NFL Week 3 Weather Report and Forecast: Some rain, wind to consider
We’re taking a look at Week 3 NFL weather, bringing us some rain and at least one breezy game (Chicago).
As usual in my NFL weather forecasts, the main focus is to identify games with high winds or heavy rain. Of all possible weather variables, wind is the biggest detriment to offenses, with a 15+mph wind being impactful and anything over 20mph sustained becoming a major problem for passing and kicking. Rain is another important factor in scoring, in particular heavy rain, which makes it harder to both throw and catch a pass, as well as turnovers increasing across the board. Temperature rarely impacts scoring, so it will only be noted here in extreme cases, like late-season games with temps below freezing. You can use this to your advantage making your picks on DFS sites and sportsbooks.
It’s also worth noting that while winds are fairly predictable a few days out, trying to pinpoint rain over a stadium is difficult even a few hours ahead of a game. So for the very latest info as the NFL Week 3 forecast changes, stay tuned to @KevinRothWx on Twitter or check my main NFL weather forecast page.
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NFL Week 3 Weather Report & Forecast
Sunday Main Slate – September 25th
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins – Typical Florida stuff here, a low chance of an afternoon downpour and winds around 10mph.
Houston Texans at Chicago Bears – A few scattered showers with 15-20mph sustained winds (that’s notable), gusts will be closer to 25.
Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets – A late arriving storm could bring some problematic weather towards the very end of this game, but most of it should be fine.
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders – Scattered showers possible, winds 10mph.
Sunday Night Football – September 26th
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos – Beautiful weather for SNF.
Monday Night Football – September 27th
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants – Low chance of rain, 10mph winds.
Overall Week 3 Weather Forecast
When looking for an edge, I’m always trying to find high winds first, and rain second. The most interesting game of the week is the Bears game, with 15-20mph sustained winds a chance for rain. That isn’t going to impact every play, but a deep throw or long kick could get blown off track and become a difference maker. I’ll also be keeping a close watch on the storm timing for the Jets game, a difference of just a half hour could be the difference between a very ugly 4th quarter and a very ugly “after-game” storm. I’ll be fine-tuning that as we get closer to kickoff. As I mentioned earlier, it’s best to follow rain forecasts right up until kickoff, so stay tuned to @KevinRothWx for the latest.
Image Credit: Imagn