NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel - MNF
NFL DFS season is in full swing as MNF approaches, and our expert analysts are breaking down NFL DFS lineup optimizer picks and projections for FanDuel and DraftKings. Sign up for RotoGrinders Premium for full access to our NFL DFS optimizer and fantasy football projections all season long.
We have a two-game MNF slate, with TEN/MIA and GBP/NYG both kicking off at 8:15 PM ET. Aaron Jones is expected to remain out, joining Christian Watson and Luke Musgrave on the sidelines for the Packers. Daniel Bellinger and Parris Campbell are both questionable for the Giants.
Let’s check out some of my favorite plays of the slate!
NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for DraftKings
The Dolphins and Packers are the clear offenses to target tonight, as both are big favorites with solid team totals, especially Miami at 30 points. The Titans and Giants both have team totals under 17, with Tennessee currently a 13.5-point underdog and the Giants currently as 6-point underdogs. The Packers DST ($3,700) is easily my favorite for cash games, and depending on salary available, I would absolutely go with Tagovailoa ($7,300) or Love ($6,000) at QB in your main build.
AJ Dillon ($5,300)
With news of Jones unlikely to play tonight, Dillon is now a top p/$ play of the slate looking at 18+ touches against a Giants defense allowing 136.1 rush yards/game. The game script should heavily favor Dillon getting a bunch of carries, and even if the Packers somehow find themselves playing from behind, Dillon will still be involved as he’s seen 11 targets over the last four games. I’m expecting big ownership on Dillon, but it is entirely justified at this low of a price, and he should be in your cash game lineup as a top value play.
DeAndre Hopkins ($6,100)
The Titans are huge road underdogs and will almost certainly be playing from behind most of the game. This should lead to an easy 10+ targets for Hopkins, and even in a below-average matchup, the volume and upside are just too high at this cheap of a salary for a WR1. I also think Chig Okonkwo ($3,100) is the best TE to use in cash games for the same reasons as Hopkins, along with the lack of other options at the TE position tonight.
Jalin Hyatt ($3,400)
We obviously are going to jam in Tyreek Hill ($9,200) and probably one of the Miami RBs or Barkley ($7,100), so to make it easier to afford those guys I like the value of Hyatt as the WR1 for New York. Hyatt is coming off the best game of his rookie campaign, going for 5-109 on six targets last week. As home underdogs, he should be looking at a similar amount of targets today, and if he can connect on a deep ball or two, he should smash his almost minimum price.
NFL DFS Lineup Optimizer Picks for FanDuel
The Packers DST ($4,100) is going to be the highest-owned defense as they’re $600 cheaper than Miami, but I’d still use them in cash games as I think they have the best floor/ceiling combo tonight. Chig Okonkwo ($5,000) is still my favorite TE in all formats, and both AJ Dillon ($6,800) and Jalin Hyatt ($5,200) remain top p/$ values for cash games.
DeVon Achane ($8,000)
Between the Miami RBs, I prefer Achane in cash games (and GPPs), as his ceiling is so immense compared to Mostert ($7,700) at pretty much the same price. Achane will almost certainly be more involved in the passing game, too. He saw 20 touches in a blowout last week, which could happen again as 13.5 point favorites, but even if this game stays close and Mostert’s touch count is similar or even more than Achane, I’m still happy locking in the guy with 7 TDs in his four full games of action over the guy who has just one game over 100 total yards in his last ten games.
Jayden Reed ($5,900) / Romeo Doubs (6,000)
After Hill ($10,200) and Hopkins ($7,200), I like using one of the top Packers WRs in cash games, as they will be looking at a big target bump with Watson (and likely Jones) out. I prefer Reed for the slight price discount, and I think his volume is a bit safer, but if you can’t decide on which then I don’t mind going with both and stacking them with Love, which should be covered in GPPs at a minimum.
Jaylen Waddle ($7,100) / Saquon Barkley ($8,300)
I think these two are the best leverage plays of the slate, as Hill will get a ton of ownership at WR, and I think Barkley will be lower-owned than Dillon and Achane. If you’re doing MME (mass multi-entry) I would have Waddle on pretty much any lineup that doesn’t have Hill on it, and I like using Barkley on some DeVito stacks as well as a lone Giants bring-back to Packers stacks.
Use Our DFS Lineup Optimizer for MNF
Make sure to check out our in-house NFL DFS lineup optimizer for this slate, LineupHQ, to get a great look at even more top projected plays. It is by far the best place to build a large number of lineups quickly using your personalized build rules, ownership preferences, and stacks you want covered. You can also look at projected ownership to help you decide between players if you’d rather get leverage on the field with someone likely to see much lower ownership than similar plays at his position or price point.
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