NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Thursday (2/13)

Irving of the Mavericks

I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.

Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.

Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.

We have 5 games on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 2/13. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Thursday evening.

First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks

If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.

I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.

Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 2/13

Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 2/13 at a glance:

Heat vs. Mavericks NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Heat vs. Mavericks NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Kyrie Irving Higher Than 5.5 Rebounds

We project him at 6.49 rebounds, which is above the mark, and our simulations show this pick has a 6.8% edge with a 58% win probability.

Irving is coming off a strong performance last night against the Warriors, where he recorded seven rebounds alongside his 42 points. With the Mavericks facing the Miami Heat tonight, Dallas remains shorthanded due to injuries to key big men like Anthony Davis and Daniel Gafford.

Kings vs. Pelicans NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Kings vs. Pelicans NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

DeMar DeRozan Higher Than 27.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

We project him at 32.03 PRA, significantly above the threshold, with our simulations showing a 5.8% edge and a 63.6% win probability.

Our Defense vs. Archetypes Tool has this as one of the best matchups on the board vs. the Pelicans.

Warriors vs. Rockets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Warriors vs. Rockets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Alperen Sengun Higher Than 30.5 Points + Rebounds

We project him at 33.26 Points + Rebounds, which is significantly above the projection set by Underdog, and our simulations show this pick has a 5.5% edge with a 63.3% win probability.

This is certainly a high mark to clear, but I’ll side with our projections.

Editor’s Note: Looking for more places to play? Check out our PrizePicks promo code and Sleeper promo code.

Image Credit: Getty Images

About the Author

Jbails26
Justin Bailey (Jbails26)

Justin Bailey (aka jbails26) is the Lead Editor for RotoGrinders and FantasyLabs. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and specializes in small-field NFL and PGA contests (but still dabbles in MME). Justin qualified for the DraftKings Fantasy Golf World Championship in 2023. Follow Justin on Twitter – @justinbailey32