NFL Player Props for the Conference Championships
What kind of performances can we expect in the Conference Championships from Jarrett Stidham and Matthew Stafford? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down two of his favorite NFL prop bets for this weekend’s NFL playoff action. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NFL plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
This Sunday is the final time this season that the NFL will have multiple games on the same day. The Patriots and Broncos will play the AFC Championship Game at 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS. The Rams and Seahawks will battle to be the other Super Bowl representative in the NFC Championship Game at 6:30 p.m. ET on FOX.
Looking at the NFL odds for Sunday, fans are likely in for a pair of competitive games, with the Patriots favored by 3.5 points and the Seahawks favored by only 2.5 points.
Below, you can find two of my favorite player props for the Conference Championship games!
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Best NFL Player Props for the Conference Championships
Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff for the first game scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET:
- Jarrett Stidham Over/Under 14.5 Rushing Yards
- Matthew Stafford Over/Under 0.5 Interceptions
Jarrett Stidham OVER 14.5 Rushing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
FANDUELOn Wednesday, head coach Sean Payton said he views Stidham as “someone that can move.”
Payton has clearly lost faith in Denver’s ground attack. In the Divisional Round, quarterback Bo Nix had 12 rushing attempts compared to 10 combined rushing attempts for the team’s running backs, Jaleel McLaughlin and RJ Harvey. Since losing running back J.K. Dobbins to injury in Week 10, Denver ranks 5th in the entire NFL in pass%.
New England has played a lot less man coverage as the season has progressed, which limits rushing upside for quarterbacks, but this is still likely worth a small wager at such a low number.
Matthew Stafford OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-114, FanDuel)
FANDUELFrom Week 1 to Week 12, Stafford had a 30-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 1.9% turnover-worthy play rate. Since that point, he has a 19-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 5.0% turnover-worthy play rate. During that span, only Shedeur Sanders, Cam Ward, and Brady Cook have committed turnover-worthy plays at a higher rate than Stafford.
On Sunday evening, Stafford will be on the road against arguably the top pass defense in the entire NFL. Turnovers can often be more random than the underlying metrics would indicate, but this is good value at the price.
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