NFL PrizePicks: 49ers vs. Seahawks Player Predictions for Thursday Night Football
In this space, we’ll look at the PrizePicks board for the 49ers vs. Seahawks and try to make some predictions based on projections, trends, and the market.
PrizePicks, one of the best DFS sites for NFL fantasy pick’em, lays out player projections for us, which we stack to create entries that pay real money. They prompt us with a statistical projection for a player, and we get to pick whether or not the player will get More or Less than the number offered. There are hundreds of players from whom to choose, and we only have to make at least two picks to create an entry. Use the PrizePicks promo code “GRINDERS” to get $50 on a $5 entry if you haven’t signed up already!
You can also subscribe to the RotoGrinders Props & Pick’em package to get access to our fantasy pick’em tool for more PrizePicks picks today.
While 49.5 is a pretty high total for a divisional game on a short week, looking at the RotoGrinders projections, I’m inclined to take the under on this game. For PrizePicks though, what stands out to me is that the spread is only 3.5 points — in favor of the 49ers — because what we need from the 49ers’ passing game and the Seahawks’ rushing attack is a highly competitive game script. We shouldn’t expect the 49ers to stop throwing against what might be a bad Seahawks pass defense or the Seahawks to stop running against a vulnerable 49ers rush defense in a tight, back-and-forth affair.
PrizePicks Predictions for 49ers vs. Seahawks
- Deebo Samuel MORE/LESS 69.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
- Kenneth Walker MORE/LESS 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
- Brock Purdy MORE/LESS 274.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
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Deebo Samuel MORE/LESS 69.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
There are a lot of ways that the 49ers can go, but we should like them simplifying the game plan on a shorter week. When they do this, Deebo tends to get the ball in space for more volume. That volume has been nonexistent in his last 2 games, but he did see 19 targets over his first 2 games and has a career-high 9.4 aDOT this season through 4 games. Overall, 8 targets with his double-digit YAC potential gives us a lot of paths to get to 70+ receiving yards. We have him projected for 61.1 — 10.1% over his standard PrizePicks projection of 55.5 yards — so playing it safer and avoiding his DEMON boost is more than reasonable as well.
- PLAY: Samuel MORE Than 69.5 Receiving Yards (DEMON)
Kenneth Walker MORE/LESS 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
The 49ers’ rush defense has been pretty ho-hum and might not matter against a guy like Walker who could get 15-20 rushes in a competitive game on a short week. He’s averaging 5.5 yards per carry and 67.3 yards per game through 3 games. If the Niners’ run defense doesn’t really matter, the pass defense certainly does matter, which might be creating a run-funnel atmosphere. RotoGrinders has Walker reasonably projected for 62 rushing yards, as his volume has been very inconsistent. However, this is a great situation for him to get the volume we want.
- PLAY: Walker MORE Than 69.5 Rush Yards (DEMON)
Brock Purdy MORE/LESS 274.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
The Niners have an implied team total over 26 points, and Purdy has surpassed 285 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 games. His 274.8 passing yards per game ranks 5th in the league through 5 weeks. With a plus matchup and a high total, we should like him to get over 275 passing yards in this one. RotoGrinders has Purdy somewhat conservatively projected for 260.9 passing yards.
- PLAY: Purdy MORE Than 274.5 Pass Yards (DEMON)
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