No House Advantage GPP Strategy - NFL Player Props Super Bowl LVII
Looking for a new way to play? NFL DFS analyst Will Priester is here to help as he breaks down his favorite GPP picks at No House Advantage. Sign up with the No House Advantage promo code ‘GRINDERS’ to get a $100 deposit match!
What is going on Grinders?! NFL Season is always exciting, and this year we are bringing you a weekly article to cover the unique GPP format over at No House Advantage! Of course, because of my love for props, I’ll be bringing the heat every week to try and help you guys take down some big money over there. As NFL props become more popular, we are seeing some very unique contests and No House Advantage is just that!
No House Advantage GPP Format
No House Advantage has a GPP contest that allows you to pick 10 different players. Each prop will represent a number of points, starting at 1 point and sequentially up to 10 points. Thus, the 10 players you select are critical to your success. The idea is to select the prop that will give you 10 points as the one you feel best about. The prop that will give you 1 point might be one you feel good about as well, but make sure for 10 points it’s your “lock button”, so to speak. So ultimately, Player 1 will give you 1 point, Player 2 will give you 2 points, Player 3 will give you 3 points, etc. I think you get the idea here.
No House Advantage has given us some really good GPP contests this week. This format is fantastic for those of you that love props as much as I do, because we get to merge the DFS concept with our love for props. It’s the best of both worlds if you ask me.
Each week I am hoping to put you on a few plays that should yield tremendous success and put you in a position to take down 1st place. Let’s dig in!
Key Selections for Super Bowl LVII
The structure of the contest has changed for the Super Bowl. The top points spot will be 7 and decrease accordingly. So I’m going to provide you with my three favorite picks for your 7, 6, and 5 point slots.
7 Point Slot: Dallas Goedert – 4.5 Receptions
I’m taking the Eagles to win this game, but I think they will have to do it in a much different way than they are accustomed to doing it. While they have typically been off to the races in the first half and a grind-it-out team in the second half, I expect scoring until the final bell. Kansas City will keep the pressure on the Eagles’ passing attack and when that materializes Dallas Goedert will once again be a focal point of the passing game. He’s been clearing this number in blowouts and I see no reason for him to miss on the biggest stage of the year.
Pick: Over 4.5 Receptions
6 Point Slot: Jerick McKinnon – 24.5 Rushing Yards
Jerrick McKinnon has seen a steep decline in his involvement in the rushing attack over the past few weeks. We also have CEH back into the fold and while I don’t think he gets a whole lot of action, any snaps that he is on the field will impact McKinnon. I don’t think suddenly McKinnon picks up a ton of carries in the Super Bowl with Pacheco emerging as the number 1 threat on the ground and CEH back in the running back room. For that reason, I just don’t McKinnon getting close to this number.
Pick: Under 24.5 Rushing Yards
6 Point Slot: Quez Watkins – 1.5 Receptions
Mr. Watkins is just not getting enough volume in the passing game to go over this number. He will have 1-2 opportunities to convert chances and that’s it based on how things have been going over the past few weeks. Additionally, the types of targets he typically gets are down the field so it’s more boom or bust. I’m willing to take my chances with the under and ride it to the money.
Pick: Under 1.5 Receptions
Closing Thoughts
Thanks a bunch for rolling with me during the season and all the way to the “Big Game”! Let’s make some money and run it back next season.
Image Credit: Getty Images