PGA First Look: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

The PGA First Look is complete with a course preview, odds, salaries, Official World Golf Rankings, and course history.

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Event Preview

Super Bowl Sunday is always one of my favorite sports days of the year. While the Super Bowl didn’t hold up its end of the bargain, the Waste Management Open picked up the slack. That was one of the most intriguing rounds of golf I have ever watched. The final group of Rickie Fowler, Matt Kuchar, and Justin Thomas finished a combined eight-over par on Sunday. Fowler had a huge lead heading into the par four 11th where he chipped his third over the green into the water. He then took a drop, was scouting out the green, and the ball rolled into the water again. Whether or not you agree with the penalty (I do not), he deserved it given the way the rules are written. He then bogeyed another hole and looked all but out of it. After Branden Grace took the lead, he hit his drive the only spot on the 17th hole that could hurt him — right into the water. Fowler birdied two of his last four holes to finally get the much-deserved win in Phoenix.

This week the PGA Tour heads back to California for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. We have another 54-hole cut on our hands and another week with three courses in rotation. Even though there are 156 golfers in the field, only the top 60 and ties will make the cut and play the final round. If you love watching slow golf on television that shows more celebrity shots than those of the leaders, this tournament is for you. While it’s not my favorite event on tour, I do love the host course. Speaking of Pebble Beach Golf Links, it will host the U.S. Open in June. There are rumors that preparations for the U.S. Open are already underway and that the rough might be a little thicker than it typically is for the Pro-Am event.

While most of our focus should be on Pebble Beach since it will host two of the four rounds and since it’s the only course with ShotLink data, we will quickly recap all three courses:

Pebble Beach Golf Links: This course is a Par 72 that measures 6,816 yards. It has some of the smallest greens on tour that feature tricky poa annua grass. In terms of difficulty over the last three years, it has ranked 16th, 26th, and 16th on tour.

Spyglass Hill Golf Club: This course is a Par 72 that measures 6,960 yards. It has smaller than average greens that feature tricky poa annua grass. In terms of difficulty over the last three years, it has ranked 15th, 20th, and 22nd on tour.

Monterey Peninsula Country Club: This course is a Par 71 that measures 6,958 yards. It has large poa annua greens. In terms of difficulty over the last three years, it has ranked 25th, 19th, and 3th on tour.

All three courses feature at least three par fives and measure less than 7,000 yards. This is not an event where bombers have a big advantage, as most will be forced to club down off the tee on many of the holes. This is a second-shot event that typically turns into a wedge and putting contest (no wonder why Brandt Snedeker and Jordan Spieth have played so well here). I will be focusing on strong iron play, par five scoring, par four scoring, and putting on poa grass. I will also be giving a bigger weight to course history, as the same golfers tend to play well here each and every year.

Cut Rule: Top 60 and ties move on after the first three rounds.

Recent Winners of this Event: Ted Potter Jr. (2018), Jordan Spieth (2017), Vaughn Taylor (2016), Brandt Snedeker (2015), Jimmy Walker (2014)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Birdie or Better %
3) Par 5 Scoring
4) Strokes Gained Putting (Emphasis on Poa)
5) Par 4 Scoring

Betting Card

Wins: 2
+38 units

Patrick Cantlay: 22/1
Jordan Spieth: 22/1
Chez Reavie: 30/1
Brandt Snedeker: 50/1
Rafael Cabrera-Bello: 50/1

Everything you Need to Know to Dominate PGA DFS

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2013-2017)

