PGA First Look: Corales Championship / WGC-Dell Match Play

Corales Championship Preview

We’ll start with the alternate event that is being held in Punta Cana, which is located in the southeastern part of the Dominican Republic. With most of the world’s elite teeing it up in Austin, this is one of the weakest fields that we have seen all season.

Corales Golf Club is a Par 72 that measures 7,670 yards. It is a beautiful course, but one that is fairly benign when there isn’t much wind. The last three winners here have all posted scores of at least 18-under par. There are four par fives to feast on and these are some of the widest fairways that golfers will see all season. We can look at this in one of two ways — either it gives an edge to the bombers since the fairways are wide or we can give an edge to the good iron players since all golfers will be playing from the fairways. Either way, I see this as a ball striker’s course.

The fairways and greens here are both made of paspalum grass, which isn’t seen too often on the PGA Tour. With wind being the main defense of the course, we should monitor the forecast as we head into lineup lock. As it stands now, Thursday looks to be the windiest of the four days. If it looks like there will be an edge to the morning wave, don’t hesitate to stack that tee time wave. As for the type of golfer that I’m looking for, I want strong ball strikers that make a lot of birdies. An even round here will put you well behind the pack.

Cut Rule: Top 70 and ties move on after the first two rounds. The MDF rule is in effect if more than 78 golfers make the initial cut.

Recent Winners of this Event:Brice Garnett (2018), Nate Lashley (2017), Dominic Bozzelli (2016)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Strokes Gained Off the Tee
3) Birdie or Better %
4) Par 5 Scoring
5) Strokes Gained Putting

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2014-2018)

