NFL Player Props for NFL Wild Card Sunday (1/11)
What kind of performances can we expect on Sunday from Dalton Kincaid, Brock Purdy, and Justin Herbert? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for NFL Wild Card Sunday. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NFL plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Following a thrilling pair of games on Saturday to open this year’s playoffs, the NFL has 3 games on tap for Wild Card Sunday – beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET with the Bills taking on the Jaguars.
Looking at the NFL odds for Sunday, all 3 games are projected to be competitive, with the Jaguars favored by only 1.5 points, the Eagles by 5.5 points, and the Patriots by 3.5 points. Put another way, there is a good chance that fans get to see another slate of exciting football!
Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for NFL Wild Card Sunday!
Editor’s Note: Don’t live in a state with sports betting? Use our Underdog promo code & PrizePicks referral code GRINDERS to unlock generous sign-up bonuses for fantasy pick’em contests today.
Best NFL Player Props for NFL Wild Card Sunday
Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 11th:
- Dalton Kincaid Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
- Brock Purdy Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Justin Herbert Over/Under 221. Passing Yards
Dalton Kincaid OVER 3.5 Receptions (+110, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSKincaid hasn’t had 4 receptions in a game in over a month, but this is a matchup that should help him get more involved in the team’s offense. Since Week 14, Jacksonville has played the 6th-highest rate of zone coverage. Kincaid has averaged 3.3 yards per route run against zone coverage this year, compared to only 2.1 yards per route run against man coverage. This is good value at plus money.
Brock Purdy UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-165, bet365)
BET365In the last 2 games that Purdy has faced a top-14 EPA/play defense, he has been held to 1 passing touchdown against the Browns and 0 passing touchdowns against the Seahawks. Purdy’s overall numbers look excellent since returning from injury, but much of that has to do with him facing the Cardinals, Panthers, Titans, and Colts in that span – pass defenses that all ranked 22nd or worse in EPA/play since Week 11. It’s likely that Purdy struggles once again, facing one of the league’s best pass defenses.
Justin Herbert OVER 221.5 Passing Yards (-111, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSHistorically, HC John Harbaugh has emphasized a run-first offense, relying on a conservative offensive game plan and a good defense to win games. We have seen that change in 2025, with his Herbert infatuation leading to a far pass-heavier offense than many people were expecting coming into the season. New England’s pass defense hasn’t faced many top-tier quarterbacks this season. Herbert is talented enough to take advantage of their secondary unit, which still has a lot of question marks. There is also a chance Herbert gets pushed into a trailing game script, which would be good for this prop as well.
Image Credit: Imagn