NFL DFS Pick Six Show: Week 7
Dean Shavelson from RotoGrinders is joined by John Daigle and Rich Hribar (aka LordReebs) to break down their top three games for the Week 7 NFL slate. They also share some favorite picks at each skill position, helping you prepare for the week ahead!
Show Highlights
The Pick Six crew breaks down the best three NFL games to target in DFS for Week 7, with additional insights into core strategy, player pools, and injury notes.
Watch the video below to hear all about Week 7’s NFL DFS slate!
Saints vs. Bears
- Chicago enters as a 5.5-point favorite with a 47.5 total.
- Caleb Williams continues to excel under clean pocket conditions, ranking 7th in yards per attempt and boasting 8 TDs to 1 INT when not pressured.
- Saints struggle to apply pressure, ranking 29th in pressure rate — a factor that benefits Williams.
- Rome Odunze is the key target for Chicago, seeing heavy usage versus man coverage (targeted on 35% of routes).
- DJ Moore’s injury opens opportunities for rookie Luther Burden, who could bring a vertical element to the Bears offense.
- On the Saints side, Chris Olave remains a strong DFS play with consistent target volume and deeper route usage last week.
- Alvin Kamara continues to dominate short-yardage receiving work, though Taysom Hill vultures some goal-line touches.
Colts vs. Chargers
- Both teams have injury concerns—Josh Downs and Quentin Johnston are uncertain.
- Jonathan Taylor stands out as a top running back due to thin positional depth on the slate.
- Daniel Jones is viewed as a low-end QB1, limited by low passing volume in the second half of games.
- Justin Herbert has become a floor play since O-line injuries forced shorter passing; his air yards per attempt dropped below six.
- Kimani Vidal draws intrigue as a mid-salary back who produced efficiently last week.
- Analysts note volatility in both offenses, preferring Taylor or Vidal as core stacking options rather than heavy QB exposure.
Cowboys vs. Commanders
- This matchup is projected as the highest-scoring game of the slate, with a 54.5 total.
- Jayden Daniels and Patrick Mahomes headline top ownership projections at QB, but Dak Prescott offers leverage in stacks.
- CeeDee Lamb returns for Dallas, impacting George Pickens’ and Jake Ferguson’s target shares.
- Washington RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt is highlighted for increased backfield usage and efficiency.
- Analysts expect this game to provide multiple viable stacking combinations—Lamb, Pickens, Ferguson, and Daniels are core DFS pieces.
- Dallas’s defense ranks dead last in EPA against the pass, keeping opposing QBs and WRs in play each week.
- Heavy game exposure is advised, anchoring lineups around this shootout for both single-entry and large-field formats.