Golfer DK Salary FD Salary FDRFT Sal OWGR Odds DK % FD % FDRFT % Cuts 2018 2017 2016
Sungjae Im $11,300 $11,300 $16,700 59 15 50% 50% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Jhonattan Vegas $11,500 $11,400 $16,600 80 15 -100% -100% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Nate Lashley $10,100 $10,800 $15,600 391 26 0% 17% 0% 2/2 28 1 500
Joel Dahmen $9,100 $9,900 $15,100 150 35 -9% 14% 0% 2/2 13 500 11
Rory Sabbatini $8,800 $10,100 $15,100 202 35 7% -8% -8% 1/1 43 500 500
Trey Mullinax $9,500 $10,300 $15,300 234 33 -13% 10% -13% 2/2 22 500 11
Denny McCarthy $10,400 $11,000 $15,800 166 24 25% 25% 0% 1/1 4 500 500
Matt Jones $9,000 $10,500 $15,300 235 33 33% 11% 0% 1/1 28 500 500
Graeme McDowell $9,200 $10,600 $15,200 257 34 0% -25% 0% 0/1 99 500 500
Adam Schenk $7,400 $9,400 $14,200 294 51 41% 17% 23% 3/3 35 12 41
Joaquin Niemann $9,900 $10,700 $15,700 158 25 33% 43% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Julian Etulain $8,000 $9,700 $14,200 300 54 -32% -61% -12% 1/1 500 500 41
Thomas Detry $9,300 $10,000 $15,200 149 34 -11% 23% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Dylan Frittelli $8,200 $10,200 $14,800 91 40 25% -36% 12% 0/0 500 500 500
Roger Sloan $7,600 $8,800 $14,000 262 61 -21% 13% -6% 1/2 500 68 71
Corey Conners $8,500 $9,600 $14,500 192 47 -6% 10% 0% 2/2 13 53 500
Hank Lebioda $6,900 $8,600 $12,700 447 99 11% -17% -6% 0/0 500 500 500
Carlos Ortiz $7,200 $8,900 $13,800 280 60 24% 6% 3% 1/1 500 8 500
Brian Stuard $7,400 $9,100 $14,200 225 52 32% 23% 12% 0/0 500 500 500
Johnson Wagner $7,500 $8,900 $13,800 310 62 -16% 0% -3% 1/1 70 500 500
Cameron Davis $7,100 $9,000 $13,300 167 79 12% -36% 4% 0/0 500 500 500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee $7,500 $9,300 $14,200 276 53 10% -8% -8% 2/2 500 8 61
D.J. Trahan $7,000 $7,500 $13,300 609 80 18% 49% 0% 1/2 60 76 500
Jonathan Byrd $8,300 $9,000 $14,200 494 54 -58% 9% -15% 2/2 54 30 500
Fabian Gomez $8,700 $9,800 $14,900 476 40 -7% 0% -7% 1/1 22 500 500
Sam Burns $7,900 $9,900 $14,300 115 52 -9% -79% -25% 0/0 500 500 500
Jonas Blixt $7,800 $8,800 $14,100 315 59 -28% 20% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Peter Uihlein $7,300 $8,800 $13,900 106 60 15% 18% 3% 0/0 500 500 500
Kelly Kraft $8,100 $9,200 $14,300 191 51 0% 25% -5% 1/1 3 500 500
Hudson Swafford $7,300 $8,900 $13,800 250 68 3% -6% -9% 0/0 500 500 500
Sebastian Munoz $7,400 $8,800 $13,700 271 70 -18% 0% -3% 1/1 500 500 41
Aaron Baddeley $10,700 $10,900 $15,600 207 26 -67% 0% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Charl Schwartzel $9,700 $11,100 $15,500 100 28 0% -133% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Dominic Bozzelli $8,400 $9,500 $14,300 305 52 -39% -14% -25% 1/1 500 500 1
David Lipsky $8,900 $9,800 $15,000 147 39 -8% 13% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Adam Svensson $7,100 $8,600 $12,700 404 101 -16% -23% -11% 1/2 500 6 71
Kramer Hickok $7,900 $9,700 $14,500 193 48 17% -6% -6% 0/1 500 500 96
Matt Every $7,800 $9,500 $14,300 446 52 12% 0% -10% 1/1 35 500 500
Josh Teater $6,700 $7,200 $12,500 417 105 19% 42% 6% 2/2 500 41 11
Harris English $7,700 $9,300 $14,300 312 52 7% 4% -25% 1/1 5 500 500
