NBA Underdog Fantasy Player Predictions for Thursday (5/15)

Wiggins of the Thunder

I’m here to give you a (free!) peek behind the curtain regarding some of the awesome things our NBA DFS projections team is cooking up by giving you my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog Fantasy.

Every single pick you will find below is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge.

Please keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how that news breaks. You can always stay up to date on exactly what a team’s rotation and depth chart will look like on a given day by heading to our NBA starting lineups page.

We have 1 game on the schedule as the NBA is set to tip off on 5/15. Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog this Thursday evening.

First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Fantasy Picks

If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock up to $1000 Bonus Cash courtesy of a generous deposit match. Underdog Fantasy – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. The ball is then in our court to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.

I’ll break down the board by looking at factors like usage rates, projected pace, lines in the sports betting market, and of course, our RotoGrinders projections to forecast how NBA players might fare in categories like points, rebounds, and assists. For even more insight when making your Underdog picks today, be sure to check out our fantasy pick’em tool.

Underdog Fantasy Top NBA Picks for 5/15

Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA picks on Underdog for 5/15 at a glance:

Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy Predictions

Here are the Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Underdog Fantasy predictions for tonight:

Aaron Wiggins Lower Than 9.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Wiggins is projected by us to score 7.93 Points + Rebounds + Assists, below the 9.5 mark. Our simulations highlight a 4.1% edge and a 59.2% probability of success.

These projections suggest that opting for fewer than 9.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists for Wiggins tonight is a sound choice. The data implies a reserved performance outlook, aligning well with our expectations.

Christian Braun Lower Than 1.5 Threes

Braun is projected by us to make 1.05 Threes, under the 1.5 mark. Our simulations show a 3.3% edge with a 58.3% probability of success.

Based on these projections, choosing fewer than 1.5 Threes for Braun tonight is a +EV pick. The data indicates a conservative performance outlook, which aligns with our expectations and makes this a favorable option.

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Image Credit: Imagn

About the Author

Jbails26
Justin Bailey (Jbails26)

Justin Bailey (aka jbails26) is the Lead Editor for RotoGrinders and FantasyLabs. He’s been playing DFS since 2013 and specializes in small-field NFL and PGA contests (but still dabbles in MME). Justin qualified for the DraftKings Fantasy Golf World Championship in 2023. Follow Justin on Twitter – @justinbailey32