NBA Underdog Player Predictions for Monday (3/23)
Monday, March 23, 2026: Below are three of the best picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog according to our projections team. Using factors like advanced analytics, minutes, matchups, and pace, every single pick is going to be based on what our projections say is a meaningful edge. Get access to all of these picks, including much more, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Keep in mind that the NBA news cycle can get crazy, so what is listed below may become a better/worse play depending on how news breaks. Be sure to keep close tabs on our NBA starting lineups page and NBA injury report to get a current snapshot of who is in/out and what a team’s rotation and depth chart looks like.
Below, I’ll detail how I’m approaching things on Underdog for this Monday slate.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Picks
If you want to play along but haven’t signed up yet, grab a special offer with our Underdog promo code “GRINDERS” to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog – one of the most popular DFS pick’em sites – provides player projections for NBA matchups each day. It is then up to the user to decide whether a player will ultimately exceed or fall short of those projections in the games. With a huge roster of players available from which to choose, we just need to make a minimum of two picks to build an entry.
When making your NBA Underdog picks today, let RotoGrinders do the heavy lifting for you!
Underdog Top NBA Picks for March 23, 2026
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NBA DFS picks on Underdog for Monday:
- Josh Giddey lower than 17.5 Rebounds & Assists
- Luka Doncic lower than 15.5 Rebounds & Assists
- Pelle Larsson lower than 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
Rockets vs. Bulls NBA Underdog Predictions
Josh Giddey lower than 17.5 Rebounds & Assists
The rebounds & assists projection for Josh Giddey looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 17.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations. This pick projects to hit 64.1% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 6.3% edge.
Lakers vs. Pistons NBA Underdog Predictions
Luka Doncic lower than 15.5 Rebounds & Assists
The rebounds & assists projection for Luka Doncic looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 15.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations. This pick projects to hit 63.0% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 5.2% edge.
Spurs vs. Heat NBA Underdog Predictions
Pelle Larsson lower than 18.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists
The points, rebounds, & assists projection for Pelle Larsson looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 18.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations. This pick projects to hit 62.3% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 4.5% edge.
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Image Credit: Imagn