Rafael Campos $7,300 $8,000 $13,600 392 74 -10% 42% -2% 1/3 92 3 71
Max Homa $7,000 $8,700 $12,700 438 95 7% -20% 0% 1/1 500 500 41
Mac Hughes $6,900 $8,400 $12,600 360 94 17% 5% 13% 1/1 500 500 59
Sepp Straka $7,300 $8,300 $13,700 352 71 -5% 32% -5% 0/1 500 107 500
Benjamin Silverman $7,200 $8,600 $12,700 331 100 -27% -19% -8% 1/2 500 41 109
Chase Wright $7,100 $8,100 $12,600 301 106 -24% 10% -5% 0/0 500 500 500
Shawn Stefani $7,500 $8,200 $14,200 307 54 3% 54% -15% 1/1 13 500 500
Tom Lovelady $6,900 $8,200 $12,300 396 125 -13% -9% -1% 1/1 5 500 500
Brandon Harkins $6,900 $8,700 $12,600 278 97 14% -23% 10% 1/1 500 12 500
Chris Stroud $7,700 $9,100 $13,800 240 69 -44% -30% -11% 0/0 500 500 500
Andres Romero $6,900 $8,500 $12,300 467 127 -14% -38% -3% 0/1 111 500 500
Brice Garnett $7,300 $8,300 $13,500 142 67 5% 38% 14% 1/2 1 70 500
Tom Hoge $7,200 $8,000 $13,500 281 77 2% 41% -2% 0/0 500 500 500
Davis Love $7,300 $9,200 $13,300 463 85 -26% -75% -4% 1/1 70 500 500
Alex Cejka $7,200 $8,200 $12,800 399 98 -22% 15% -6% 0/0 500 500 500
David Lingmerth $6,500 $8,300 $12,200 469 129 19% -23% 1% 1/1 28 500 500
Anders Albertson $6,700 $8,400 $12,300 261 123 9% -27% 0% 0/2 500 89 71
Wes Roach $6,400 $7,500 $11,900 489 159 15% 10% -2% 1/1 500 60 500
Alex Prugh $6,800 $8,200 $12,000 500 146 -13% -22% 1% 0/2 500 140 71
Curtis Luck $7,600 $9,400 $14,300 410 52 17% 0% -20% 0/0 500 500 500
Hunter Mahan $7,000 $9,100 $12,700 357 101 -5% -100% -13% 1/1 35 500 500
Paul Dunne $8,600 $9,600 $14,900 128 40 -6% 15% -13% 1/1 5 500 500
David Hearn $7,200 $8,400 $13,200 496 87 -13% 7% 0% 1/1 50 500 500
Tyler Duncan $6,700 $7,200 $12,500 441 114 13% 37% -2% 2/3 99 3 33
Robert Streb $6,800 $8,900 $12,500 237 116 3% -89% -3% 0/1 117 500 500
Stephan Jaeger $6,800 $8,400 $12,600 321 109 6% -20% -10% 2/3 54 76 11
Roberto Diaz $7,100 $8,500 $13,400 563 80 10% 12% -2% 1/3 99 76 2
Cameron Tringale $7,000 $8,600 $12,600 607 107 -12% -33% -7% 0/1 111 500 500
Seamus Power $7,400 $7,600 $13,700 402 73 -24% 52% -8% 2/2 5 500 7
Billy Hurley $6,700 $7,700 $11,900 976 151 -5% 4% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
Jose de Jesus Rodriguez $6,600 $8,500 $12,200 427 139 8% -48% -3% 0/0 500 500 500
Nicholas Lindheim $7,200 $7,600 $12,700 406 103 -36% 31% -15% 1/1 500 500 11
Ben Crane $6,900 $8,700 $12,700 393 101 8% -32% -9% 1/1 45 500 500
Jim Knous $6,200 $7,900 $11,000 529 250 14% -22% 3% 1/1 500 30 500
Seth Reeves $7,000 $8,300 $12,300 528 129 -28% -22% -4% 1/1 500 3 500
Fredrik Jacobson $6,800 $7,700 $12,400 123 1% 18% 0% 0/0 500 500 500
J.J. Henry $6,500 $7,500 $11,800 632 163 7% 8% 0% 1/1 65 500 500
Martin Piller $6,900 $7,800 $12,300 453 129 -17% 9% -6% 1/1 500 25 500
Grayson Murray $6,600 $8,000 $11,900 345 148 5% -8% 1% 0/0 500 500 500
Sang-Moon Bae $7,100 $9,000 $12,600 334 109 -27% -97% -8% 0/0 500 500 500
Ricky Barnes $6,800 $8,400 $11,800 761 175 -24% -58% -2% 1/1 60 500 500
John Senden $6,700 $7,700 $11,800 864 162 -9% 0% 1% 0/0 500 500 500
Derek Fathauer $7,100 $7,900 $13,300 416 85 2% 37% -6% 0/1 104 500 500
Dru Love $6,700 $7,800 $11,700 188 -21% -15% -2% 0/1 92 500 500
Seungsu Han $7,400 $8,100 $13,400 180 82 -41% 31% -7% 0/0 500 500 500
