NFL Player Props for Raiders vs. Broncos TNF (11/6)
What kind of performances can we expect on Thursday Night Football from JK Dobbins, Troy Franklin, and Pat Bryant? Follow along as our NFL betting analyst, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Raiders vs. Broncos on November 6th. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more NFL plays, by subscribing to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package.
Week 10 of the NFL regular season will begin with an AFC West showdown on Thursday Night Football between the Raiders on Broncos. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video from Empower Field at Mile High.
Las Vegas finds themselves in a historically difficult spot in this matchup after playing in overtime only 4 days ago against Jacksonville. According to ClevTA, there have been 31 teams that have played on Thursday Night Football immediately following a Sunday game since 2000. Those teams are 6-25 ATS, including 3-16 on the road. Tonight, the Raiders have the added challenge of traveling into Denver’s altitude after their defense was on the field for 77 plays in Week 9.
Noting all of the above, it’s not difficult to understand why the NFL Odds for this game have the Broncos favored by 9 points on the spread. The total is set at over/under 42.5 points.
Below, you can find three of my favorite player props for Raiders vs. Broncos!
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Best NFL Player Props for Raiders vs. Broncos
Here are my top player prop bets, with kickoff scheduled for 8:15 PM ET on Thursday, November 6th:
- JK Dobbins Over/Under 69.5 Rushing Yards
- Troy Franklin Over/Under 43.5 Receiving Yards
- Pat Bryant Over/Under 18.5 Receiving Yards
JK Dobbins OVER 69.5 Rushing Yards (-112, DraftKings)
DRAFTKINGSIn 4 home games this season, Dobbins has yet to rush for fewer than 63 yards. In his last 3 home games, he’s managed 101 rushing yards against the Bengals, 81 rushing yards against the Giants, and 111 rushing yards against the Cowboys.
It’s worth noting, however, that this is the toughest matchup that Dobbins has faced at home to date in 2025. The Titans, Bengals, Giants, and Cowboys each rank 28th or worse in EPA/play allowed against the run this season. The Raiders rank a more respectable 16th in that metric.
Of course, that’s a season-long metric. Since Week 6, the Raiders run defense ranks 27th in EPA/play and 26th in success rate. This past weekend, they allowed Travis Etienne and Bhayshul Tuten to combine for 113 rushing yards. In Week 7, Isiah Pacheco, Brashard Smith, and Kareem Hunt combined for 114 rushing yards.
This is a digestible matchup for Dobbins. He figures to see 14+ attempts on the ground this evening in a neutral or favorable game script. That should be enough opportunities to get the job done.
Troy Franklin OVER 43.5 Receiving Yards (-118, BetMGM)
BETMGMFranklin has gone under this number in 4 of his last 5 games, but that trend could see a speed bump on Thursday against a mediocre Las Vegas pass defense. Despite inconsistent results of late, it’s clear that Franklin has become an increasingly important part of Denver’s offense.
From Week 1 to Week 5, Franklin had a 7.7% first-read target share. Since Week 6, he leads the Broncos with a 9.1% first-read target share – including back-to-back games above 10% in that metric.
This evening, Marvin Mims Jr. will miss his 2nd consecutive contest due to a concussion. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Franklin take advantage of a favorable matchup to post strong numbers.
Pat Bryant OVER 18.5 Receiving Yards (-110, bet365)
BET365Bryant played 25 snaps in Week 9 with Marvin Mims Jr. inactive, finishing with 2 receptions on 3 targets for 20 receiving yards. It marked his 3rd consecutive game with at least 3 targets.
Since Week 7, Bryant is 3rd on the Broncos in first-read target%. He hasn’t played fewer than 35 snaps in a game since Week 4. His ability to move around the offense, playing in the slot and out wide, should afford him some additional opportunities with Mims on the mend.
HC Sean Payton is known for keeping his foot on the gas pedal regardless of the score. This is a player who could see some targets late in this game if the Broncos have a comfortable lead. It’s possible that he clears this number with 1 catch earlier in the game. He has been targeted multiple times 20+ yards downfield in the last 3 weeks alone, during which he has a 12.3 aDOT.
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