Primetime Parlay: Raiders vs. Lions Same Game Parlay Picks

by Joe Cistaro (joeycis) Last Updated 2024-06-18 12:29:12

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Last year, ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool helped create a variety of fun same-game parlay tickets throughout the NFL season. Through thousands of simulations, the tool examines the potential value various betting lines offer on sports betting apps. Along with the simulations, we will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sports betting sites to find the best price for our same-game parlay ticket. For this article, we build a same-game parlay for the Las Vegas Raiders versus the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football.

The eighth week of the NFL season concludes in Detroit as the Lions welcome the Las Vegas Raiders. Coming off of a brutal loss to the Baltimore Ravens, the Lions look to rebound as heavy favorites at home. The Raiders look to pick up the pieces after a loss to the Bears. With Jimmy G back in the fold, will the Raiders keep pace with an explosive Lions offense? Let’s take a look at betting odds, injuries, and stats before building a same-game parlay ticket on FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Raiders vs. Lions Same Game Parlay

At the time of this writing, FanDuel offers the Lions at 7.5-point home favorites against Las Vegas on Monday night. Per SAO, 83% of betting tickets were punched on the Detroit side of the spread, while a whopping 96% of the betting handle agrees. While the Lions’ defense has given up plenty of points, pundits anticipate the Lions rebounding in a big way.

As for points, the implied game total sits at 46.5 points. Oddly, the line has increased by two points despite 71% of the betting handle choosing the under. I am wondering if this money is coming in now after the shift in the over/under. Perhaps there is value on the under now that it climbed from the initial 44.5 points.

Amon-Ra St. Brown was added to the injury report on Sunday with a case of the flu and is questionable for the primetime affair. David Montgomery was already ruled out along with guard Jonah Jackson. Center Frank Ragnow is doubtful, meaning that Jahmyr Gibbs could be rushing behind a makeshift offensive line. Gibbs saw 21 running back touches as the lead back in the loss to the Ravens.

For the Raiders, Jimmy Garoppolo will return and start at quarterback after Brian Hoyer filled in against the Bears. The Raiders are still technically in playoff contention at the near halfway point of the season but will need a win against Detroit to keep those chances.

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Davante Adams continues to be the centerpiece of a Las Vegas offense that leaves a lot to be desired. The Raiders are worst in rushing yards per attempt, 22nd in passing yards per attempt, and 30th in scoring at a measly 16.0 PPG.

On the other hand, Detroit averages 24.9 points per game, with a drastic split between home and road statistics. The Lions’ offense scores 31 PPG in Detroit while only averaging 20.3 PPG on the road. Jared Goff has a reputation for performing better in domes. While that may or may not be true, the Lions’ offense is certainly more efficient in their home base.

The Lions struggled on the ground but churned out 6.0 yards per carry with Jahmyr Gibbs against the Ravens. Whether or not that is something we can expect or a circumstance of playing catch-up is up for debate. That said, we should see a healthy dose of Gibbs at home against a far shakier defense. Fantasy players continue to wait for a monstrous performance. Tonight could be the night.

Both teams still have plenty to play for and we have seen far stranger outcomes in the NFL this season. The Raiders’ offense must improve with their quarterback back under center while the Lions must overcome a few crucial injuries. Let’s build our SGP ticket on FanDuel to sweat along with tonight’s game.

Same Game Parlay Picks for MNF

Adams Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
LaPorta Over 45.5 Receiving Yards
Gibbs Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

Davante Adams Over 74.5 Receiving Yards

The Lions’ defense gives up enough points where ParlayIQ clearly thinks the Raiders will move the ball on Monday night. Like his predecessor, Jimmy Garoppolo knows where his bread is buttered and will find ways to target Davante Adams. Adams makes no bones about his intentions. He collects stats.

ParlayIQ projects this to occur in better than 54% of simulations. If the Lions do come out to a lead, the Raiders will throw until the game is out of hand. I like starting our night with a superstar receiver.

Sam LaPorta Over 45.5 Receiving Yards

Speaking of receivers, Sam LaPorta continues to buck the myth that rookie tight ends struggle in their first season. LaPorta is a dynamic receiver that continues to get attention from Jared Goff with each game.

LaPorta will receive his normal share of targets and can be in for more if Amon-Ra St. Brown cannot overcome his bout with the flu. While the Raiders are relatively solid against the tight end position, LaPorta is a better option than normal opponents with great upside after the catch. If Amon-Ra St. Brown sits, we are in business. Even if he plays, we are still in business.

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

We know that David Montgomery will not play tonight. Jahmyr Gibbs handled 85% of the offensive snaps at the running back position for the Lions. While Detroit was on the chase all game, Gibbs was targeted ten times. We can’t expect that to happen if the Lions are leading but Gibbs will be targeted out of the backfield.

The young back looks like a highlight waiting to happen with the ball in his hands. We could already have this prop checked off by halftime.