Chad Campbell $6,600 $8,700 $12,100 365 138 10% -73% 1% 0/0 500 500 500
Brady Schnell $7,000 $8,200 $12,100 420 142 -37% -20% -1% 1/2 500 16 130
Parker McLachlin $6,300 $8,300 $11,000 272 5% -67% -1% 1/2 69 76 500
Tyrone Van Aswegen $6,400 $7,100 $11,100 577 234 4% 15% 4% 0/0 500 500 500
Tim Herron $6,600 $8,000 $11,200 884 256 -17% -32% -3% 1/1 76 500 500
Kyle Jones $6,600 $7,400 $11,600 302 187 -10% 5% 2% 1/1 500 500 59
D.A. Points $6,500 $7,700 $11,700 714 185 0% -8% 0% 0/1 111 500 500
John Merrick $6,300 $8,100 $11,000 1177 278 4% -44% -2% 3/3 28 41 33
Jim Herman $6,600 $7,500 $11,900 898 157 2% 11% -1% 0/0 500 500 500
George McNeill $6,400 $7,200 $11,000 268 -1% 7% 0% 1/1 13 500 500
Tommy Gainey $6,100 $7,000 $10,600 371 8% 3% 0% 1/2 22 128 500
Ken Duke $6,200 $7,300 $10,600 335 4% -5% 3% 1/1 65 500 500
Eric Axley $6,500 $7,600 $10,900 606 290 -13% -17% 2% 3/3 54 16 19
Chris Thompson $6,300 $7,300 $11,200 400 253 8% 5% -2% 0/0 500 500 500
Chris Couch $6,600 $7,000 $12,100 800 -45% -8% -58% 0/0 500 500 500
Shaun Micheel $6,300 $7,000 $11,000 800 -16% -8% -23% 0/2 92 99 500
John Chin $6,400 $7,500 $11,800 524 175 11% 5% -2% 1/1 500 49 500
Nick Hardy $6,800 $8,000 $11,800 181 -27% -20% -5% 0/0 500 500 500
Trevor Immelman $6,500 $7,600 $11,200 451 243 -4% -8% 0% 1/1 77 500 500
Brendon Todd $6,700 $8,100 $11,700 184 -17% -29% 1% 0/1 104 500 500
John Rollins $6,300 $7,400 $10,200 512 -7% -15% 3% 1/2 92 500 68
Dicky Pride $6,200 $7,400 $10,300 468 1% -14% 3% 1/2 35 134 500
Brendon De Jonge $6,500 $7,300 $10,700 315 -15% -3% 2% 1/1 72 500 500
Robert Allenby $6,100 $7,000 $10,700 800 -3% -8% -14% 1/2 81 107 500
Joey Garber $6,800 $7,200 $11,800 423 171 -23% 20% -1% 0/0 500 500 500
Jason Bohn $6,400 $7,000 $10,600 350 -10% 4% 2% 0/1 82 500 500
Brian Davis $6,400 $7,400 $11,000 279 -4% -5% -3% 0/1 117 500 500
Angel Cabrera $6,100 $10,200 576 4% 1% 0/1 111 500 500
Ryan Vermeer $6,100 $7,000 $10,000 832 -7% -12% -2% 0/0 500 500 500
Chip McDaniel $6,300 $7,400 $10,600 353 -4% -12% 1% 0/0 500 500 500
Charlie Beljan $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 562 -1% 0% 2% 0/0 500 500 500
Troy Matteson $6,100 $7,300 $10,700 332 11% -4% 1% 1/1 19 500 500
Theo Humphrey $6,500 $7,000 $10,900 290 -13% 9% 2% 0/0 500 500 500
David Duval $6,100 $7,800 $10,000 882 -8% -58% -3% 0/0 500 500 500
Omar Uresti $6,200 $7,000 $10,200 618 -4% -4% -2% 1/1 73 500 500
Zach Zaback $6,000 $7,300 $10,200 579 9% -13% 0% 0/1 117 500 500
Cameron Beckman $6,000 $10,000 800 3% 2% 1/1 77 500 500
Julio Santos $6,200 $7,100 $10,100 794 -8% -9% 0% 1/2 73 125 500
Jacob Eggers $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 779 5% -6% 1% 0/0 500 500 500
Rhadames Pena $6,100 $7,000 $10,000 926 -8% -14% -4% 0/1 131 500 500
Hiram Silfa $6,000 $7,000 $10,000 1118 -3% -15% -5% 0/3 104 144 109
George Riley $6,000 $7,000 $10,000 1206 -4% -16% -6% 0/2 117 146 500
Tony Romo $6,000 $7,000 $10,000 1441 -5% -17% -6% 0/0 500 500 500
Heath Slocum $6,400 $7,000 $10,200 579 -17% -2% 0% 0/1 124 500 500
Justin Bertsch $6,000 $7,000 $10,100 683 6% -4% 2% 0/0 500 500 500
Mike Ballo Jr $6,200 $7,000 717 -6% -5% 0/0 500 500 500
Juan Cayro Delgado $6,300 $7,000 809 -20% -12% 0/0 500 500 500

