NFL Player Props for Monday Night Football (10/13)
What kind of performances can we expect on Monday Night Football from Keon Coleman, Josh Allen, and Jayden Daniels? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Bills vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Commanders on October 13th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NFL plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
This evening, football fans will be treated to a Monday Night Football doubleheader. The Bills and Falcons are scheduled for kickoff at 7:15 p.m. ET on ESPN, with the Bears and Commanders slated for an 8:15 p.m. ET start time on ABC.
Last time we saw Josh Allen and the Bills, they suffered their first loss of the 2025 season against the Patriots. Entering play on Monday, they are 4-1 SU, but their wins have come against teams that have a combined 3-21 SU record this fall. Meanwhile, the Falcons are coming off of a bye week and are the healthiest they have been on defense since Week 2.
Caleb Williams and the Bears are also coming off of a bye, but they will have the added difficulty of breaking in a new offensive line, with LT Theo Benedet set to start on the blind side. Washington will be without their top two wide receivers tonight, but they will have their most important player, Jayden Daniels, on the field. The Commanders have won 5 consecutive home games with Daniels active.
Looking at the NFL Odds ahead of kickoff, the market seems to be anticipating a pair of competitive games, with the Bills favored by 4.5 points and the Commanders favored by 5.5 points – both implied 1-score matchups.
Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Bills vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Commanders!
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Best NFL Player Props for Bills vs. Falcons and Bears vs. Commanders
Here are my top player prop bets for Monday, October 13th:
- Keon Coleman Over/Under 38.5 Receiving Yards
- Josh Allen Over/Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts
- Jayden Daniels Over/Under 219.5 Passing Yards
Keon Coleman OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (-117, Bally)
Coleman had only 23 receiving yards in Week 5 against the Patriots, but he led the team with a 15.4% first-read target share. No other Buffalo wide receiver was above 5.1%. Coleman will have a tough matchup tonight when he’s lined up against A.J. Terrell, but he should have enough opportunities lined up against Mike Hughes to still put up decent numbers. Frankly, this is simply a criminally low line for a player who leads his team in first-read target% by a wide margin through 5 weeks. If Atlanta is able to play with a lead in their home building, that could also put Buffalo in more passing situations, which would help Coleman’s chance of getting to 40 receiving yards.
Josh Allen OVER 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-135, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSEntering play on Monday, there are only 4 defenses in the NFL that have deployed man coverage at a higher rate than the Falcons. When defenses are in man coverage, it often provides opportunities for quarterbacks to run because players are preoccupied with their coverage assignments and frequently end up with their back turned to the quarterback.
Allen also has a history of being more active with his legs in competitive games. Dating back to 2024, Allen has 9+ rush attempts in 8 of the team’s last 9 contests that have been decided by one score.
Buffalo is 4-1 SU through 5 games to begin 2025, but their wins have come against opponents with a combined 3-21 SU record. Atlanta should be able to keep this game close enough to encourage more running from Allen.
Jayden Daniels OVER 219.5 Passing Yards (-113, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSIn 3 games this season, Daniels has twice thrown for 231+ yards. Dating back to last year, Daniels has thrown for 226+ yards in 7 of 9 home games (excluding the game against Carolina in which he exited after only 2 pass attempts).
Chicago’s secondary unit is the healthiest that it’s been at any point in 2025, but they will still be on the road and they still won’t have Jaylon Johnson available. Washington’s offense has been humming even without their top receivers this fall. There is value on the over.
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