 PRA across 7 games this season, and his limited offensive role makes it unlikely he will surpass this mark.
We have him projected for just 18 minutes vs. the Jazz. This spot is also showing up as a negative matchup for him in our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool.
Austin Reaves Higher Than 23.5 Points + Assists
We project him at 27.82 Points + Assists, which is significantly above the projection set by Underdog. Our simulations also show a 4.6% edge and a 62.4% win probability, making this a statistically favorable choice.
Reaves has been in excellent form recently, averaging 28.3 Points + Assists over his last 10 games and 33 Points + Assists in his last 5 games. His role in the Lakers offense is great, sporting a 31.5% usage rating over his last 5 games.
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions
Here are the Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:
Nikola Jokic Lower Than 12.5 Rebounds
We project him at 11.41 rebounds, with our simulations showing a 4.5% edge and 58.8% win probability. While Jokic averages 12.7 rebounds this season, his recent 10-game average is just 10.8.
This is a negative matchup for him in our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool when it comes to rebounding performance.
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