WGC-Dell Match Play Preview

Before we get into the course, let’s talk a little strategy for this event. There are 64 golfers in the field and they are divided into 16 different pods. It will be round robin the first two days with golfers in each pod squaring off against each other. The winner of each pod will advance to the round of 16. From there, it is a single elimination bracket style tournament. Our goal from a DFS perspective, we want all six of our golfers to have a chance to advance to the elite eight. In other words, we should try to avoid taking two golfers from the same pod and try to avoid taking too many from the same quadrant.

Austin Country Club is a Pete Dye design. It’s a short Par 71 that measures only 7,108 yards. Like most Dye designs, you can’t overpower this course off the tee. While we’ve seen big hitters win here in the past, it’s more of a second shot course that requires creativity at times. This is a tree-lined course with many risk/reward type of golf shots that really play into the match play event. While I will certainly be looking at statistics this week, we have an added element of strategy with the pods. Some look a lot tougher than others on paper. I will actually be attending this event, so if anyone is going and sees me there, come up and introduce yourself and we can talk some DFS.

Here are the 16 groups:

Group 1

Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama, Branden Grace, Chez Reavie

Group 2

Justin Rose, Gary Woodland, Eddie Pepperell, Emiliano Grillo

Group 3

Brooks Koepka, Alex Noren, Haotong Li, Tom Lewis

Group 4

Rory McIlroy, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Justin Harding, Luke List

Group 5

Justin Thomas, Keegan Bradley, Matt Wallace, Lucas Bjerregaard

Group 6

Bryson DeChambeau, Marc Leishman, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Russell Knox

Group 7

Francesco Molinari, Webb Simpson, Thorbjorn Olesen, Satoshi Kodaira

Group 8

Jon Rahm, Matt Kuchar, J.B. Holmes, Si Woo Kim

Group 9

Xander Schauffele, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Tyrrell Hatton, Lee Westwood

Group 10

Paul Casey, Cameron Smith, Charles Howell III, Abraham Ancer

Group 11

Tommy Fleetwood, Louis Oosthuizen, Kyle Stanley, Byeong Hun An

Group 12

Jason Day, Phil Mickelson, Henrik Stenson, Jim Furyk

Group 13

Tiger Woods, Patrick Cantlay, Brandt Snedeker, Aaron Wise

Group 14

Tony Finau, Ian Poulter, Kevin Kisner, Keith Mitchell

Group 15

Bubba Watson, Jordan Spieth, Billy Horschel, Kevin Na

Group 16

Patrick Reed, Sergio Garcia, Shane Lowry, Andrew Putnam

Recent Winners of this Event:Bubba Watson (2018), Dustin Johnson (2017), Jason Day (2016)

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Approach
2) Birdie or Better %
3) Strokes Gained Putting
4) Strokes Gained Off the Tee
5) Bogey Avoidance

Salaries, Odds, and Course History (2016-2018)