Golfer DK Salary FD Salary FDRFT Salary OWGR Odds DK Odds FD Odds FDRFT Odds Cuts 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014
Dustin Johnson $11,400 $12,400 $18,700 3 5 0% 0% 0% 5/5 2 3 41 4 2
Jason Day $10,900 $11,700 $17,800 12 9 0% 0% 0% 4/5 2 5 11 4 64
Tony Finau $10,600 $11,200 $16,000 11 21 0% 50% 25% 1/1 500 23 500 500 500
Tommy Fleetwood $10,300 $11,500 $16,100 14 21 0% -33% -33% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Matt Kuchar $10,000 $11,400 $16,000 20 23 -20% -50% -50% 1/2 62 79 500 500 500
Patrick Cantlay $9,800 $11,000 $15,700 18 25 -33% 0% 0% 2/2 35 48 500 500 500
Phil Mickelson $9,600 $11,300 $15,900 29 24 0% -40% 0% 4/4 2 65 2 500 19
Jordan Spieth $9,400 $10,800 $16,000 21 21 38% 50% -25% 5/5 20 1 21 7 4
Patrick Reed $9,300 $10,700 $15,500 15 30 -33% -9% -9% 4/5 76 23 6 29 13
Adam Scott $9,200 $10,000 $15,600 31 30 10% 50% 0% 0/1 111 500 500 500 500
Paul Casey $9,100 $11,100 $15,500 24 30 9% -43% 9% 1/1 8 500 500 500 500
Chez Reavie $9,000 $10,500 $15,600 49 30 17% 23% -11% 2/4 2 68 26 80 500
Branden Grace $8,900 $10,400 $15,400 40 33 0% 7% 0% 1/1 20 500 500 500 500
Shane Lowry $8,800 $10,000 $15,100 44 37 0% 22% 0% 4/4 43 14 41 21 500
Adam Hadwin $8,700 $10,300 $14,800 58 42 0% 0% 6% 1/1 500 39 500 500 500
Matthew Fitzpatrick $8,600 $9,700 $14,900 42 43 0% 24% -7% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Sungjae Im $8,400 $9,300 $14,500 82 48 0% 36% -6% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Rafael Cabrera-Bello $8,300 $10,600 $14,500 32 49 0% -58% -12% 1/2 26 500 500 500 64
Brandt Snedeker $8,200 $10,900 $14,500 54 48 15% -89% 0% 4/5 20 4 35 1 101
Russell Knox $8,100 $9,200 $14,000 62 61 -5% 29% 0% 2/3 15 500 106 500 27
Cameron Champ $8,000 $9,400 $14,400 83 55 9% 23% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
J.B. Holmes $7,900 $10,100 $13,600 100 75 -13% -53% -4% 4/5 76 23 11 10 61
Andrew Putnam $7,900 $10,200 $13,700 47 71 -4% -50% 0% 0/2 103 500 500 135 500
Scott Piercy $7,800 $9,100 $13,900 130 69 8% 30% 0% 2/2 20 55 500 500 500
Kevin Kisner $7,800 $9,200 $13,600 46 72 0% 19% 0% 1/4 103 10 500 66 64
Lucas Glover $7,700 $9,600 $12,800 131 91 -11% -36% 19% 1/2 500 500 11 500 95
Russell Henley $7,600 $9,500 $13,600 101 79 4% -13% -8% 2/3 15 500 106 500 52
Doug Ghim $7,600 $8,200 $13,000 406 94 -18% 40% -10% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Nick Watney $7,500 $8,800 $12,800 154 102 -23% 8% 0% 3/4 47 14 500 2 80
Charley Hoffman $7,500 $9,100 $13,100 65 92 -3% 6% -11% 0/3 500 90 500 500 137
Dylan Frittelli $7,500 $8,100 $12,600 86 109 -37% 31% 0% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Michael Thompson $7,400 $8,500 $12,700 226 108 -21% 13% 0% 1/4 500 79 95 107 19
Trey Mullinax $7,400 $8,000 $12,900 219 102 -9% 41% -13% 2/2 47 14 500 500 500
Ted Potter $7,400 $8,600 $12,600 105 120 -42% -7% -15% 1/2 1 500 500 500 115
Si Woo Kim $7,400 $8,700 $12,900 70 103 -15% 12% -19% 1/2 500 139 35 500 500
Beau Hossler $7,300 $9,300 $12,900 95 89 24% 0% 13% 1/2 43 68 500 500 500
Pat Perez $7,300 $9,300 $12,600 77 113 -19% -57% -7% 5/5 35 14 41 4 7
Kevin Streelman $7,300 $8,300 $12,600 196 112 -16% 17% -5% 3/4 6 14 17 101 500
J.J. Spaun $7,300 $8,500 $12,600 116 109 -14% 9% -2% 0/1 500 68 500 500 500
Austin Cook $7,300 $9,500 $12,600 126 117 -24% -92% -12% 0/1 136 500 500 500 500
Joel Dahmen $7,200 $8,900 $12,200 168 136 -17% -29% 0% 2/2 55 48 500 500 500
Ryan Palmer $7,200 $9,100 $12,900 74 98 17% -6% -9% 2/4 500 101 41 66 32
