Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Picks, & Arizona Sportsbook Offers!
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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds
| Padres Odds | -157 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | +147 |
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Date | Tuesday, Aug. 31 |
| Time | 9:40 pm ET |
| TV | BSAZ |
| Odds accurate as of Tuesday at Caesars | |
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On Tuesday evening, the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks will continue a three-game set at Chase Field. Last night, the Padres won the series opener by a final score of 7-5thanks to some timely hitting, and some shoddy defense from the Diamondbacks. Tonight, BlakeSnell will get the nod for San Diego. He will be opposed by Zac Gallen. Oddsmakers are expecting a similar result from yesterday’s affair, pricing the Padres as -157 favorites on the money line. Let’s take a deeper look at the matchup to see where bettors can find value at sportsbooks in this contest.
San Diego Padres
When Snell first arrived in the big-leagues, he dazzled spectators with his electric swing-and-miss stuff, but he frustrated those same onlookers with a pervasive inability to locate his pitches. Snell improved his walk-rate in each of the four subsequent campaigns, even winning the American League Cy Young award in 2018. Yet, in his first full year with the Padres, he has posted a 13.0 walk-percentage, which ranks in the eighth percentile amongst qualified pitchers. This has resulted in a 1.45 WHIP—his worst mark since posting a 1.62 WHIP in his rookie season. Snell has thrown the ball better in his last four trips to the mound with a 2.19 ERA and a 2.51 FIP, but bettors should proceed with caution if choosing to put their faith in a pitcher who owns a 4.58 ERA, 5.36 xERA, and a 4.16 FIP on the season.
San Diego’s bats erupted last night for seven runs, which was their highest run total in a game since they scored eight runs against the Diamondbacks on August 15. Over the last two weeks, the Padres’ lineup ranks 30th in OPS and 28th in ISO. This is a roster with plenty of big names and a healthy amount of talent, but the desired results have not manifested lately at the plate. This ballclub continues to burn through their bullpen as if they were dealing with an endless supply of renewable energy. Bettors would be hard-pressed to find a team with a more overused relief corps. Even in yesterday’s win, five relievers found their way into the game. Increasingly, fatigue is becoming a legitimate concern in the latter frames for this group.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Gallen owns a 4.32 ERA, 3.67 xERA, and a 4.38 FIP through 17 starts in 2021. However, he has struggled to a 4.91 ERA and a 4.99 FIP since returning from the injured list on June 17. In two starts against the Padres during that stretch, he has thrown 9.2 innings, allowing six earned runs on 14 hits. Only three times in Gallen’s last 12 outings has he managed to complete six innings of work. Arizona will need him to go deep into the ballgame tonight if they want a chance to win.
Against left-handed pitching this season, Arizona ranks 9th in OPS and 18th in ISO. They profile as a solid contact team that draws a fair amount of walks. This is a lineup that matches up well with Snell, and should be able to generate quite a few run-scoring opportunities in this one if they can be disciplined at the plate.
If Gallen once again fails to get deep into this game, that will thrust Arizona’s unreliable bullpen into action far earlier than Diamondbacks’ fans would prefer. Over the last 30 days, this relief corps ranks 27th in baseball with a 4.94 bullpen FIP.
Pick
Neither of these starting pitchers are options that bettors should feel eager to trust. However, that presents some value on the over in this contest. San Diego’s bats seemed to regain some life in yesterday’s win. They have an opportunity to build some positive momentum in this one against Gallen, who has struggled since mid-June. Arizona’s lineup hits southpaws reasonably well and should be able to generate some offense tonight against Snell, who is as volatile as they come on the mound. Both of these bullpens are unreliable at the moment. San Diego’s relief unit is overly-taxed. Arizona’s is lacking talent. Bettors should consider a small wager on the over in this contest.
PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)
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