STLCards' NFL Field Stretcher: Week 14
Justin Van Zuiden, also known as STLCardinals84, has proven time and time again that he’s one of the best tournament players in the DFS industry. Join him each week as he gives you a glimpse into the mind of a GPP maestro.
Week 14
Welcome back to the NFL Field Stretcher for Week #14! This is a really intriguing week where we are going to see a LOT of similar DFS builds out there. Injury situations have created some very popular spots for value, and lineup construction is going to be of primary importance in GPP contests. I’ll touch on this at a more in-depth level below, but let’s first start with our usual look at Vegas odds for the week.
The Week 14 Slate – An Overview
Largest Favorites
LAC -14 vs. CIN
PIT -10 at OAK
NO -9 1/2 at TB
NE -7 at MIA
KC -6 1/2 vs. BAL
Highest Game Totals
NO/TB – 55 1/2
BAL/KC – 51 1/2
PIT/OAK – 51 1/2
ATL/GB – 50
IND/HOU – 49 1/2
Highest Implied Team Totals
NO – 32 1/2
LAC – 31
PIT – 31
KC – 29
GB – 27 1/2
HOU – 27
NE – 27
Lowest Implied Team Totals
CIN – 17
NYJ – 17 1/2
ARI – 19
WAS – 19
MIA – 20
A few notes on the above:
1) The highest implied team totals this week correspond pretty much directly with the largest favorites. This means we aren’t expected to see a lot of close, higher-scoring games; many of them are projected to be decided by a full touchdown or more.
2) It’s rare to see Baltimore on the list of highest game totals given how good their defense is, but such is life when you play the Chiefs.
3) How the mighty have fallen… The Bengals looked like a legitimate playoff team early in the year, but their defense has gone in the tank, and now their offense is dealing with a rash of injuries. Suddenly, the Bengals have the lowest team total on the board and are huge underdogs against the Chargers.
4) Don’t sleep on the GB/ATL and IND/HOU games as strong potential shootouts this week. The Packers might have new life with McCarthy gone, while the Colts and Texans logged 71 total points in their first head-to-head matchup.
Addressing The Chalky Lineup Build
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Comments
Cards, I’m seriously considering putting the NYG DST in several of my gpp lineups this week. The Redskins offense was already lackluster but now the Giants get to feast on the human turnover machine, aka Mark Sanchez. A pick six or perhaps two might make a huge difference if the other positions hit just right!
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Totally agree with this. Any defense facing Sanchez can be viable with a chance at a defensive TD.