Ryan Armour $7,200 $7,900 $12,000 114 151 -31% 15% 2% 2/3 20 101 500 29 500
Talor Gooch $7,200 $8,800 $12,800 152 106 7% 3% -5% 0/1 93 500 500 500 500
Aaron Baddeley $7,200 $7,800 $12,000 271 151 -31% 20% 2% 4/4 55 500 51 54 56
Matt Jones $7,200 $7,900 $12,100 248 146 -26% 18% -4% 4/5 129 23 11 7 45
Chesson Hadley $7,100 $9,100 $13,100 71 94 33% 3% -14% 3/4 35 500 95 10 10
Jimmy Walker $7,100 $8,900 $13,000 94 95 29% 11% -13% 5/5 8 55 11 21 1
Martin Laird $7,100 $9,800 $12,900 215 90 40% -45% 9% 0/1 500 66 500 500 500
Corey Conners $7,100 $8,500 $12,500 188 121 0% -4% 0% 0/1 119 500 500 500 500
Steve Stricker $7,100 $9,000 $12,000 275 154 -23% -59% -5% 2/3 26 23 95 500 500
Keith Mitchell $7,100 $8,000 $12,100 153 142 -6% 16% 0% 1/1 47 500 500 500 500
Scott Stallings $7,100 $8,000 $12,100 230 154 -21% 5% -14% 2/2 7 14 500 500 500
Jim Furyk $7,000 $9,400 $12,000 241 143 5% -100% 7% 2/3 500 66 500 7 35
Nate Lashley $7,000 $8,200 $11,900 422 169 -11% -11% 0% 0/1 76 500 500 500 500
Anders Albertson $7,000 $7,800 $11,800 232 185 -24% 1% -10% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Vaughn Taylor $7,000 $8,600 $11,500 265 203 -40% -75% 0% 3/4 55 101 1 10 500
Brandon Harkins $7,000 $7,600 $11,800 263 182 -16% 18% -3% 1/1 15 500 500 500 500
Brice Garnett $7,000 $7,700 $11,600 120 193 -25% 8% 5% 2/3 35 500 128 500 19
Sung Kang $7,000 $8,200 $12,100 193 147 2% 2% -6% 1/2 500 68 17 500 500
Tyrone Van Aswegen $7,000 $10,300 508 425 -125% 2% 2/5 26 90 60 80 115
Richy Werenski $6,900 $8,400 $11,700 175 196 -14% -44% -4% 1/2 93 58 500 500 500
Roberto Castro $6,900 $8,500 $11,800 309 178 0% -37% -2% 2/4 500 90 8 131 19
Scott Brown $6,900 $7,400 $11,700 268 194 -13% 24% -3% 2/5 93 58 84 62 66
Brian Stuard $6,900 $7,900 $11,700 250 193 -10% -6% 0% 1/4 129 101 75 21 500
Adam Svensson $6,900 $7,200 $11,500 361 201 -19% 30% 3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Kramer Hickok $6,900 $7,400 $11,100 183 259 -41% 4% 3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Sang-Moon Bae $6,900 $7,100 $11,800 314 184 -6% 41% -8% 1/2 15 500 500 500 95
Roger Sloan $6,900 $7,200 $10,800 384 279 -57% 7% 5% 0/1 500 500 500 138 500
Graeme McDowell $6,800 $8,300 $12,600 262 114 37% 13% -10% 1/2 146 500 500 500 7
Brian Gay $6,800 $9,600 $12,200 155 138 30% -127% -2% 3/4 8 66 58 500 45
James Hahn $6,800 $8,400 $11,800 179 172 13% -24% 0% 3/5 26 58 95 29 111
Dominic Bozzelli $6,800 $8,100 $12,000 295 160 15% -2% -7% 0/2 111 116 500 500 500
Sebastian Munoz $6,800 $7,400 $11,300 261 229 -15% 12% 1% 0/1 500 116 500 500 500
Nick Taylor $6,800 $7,400 $11,600 321 200 -3% 22% 0% 2/4 103 10 30 118 500
Chris Stroud $6,800 $7,500 $11,800 238 182 10% 26% -3% 2/4 35 68 75 45 500
David Lingmerth $6,800 $11,600 383 325 -56% -52% 1/2 500 500 114 41 500
Scott Langley $6,800 $7,700 $11,600 285 206 -10% -4% -7% 1/4 500 62 95 65 64
Patrick Rodgers $6,700 $8,300 $12,100 157 152 29% -10% -12% 1/1 8 500 500 500 500
Hunter Mahan $6,700 $7,800 $11,700 354 201 6% -9% -9% 2/5 93 90 70 54 6
Sean O’Hair $6,700 $7,600 $11,300 203 231 -4% -6% 0% 4/5 73 66 35 29 56
Alex Prugh $6,700 $7,000 $11,200 451 271 -19% 23% -7% 1/3 500 500 84 10 80
Jim Knous $6,700 $7,300 $10,700 488 332 -41% -14% -5% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Sepp Straka $6,700 $7,100 $10,800 364 297 -29% 9% 1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Jerry Kelly $6,700 $7,800 $10,800 268 -18% -36% 10% 1/4 119 124 69 500 119
Davis Love $6,700 $7,900 $11,400 448 201 8% -14% 8% 1/3 500 500 66 65 129
