Packers vs. 49ers Same Game Parlay Picks & Player Props

by Sloan Piva (SloanPiva) Last Updated 2021-09-26 22:28:29

Week 3 of the NFL season is upon us, and we have a full slate of exciting games ahead of us today. At RotoGrinders, we have up-to-the-minute resources NFL betting tips to aid you in all for your wagering activity. And if you’re interested in “Same Game Parlay” picks for the Sunday Night Football game between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers, look no further.

This should be a very exciting NFC tilt, with two teams that appeared on a lot of analysts’ preseason Super Bowl picks. The Niners have exploded to a 2-0 record out of the gate, despite some uncertainty around the long-term scope of their quarterback position. And the Packers, who got crushed by the Saints in Week 1, told the football world to R-E-L-A-X last week when Aaron Rodgers —still the main man in Cheeseland—took it to the Lions with the help of back Aaron Jones and receiver Davante Adams.

Who knows what the final score will be in this game? A Chino, CA native, Rodgers will be playing an hour away from where he was born and raised. He’s 5-3 against the Niners in his career, with 18 touchdowns, two interceptions, and a 106.9 QB rating. I guess what I’m trying to say is that I wouldn’t bet against Rodgers on Sunday night, but I also wouldn’t feel great about betting against a confident San Fran defense at home.

You know what that means? It’s a great day to make some cake on a Single Game Parlay. Head over to PointsBet’s sportsbook, select the Sunday Night Football game between the Pack and the Niners, and go to town building your own parlay out of in-game lines, player props, and totals. Once you’re there, consider these my favorite bets within this contest. You can incorporate or omit as few or as many as you’d like—but I’ll be building my parlay with my four favorite props.

Panthers vs. Texans Same Game Parlay at PointsBet

Green Bay Packers Total: OVER 21.5 (-140)
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER: Aaron Jones (-110)
ANYTIME SCORER: Davante Adams (+100)
George Kittle to Get 75+ Receiving Yards

TOTAL SAME GAME PARLAY ODDS (4 LEGS): +830

Bet: $100 |To Win: $733 |Total Payout: $833

TOTALS: Green Bay Packers Total: OVER 21.5 (-140)

Like me, you may not be interested in the moneyline in this one. I can picture scenarios in which the home squad or the visiting squad emerges victorious at the final whistle. But one bet I would make with confidence is the Packers’ exceeding 21 points.

Aaron Rodgers proved last week that his Week 1 disaster was an outlier, not an indicator. And while the 49ers may be superior than the Lions’ D from top to bottom, San Fran is by no means untouchable. Just look at what Jared Goff and Detroit’s offense did to the Niners in Week 1—they hung 33 points on them, with 430 total yards (314 passing) and a whopping 31 first downs.

Of course, the Niners held on to secure that opening-season win—and they dumped the Eagles 17-11 last week—but neither of those teams can light a candle to Green Bay’s offense. Rodgers has three MVPs and a Super Bowl win, Davante Adams remains the best receiver in football, and Aaron Jones might be the third-best dual-threat back in football.

I’m not saying this will be an explosion of points—if I believed that, I’d tell you to smash-play the OVER of 50.5 at -115. I don’t like those odds, but I love the odds we get with the Pack to score 22 points at just -25 higher. Three TDs and a field goal from Green Bay in prime time? That’s cherry pie. Hell, you might even hit it with three TDs and a two-point conversion! But win, lose, or draw, I have the Packers at closer to the 25-28 range than the 20-23 range. Book it while you can.

ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN SCORER: Aaron Jones (-110)

If you had the pleasure of watching the Packers fly away from the Lions in the second half of Sunday Night Football, you already know that running back Aaron Jones went OFF. He had 115 all-purpose yards (67 ground, 48 air), and he scored four total touchdowns. He caught all six of the passes Rodgers tossed his way, whether out wide or via red-zone shovels.

Jones maintains a career average of 5.1 yards per carry, and a 72.4 percent catch rate (it’s 100 percent so far in 2021). That’s encouraging enough on its own. But factor in that the Pro Bowler played 69 percent of Green Bay’s offensive snaps in a competitive game last week—and received a massive share of Rodgers’ red-zone targets—and you’re looking at a Sunday night no-brainer.

At -110, I’m surprised Jones doesn’t have to score twice (side note: you can bet that at +400). San Fran gave up 151 rushing yards to Philly last week (albeit Jalen Hurts had 82 yards by himself, but still). And D’Andre Swift scored on the ground against the Niners in Week 1. I’ve already told you the Pack will mount at least three TDs in Rodgers’ old hood—if Green Bay scores 21 points, Jones almost always has one of them if he’s healthy.

ANYTIME SCORER: Davante Adams (+100)

It’s not redundant if it makes sense. I’m doubling down on Green Bay touchdown scorers, as Rodgers will want to get his All-Pro receiver into the end zone to make up for zero TD connections the first two weeks of the season.

If you squint your eyes at Adams’ 2021 stats, you might momentarily think you’re looking at old Julio Jones stats. Adams has caught 13-of-16 targets for 177 yards (13.6 yards per catch), and he already has a fifty-yard reception on the young season. However, he hasn’t found pay dirt.

I would be absolutely stunned if Adams got held out of the end zone a third consecutive week. That hasn’t happened since the beginning of the 2019 season, and it won’t happen against a San Fran pass D that has been middle of the pack in passing TDs allowed (15th), passing yards surrendered (13th), not to mention near the bottom of the barrel in first downs allowed (28th) and takeaways (26th).

RECEIVING PROPS: George Kittle to Get 75+ Receiving Yards

The stars shine brightest in prime time, right? Well, it’s “(player-popup #george-kittle)George Kittle”:/players/george-kittle-37069’s time to finally shine this week. San Fran’s stud tight end may not have produced the eye-popping fantasy numbers everyone expects out of him through two weeks, but he’s still the same Pro Bowl-caliber pass-catcher and playmaker. His breakout game is coming, and my bet is that it’s coming today.

Just look at Kittle’s numbers coming into Week 3. He’s caught eight of his nine targets (88.9 percent catch rate) for 95 yards, but 80 of those yards have come after the catch. The Niners rely so heavily on the run game—and clutch defense—that Niners head coach Kyle Shanahan and offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel haven’t even trusted Jimmy Garoppolo to throw the ball over five yards down the field (that’s not completely tongue-in-cheek—Jimmy G has averaged 3.4 completed air yards per pass attempt, and 4.8 completed air yards per completion).

Trey Lance should be starting for this Niners team in two weeks, but until then I like Jimmy G to take his foot off the brakes a little at home. San Francisco cannot simply cruise to an easy W like it did against Detroit and Philly—this Green Bay offense will make you fight your way to a win (unless you catch them in Florida, “(player-popup #aaron-rodgers)Aaron Rodgers”:/players/aaron-rodgers-11601’ kryptonite). Since I’m expecting the Pack to sell out against the Niners’ running game—and elite Green Bay cornerback Jaire Alexander will spend a good deal of time on top San Fran wideout Deebo Samuel —I’ve got Kittle playing a big part in tonight’s game, win or lose.