Packers vs. Seahawks Same Game Parlay Picks for Today

by Joe Cistaro (joeycis) Last Updated 2024-12-15 19:33:35

Jacobs of the Packers

The feature game on Sunday night is an NFC showdown with serious playoff implications. After the Rams and 49ers broke the hearts of bettors and fantasy football players, the Rams are within a half-game of the NFC West lead. With a Packers win, the Rams would tie the Seahawks atop the division and have greater control of their future. The Packers will sweat out NFC results throughout the league but could use a victory to cement their status as playoff contenders.

The Packers are 2.5-point road favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook. Can the Seahawks claim a big NFC victory at home on Sunday night?

Check out our Same Game Parlay Guide before we break down tonight’s game and build a same game parlay for Sunday night.

Packers vs. Seahawks Same Game Parlay Preview

As of this writing, the implied game total is 46.5 points. While not nearly as robust as the total between the Lions and Bills, sports betting sites are clearly communicating that they expect points from these offenses. ScoresAndOdds reports the overwhelming majority of betting action on this total is on the over. As such, a line that dipped early was bumped back up nearly a full point throughout the week. The betting action is mostly split on the spread.

The Green Bay Packers are considered the better team by both pundits and evidently sportsbooks. In a division poised to enter three teams to the playoffs, the Packers have yet to claim a big victory against a true contender. With a matchup against the Vikings in a couple of weeks, a win versus the Seahawks would be enormous for Green Bay’s playoff hopes, especially since the Packers get the Saints in Week 16.

However, the Seahawks can keep space between themselves and the Rams with a win. Further, the loser of the West could possibly qualify for a Wild Card with the Commanders not a sure bet and the North playing each other over the last few weeks of the season. Only Joe Burrow has more passing yards than Geno Smith, who also ranks second in passing attempts. The Seahawks, like the Packers, rank in the top 15 in yards per play on defense. The Seahawks continue to outscore opponents over the last few weeks, as they passed the Cardinals for sole possession of the NFC West lead.

We had the Packers in two primetime games in recent weeks. Green Bay smashed the Dolphins but lost to the Lions for the second time. The Seahawks, especially on the road, will pose a true challenge to the Green Bay Packers. The Packers seem to be pretty good at everything without really standing out. The offense scores. The defense is solid. The defense forces turnovers. However, Green Bay doesn’t really lead the NFL in many statistical categories.

The Packers’ defense gets a bump, as Kenneth Walker cannot play on Sunday night. Don’t tell that to Zach Charbonnet. Charbonnet torched the Cardinals in Week 15, benefiting fantasy managers who stowed him on their bench for weeks. While an eruption is less likely against the Packers, Charbonnet had 22 rushes and 7 targets against the Cardinals. With a workload that even remotely approaches that of Week 15, Charbonnet can be a big factor for the Seahawks on Sunday night. In other good news, DK Metcalf will play on Sunday night for Seattle.

Charbonnet of the Seahawks

For Green Bay, Sunday night brings good fortune on the health front. Jaire Alexander is the only exception. He is out again in Week 15, as the Packers seem content to get their star secondary member healthy for a deep playoff run. Romeo Doubs will return after clearing the concussion protocol. The Packers’ offense will need help, as the Seahawks have only allowed 15 points per game over the last three weeks on defense. Green Bay averaged 33 points per game over their last three games.

Jordan Love needs to improve if the Packers are going to play spoiler in the NFC playoffs. Love hasn’t turned the ball over in his last three games but has not completed enough passes and continues to struggle to connect with his assortment of wide receivers. The Packers want to run the football and might choose to do so against the Seahawks. The Seahawks rank in the bottom ten of the NFL, as they allow 4.7 rushing yards per attempt.

Even with the explosive performance from Zach Charbonnet, the Packers and Seahawks mirror each other as a pair of teams that are pretty good at everything but not spectacular on either side of the football. Something has to give. Let’s comb through DraftKings for some props for tonight’s Sunday Night Football same game parlay.

Same Game Parlay Picks for Packers vs. Seahawks

Josh Jacobs Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts
Zach Charbonnet 25+ Receiving Yards
Geno Smith Over 2.5 Rushing Attempts

Josh Jacobs Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts

As we mentioned, the Seahawks give up yardage on the ground. Allowing 4.7 yards per rush attempt on the season, the Packers should look to exploit this weakness on Sunday night.

With a band of receivers that don’t necessarily stand out as superstars, Josh Jacobs became the superstar in Green Bay almost immediately in 2024. The Packers rank sixth in rushing attempts per game, and most of those attempts are going to the veteran running back. Outdoors with some slight potential for rain, why wouldn’t the Packers possess the football and limit the Seahawks’ explosive passing offense?

Moreover, if Josh Jacobs continues to carry the football, Jordan Love doesn’t need to throw the football. I think Green Bay wants to control the flow of the game and get out of Seattle with a win. Let’s take the over on Jacobs.

Zach Charbonnet 25+ Receiving Yards

The Packers’ defense is very effective against wide receivers with or without Jaire Alexander. They are less effective against running backs catching passes out of the backfield.

The Packers allowed 566 receiving yards to running backs through their first 13 games. Charbonnet caught all seven targets last weekend against the Cardinals. A similar volume of passing work should allow Charbonnet to hit this prop on Sunday night.

The Charbonnet prop should be in play regardless of game script. Whether or not the Seahawks are playing from behind, Charbonnet should see minimally 3-4 looks in the passing game. Against this defense, that should be enough.

Geno Smith Over 2.5 Rushing Attempts

Finally, we lean on the legs of Geno Smith. Despite his passing prowess, I feel better about Geno’s rushing potential on Sunday night.

Smith is normally good for a few rushing attempts each game. Smith has hit this over in nine of his games. If the Seahawks are playing from behind, Geno will not hesitate to take off if he sees the numbers on the backs of defenders’ jerseys. Also, if the Seahawks have a lead, we get the benefit of potential rushing attempts with a kneel or two at the end of the game.

In a game where the production can come from nearly anyone, I like targeting players who will have the football in their hands. Geno should hit this mark.