Curtis Luck $6,700 $7,300 $11,100 518 271 -19% 4% -3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Cameron Davis $6,600 $8,000 $11,500 125 213 11% -30% -3% 0/1 111 500 500 500 500
Rory Sabbatini $6,600 $7,800 $11,400 216 235 3% -25% -8% 2/5 72 48 114 80 64
Fabian Gomez $6,600 $7,200 $10,700 596 335 -29% -7% -6% 1/3 85 500 500 57 64
Robert Garrigus $6,600 $7,400 $10,900 400 288 -13% -9% -4% 2/5 85 23 134 96 27
Kelly Kraft $6,600 $7,300 $11,000 228 275 -9% 2% -2% 1/3 147 2 70 500 500
Adam Long $6,600 $7,500 $11,300 136 222 10% 7% 4% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Stephan Jaeger $6,600 $7,600 $10,700 293 318 -21% -38% 0% 1/1 43 500 500 500 500
Ernie Els $6,600 $7,600 $11,800 435 184 26% 15% -6% 0/2 103 500 500 107 500
Michael Kim $6,600 $7,100 $10,800 284 321 -22% 4% -5% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Peter Malnati $6,500 $7,500 $11,100 292 254 10% -2% 4% 2/4 35 121 66 500 66
Johnson Wagner $6,500 $8,200 $10,900 465 309 -8% -93% -9% 1/2 55 500 500 65 500
Adam Schenk $6,500 $7,500 $10,900 334 260 7% -6% 6% 0/1 111 500 500 500 500
Mac Hughes $6,500 $7,800 $10,900 386 306 -7% -52% -8% 1/2 123 10 500 500 500
Hank Lebioda $6,500 $7,100 $11,000 456 279 -1% 12% -4% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
David Hearn $6,500 $7,500 $11,300 472 234 13% 1% -2% 2/4 136 79 30 21 500
John Huh $6,500 $7,600 $11,200 329 259 9% -14% 0% 0/2 500 500 500 118 101
Tom Lovelady $6,500 $7,300 $10,700 380 343 -18% -17% -7% 0/1 76 500 500 500 500
Max Homa $6,500 $7,000 $10,900 718 300 -6% 16% -7% 1/3 500 129 500 29 119
Sam Saunders $6,400 $7,600 $11,200 258 265 13% -19% -4% 1/4 26 68 75 80 500
Wyndham Clark $6,400 $7,500 $11,400 317 244 19% -1% -9% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Wes Roach $6,400 $7,000 $10,400 453 444 -20% -3% -8% 1/2 500 500 75 500 32
Jose de Jesus Rodriguez $6,400 $7,100 $10,400 353 412 -14% -8% -3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Dru Love $6,400 $7,100 $10,400 424 -15% -9% -3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Whee Kim $6,400 $7,400 $10,400 150 435 -17% -34% -5% 1/3 500 79 106 21 500
Ho Sung Choi $6,400 $7,100 276 8% 13% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Cody Gribble $6,400 $7,000 $10,300 711 532 -27% -10% -8% 0/2 148 109 500 500 500
Brady Schnell $6,400 $7,000 $10,200 410 571 -32% -14% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Tom Hoge $6,300 $7,100 $11,300 272 263 21% 19% -11% 2/4 93 39 41 101 500
Alex Cejka $6,300 $7,200 $10,300 363 438 -9% -18% 0% 5/5 75 39 41 34 56
Grayson Murray $6,300 $7,600 $11,300 286 225 30% -4% 2% 1/2 8 109 500 500 500
Chase Wright $6,300 $7,000 $10,500 260 332 3% 9% 3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Ben Crane $6,300 $10,600 418 343 0% -2% 0/1 103 500 500 500 500
Cameron Tringale $6,300 $7,300 $10,600 614 362 -3% -20% -4% 2/3 47 90 500 500 13
Seth Reeves $6,300 $7,600 $10,500 476 372 -3% -54% -3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Martin Piller $6,300 $7,100 $10,400 409 397 -4% -7% -2% 0/2 111 500 75 500 500
Joey Garber $6,300 $7,000 $10,300 462 541 -19% -11% -10% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Matt Every $6,200 $10,500 544 233 33% 28% 0/3 111 132 500 500 88
Benjamin Silverman $6,200 $7,700 $10,700 316 324 12% -47% -2% 0/1 123 500 500 500 500
Tyler Duncan $6,200 $7,300 $10,300 429 471 -3% -30% -2% 0/1 136 500 500 500 500
Chad Collins $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 854 697 -17% -18% -5% 1/4 500 68 95 34 126
Roberto Diaz $6,200 $7,000 $10,300 779 562 -12% -13% -11% 0/1 144 500 500 500 500