Golfer DK Salary OWGR Odds DK % 2018 2017 2016
Brooks Koepka $10,300 3 21 -20% 500 16 8
Rory McIlroy $11,700 4 10 0% 64 64 4
Dustin Johnson $11,400 1 10 0% 64 1 8
Justin Thomas $11,000 5 14 0% 4 64 64
Justin Rose $10,000 2 20 17% 500 500 64
Tommy Fleetwood $9,600 12 21 13% 64 64 500
Tiger Woods $9,200 14 26 0% 500 500 500
Webb Simpson $8,300 22 48 -14% 64 64 500
Sergio Garcia $8,500 27 40 11% 16 64 64
Xander Schauffele $9,400 9 35 -50% 64 500 500
Francesco Molinari $9,300 7 25 0% 64 500 500
Paul Casey $9,100 11 25 31% 64 16 64
Matt Kuchar $8,100 24 46 4% 16 64 16
Jon Rahm $10,600 8 16 0% 64 2 500
Hideki Matsuyama $8,200 25 42 14% 64 64 64
Bryson DeChambeau $9,500 6 25 -11% 500 500 500
Bubba Watson $8,900 16 30 13% 1 16 64
Patrick Reed $8,600 17 43 -11% 16 64 16
Patrick Cantlay $8,400 19 48 -15% 64 500 500
Jason Day $9,800 13 23 -14% 64 500 1
Tony Finau $9,000 15 32 0% 64 500 500
Ian Poulter $7,700 32 36 43% 8 500 500
Marc Leishman $8,800 18 44 -31% 64 16 64
Jim Furyk $7,200 54 92 -3% 500 64 500
Rafael Cabrera-Bello $7,500 31 64 9% 64 64 3
Byeong-Hun An $6,300 51 93 27% 500 64 500
Billy Horschel $7,300 40 71 6% 500 500 64
Charles Howell $7,400 44 74 -3% 16 16 500
Gary Woodland $7,800 23 53 -4% 64 500 500
Jordan Spieth $8,700 30 50 -47% 64 64 16
Louis Oosthuizen $7,500 20 42 44% 16 64 2
Russell Knox $6,600 62 116 4% 500 64 64
Cameron Smith $7,900 26 51 -4% 8 500 500
Matt Wallace $7,100 35 82 8% 500 500 500
Keegan Bradley $7,200 33 70 16% 64 500 500
Kevin Kisner $7,000 50 62 33% 2 64 64
Alexander Noren $7,000 28 86 10% 3 8 500
Henrik Stenson $7,600 39 67 -3% 500 500 500
Tyrrell Hatton $7,600 37 92 -30% 16 64 500
Thorbjorn Olesen $6,500 47 139 -8% 500 500 64
Si Woo Kim $6,500 56 117 6% 16 64 500
Phil Mickelson $8,000 21 66 -25% 64 8 64
Luke List $6,800 69 118 -9% 64 500 500
Matthew Fitzpatrick $7,700 34 70 -18% 64 64 64
Andrew Putnam $6,100 53 200 -3% 500 500 500
Keith Mitchell $6,400 58 109 15% 500 500 500
Brandt Snedeker $7,800 46 74 -38% 500 64 16
Hao-Tong Li $6,800 38 102 4% 64 500 500
Emiliano Grillo $6,900 55 126 -23% 500 64 64
Eddie Pepperell $6,900 36 98 2% 500 500 500
Abraham Ancer $6,400 61 123 2% 500 500 500
Kevin Na $6,300 60 145 -2% 64 16 64
Justin Harding $6,200 49 153 -2% 500 500 500
Kiradech Aphibarnrat $6,700 41 96 13% 8 500 64
Branden Grace $7,400 42 102 -29% 64 64 64
Aaron Wise $6,000 64 147 6% 500 500 500
Lee Westwood $6,600 65 110 6% 500 64 64
J.B. Holmes $7,100 45 120 -28% 500 64 64
Lucas Bjerregaard $6,200 52 136 5% 500 500 500
Tom Lewis $6,000 63 203 -2% 500 500 500
Shane Lowry $7,300 48 121 -44% 500 64 64
Chez Reavie $6,700 57 170 -25% 64 500 500
Kyle Stanley $6,100 43 177 -2% 8 500 500
Satoshi Kodaira $6,000 67 262 -3% 64 500 500

Sports Betting Card

We were so close to a big week. Jason Kokrak just had to get up and down on 18 from right in front of the green to force a playoff with Paul Casey. Alas, he decided to putt through the fringe and was unable to convert his eight-footer for par. Luckily, we also had Kokrak as a top five bet, which paid out eight to one. We bet a total of 10 units and got eight back. Breakeven weeks are always acceptable in golf punting.

YTD: 3 wins, +27 units

Corales

Outright Bets

Trey Mullinax 33/1
Joel Dahmen 35/1
Adam Schenk 50/1
Hank Lebioda 100/1

Match Play

Outright Bets

Brooks Koepka 22/1
Francesco Molinari 25/1
Tiger Woods 28/1
Sergio Garcia 40/1

About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious