NFL DFS Expert Survey: Week 10
Our panel of experts is here to give you their insights on NFL DFS today for the Week 10 main slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. They’re ready to answer key questions that will assist you in making those crucial lineup-building decisions. Curious about Noto’s favorite correlation? Or perhaps you’re wondering about Davis Mattek’s favorite contrarian play? Read their thoughts below!
NFL DFS DraftKings & FanDuel Expert Survey: Week 10 Picks
Rank your three favorite players for cash games, in order:
| Analyst | Rank 1 | Rank 2 | Rank 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notorious | Christian McCaffrey | Chuba Hubbard | Tyler Warren |
| stevietpfl | Chuba Hubbard | Chris Olave | Tyler Warren |
| Krayton | Chuba Hubbard | CeeDee Lamb | Kenneth Walker III (FD) / Justin Jefferson (DK) |
| ebeimfohr | Chuba Hubbard | Chris Olave | Tyler Warren |
| ncorfield8k | Chuba Hubbard | Bijan Robinson | Tyler Warren |
| Davis Mattek | Christian McCaffrey | Justin Jefferson | Colby Parkinson |
| Jordan Vanek | Tyler Warren | Chuba Hubbard | Parker Washington (FD) / Justin Jefferson (DK) |
What is your favorite correlation and why?
Notorious: CAR/NO game stack – Outside of the Saints’ rushing attack, I like all of the offensive pieces in this game. Tyler Shough has the 2nd-highest XFPPG of any quarterback on the slate, and he continues to be underpriced. My favorite pairing for him is Chris Olave, but I also like taking shots on Jordyn Tyson on FD. For Carolina, I’m going to have exposure to their running game and their passing game. Chuba Hubbard has one of the best matchups on the board and has been a true bell-cow running back this season. Bryce Young has topped 22 fantasy points in 4 of 8 games this season and has obvious stacking mates in Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker.
stevietpfl: Tyler Shough + Chris Olave + Chuba Hubbard – There is so much to like about this matchup for both Shough and the Carolina running game. The weakest part of this Carolina defense is the deep ball. Chris Olave has 46.6% of the team’s air yards and a 26% target rate. He continues to be the highlight of this passing game. He’s been the first read 35.7% of the time this season, which is the 6th-highest in the NFL. I like the upside for multiple explosive plays from Olave in this matchup. The Saints continue to allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. They’re allowing an average of 113.4 rushing yards and 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game. They’re allowing a league-high 0.98 fantasy points per touch this season. Chuba Hubbard leads the NFL with an 80.5% snap share, and he’s averaging 16.75 rushes per game.
Krayton: Justin Jefferson + Matthew Golden – I love getting two elite WR plays in this game, with Jefferson finally getting reunited with Kirk Cousins. Jefferson has way too much talent, but he has not had a good QB to throw to him this season, and he could easily have a ceiling game with the healthy Cousins back under center. This is a big divisional game, and on the other side, I love Golden or Christian Watson. Both have been incredible WRs for Jordan Love, and neither one is projected for all that much ownership. This combination could put up big numbers, and the upside is too good to ignore.
ebeimfohr: Trevor Lawrence + Parker Washington – The only thing that has kept this tandem from several big fantasy games is game script, and that is keeping projected ownership in check. Clearly that game script is a concern again versus the Titans, but we just saw how powerful an elite offensive stack (Bengals) can be against this woeful Titans defense if they push back enough to drive a more aggressive game plan. Even in a blowout, the Jags can score enough in 3 quarters to put up tournament-worthy scores, but that blowout risk presents a lot of opportunity in tournaments for Lawrence and his star pass catcher at totally reasonable prices.
ncorfield8k: Bryce Young + Jalen Coker + Chris Olave – I will play several variations of this stack, frequently including 1 – 3 more players from this game. But this is my core. These are the two fastest offenses in the league in terms of seconds per play, and both defenses are beatable. It’s a strong schematic matchup for both Coker and Olave.
Davis Mattek: Trevor Lawrence + Parker Washington – In the 1st half of games, Washington is a top-10 fantasy football WR. When you include whole games, he has only scored 13.7 PPR points per game. Eventually, the Jaguars are going to have to play 4 quarters. The Titans just pushed the Bengals into overtime. While I am not saying the Titans are going to crush here, what I do know is that whenever the Jags do actually have to play 4 quarters, Lawrence and Washington are going to be the had-to-have-it stack. They will likely be low owned this week, but they are also leverage off of Bhayshul Tuten, and the Jags have a giant implied team total.
Jordan Vanek: Tyler Shough + Chris Olave – QBs have consistently attacked the Panthers downfield, with opposing offenses attempting over 330 air yards in 3 of the last 5 games. The exceptions were Bo Nix and Baker Mayfield, who rarely pushed the ball deep, although Nix still exceeded 260 air yards for just the third time this season despite Jaylen Waddle missing most of the game. Last week, Shough targeted Olave for 198 air yards, but they simply couldn’t connect. The Panthers have played a lot of Cover 3 to bring an extra safety into the box and help stop the run, which creates opportunities downfield. Against Cover 3, Shough has an aDOT of 10.4 yards and an 18.8% deep-throw rate, with Olave serving as his primary deep threat. I don’t think the Panthers’ cornerbacks are equipped to handle Olave, making this a great spot for an explosive performance.
Who’s your favorite contrarian play (below 10% pOWN%) and why?
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About the Author
Robert Brown (aka Epignosis) was having lunch at a sports bar. A football game was on. He remarked to his wife that if he could have a second life, he’d like to be someone who enjoyed watching sports. That enjoyment began when he signed up for a fantasy football league that needed one more player. Since then, he has enjoyed playing NFL, NBA, and (especially) MLB DFS. When not teaching American literature, editing content for RotoGrinders (which he has done since 2019), or making lineups, Epignosis is rocking out or jazzing it up on one of several possible instruments.