Kenny Perry $6,200 $7,200 $10,300 512 -6% -24% -6% 0/1 500 500 500 107 500
John Chin $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 511 588 -14% -15% -3% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Rod Pampling $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 869 579 -14% -15% -2% 1/5 47 132 130 65 101
Kyle Jones $6,200 $7,100 $10,200 323 700 -18% -30% -6% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Julian Etulain $6,100 $7,300 $10,900 328 296 24% -3% -5% 1/1 500 33 500 500 500
Josh Teater $6,100 $7,000 $10,400 428 485 2% -6% -10% 0/2 500 500 500 66 132
Jonas Blixt $6,100 $7,300 $10,900 411 312 20% -8% -10% 2/4 76 58 3 80 500
Derek Fathauer $6,100 $10,700 426 325 17% -3% 4/4 62 23 51 41 500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee $6,100 $7,000 $10,300 375 541 -3% -11% -10% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Martin Trainer $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 307 709 -10% -19% -6% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
D.A. Points $6,100 $7,000 $10,300 543 471 3% -5% -3% 1/4 93 39 70 65 500
Jason Gore $6,100 $10,300 739 540 -2% -9% 1/2 500 500 51 136 500
Colt Knost $6,100 $7,000 $10,200 712 -11% -20% -7% 2/3 123 500 51 41 500
David Duval $6,100 $7,000 $10,100 1382 -13% -23% -3% 1/5 154 101 95 127 35
Ricky Barnes $6,000 $7,500 $10,300 733 521 7% -56% -6% 3/5 62 48 41 107 119
J.J. Henry $6,000 $7,000 $10,200 658 688 -1% -17% -4% 1/4 93 500 70 45 119
Chad Campbell $6,000 $10,000 317 350 18% 22% 0/1 500 500 500 500 66
Fredrik Jacobson $6,000 $7,200 $10,300 506 8% -23% -5% 1/2 500 500 4 500 66
Broc Everett $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 827 -4% -21% -1% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
John Senden $6,000 $7,100 $10,300 837 524 6% -19% -7% 0/2 500 68 500 500 95
Chris Thompson $6,000 $7,000 $10,200 367 671 0% -16% -4% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500
Ryan Ruffels $6,000 $7,000 $10,400 438 13% -2% -6% 1/1 500 500 60 500 500
Jason Schmuhl $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 1324 -5% -22% -2% 0/1 500 500 149 500 500
Steve Jones $6,000 $7,000 1576 -6% -23% 0/0 500 500 500 500 500

Color Coding
Course history in BLUE indicates a top ten finish.
Course history in GREEN indicates a top 25 finish.
Course history in YELLOW indicates a made cut with a finish outside of the top 25.
Course history in RED indicates a missed cut.

Legend

Term Description
Site Odds The percentage differential between a golfer’s salary rank and odds rank. The higher the %, the better.
OWGR Official World Golf Ranking
Cuts Cut record of each golfer at this course in the last five seasons.
2013 – 2017 Columns Course history at this event in the last five seasons.

About the Author

  • Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

  • Derek Farnsworth, aka Notorious, is one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS, thanks in large part to the great advice he gives on a daily basis in RotoGrinders.com’s Grind Down for NBA and MLB as well as the First Look column that gives a preview of the day’s games from a DFS perspective. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Masters Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in multiple sports. Farnsworth provides expert analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis during the NBA season and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards.

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