Hittin' The Nuts - Squirrelpatrol's Top Stacks: Week 4
Want to hit the nuts and take down 1st place in these massive contests posted by FanDuel and DraftKings? Who better to walk you through their favorite NFL DFS stacks than Squirrelpatrol! He just hit the milly himself! Undoubtedly one of the best DFS players in the game today, Squirrelpatrol has accumulated 90+ Live Final seats, taking 2nd place in the 2023 DraftKings Fantasy Baseball World Championship for a $600,000 prize, and most recently took the million dollar prize in Week 2’s Monday night slate. Should we roster the chalk stack? How off-the-board should we get in large-field tournaments? Squirrelpatrol answers all of these questions and more below!
As DFS strategies get more advanced, moving from hunch-based decision-making to play-by-play simulations meant to measure how often certain players or stacks appear in the optimal lineup, it’s important to pair both quantitative and qualitative analysis when putting together our NFL DFS lineups. Each week, I’ll be taking a look at our Optimal Stack Tool for both FanDuel and DraftKings and giving some thoughts on what the best NFL DFS stacks will be for different contest types and sizes.
NFL DFS Top Stacks for Week 4
Chalk Stack – Josh Allen vs. Miami Dolphins
We have a difference in ownership between FanDuel and DraftKings in the Optimal Stacks Tool this week, with Jalen Hurts showing up as the most popular QB on FanDuel (12.3%) and Josh Allen as the most popular on DraftKings (9.5%). With Allen playing in the game with the highest point total on the week, it wouldn’t surprise me if he came in as the most popular QB on both sites when the cards get flipped over on Sunday. Allen is showing as even leverage on FanDuel and slight negative leverage on DraftKings, which makes some sense with his rushing points counting relatively more on FanDuel.
While Josh Allen likely has a safe floor and I expect him to put up points on Sunday, I have concerns about his price and the overall upside for this game at high ownership. Stacking this game is difficult with the expensive pieces – Stefon Diggs is the 3rd-most expensive WR on DraftKings and the 4th-most expensive WR on FanDuel, and Tyreek Hill from the Dolphis side is even more expensive than Diggs. I likely won’t prioritize getting over the field on Josh Allen, and when I do use him I’ll aim to pair him with some (relatively) less expensive receiving options from this game like Dalton Kincaid or Jaylen Waddle.
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