STLCards' NFL Field Stretcher: Week 14

Justin Van Zuiden, also known as STLCardinals84, has proven time and time again that he’s one of the best tournament players in the DFS industry. Join him each week as he gives you a glimpse into the mind of a GPP maestro.

Week 14

Welcome back to the NFL Field Stretcher for Week #14! This is a really intriguing week where we are going to see a LOT of similar DFS builds out there. Injury situations have created some very popular spots for value, and lineup construction is going to be of primary importance in GPP contests. I’ll touch on this at a more in-depth level below, but let’s first start with our usual look at Vegas odds for the week.

The Week 14 Slate – An Overview

Largest Favorites

LAC -14 vs. CIN
PIT -10 at OAK
NO -9 1/2 at TB
NE -7 at MIA
KC -6 1/2 vs. BAL

Highest Game Totals

NO/TB – 55 1/2
BAL/KC – 51 1/2
PIT/OAK – 51 1/2
ATL/GB – 50
IND/HOU – 49 1/2

Highest Implied Team Totals

NO – 32 1/2
LAC – 31
PIT – 31
KC – 29
GB – 27 1/2
HOU – 27
NE – 27

Lowest Implied Team Totals

CIN – 17
NYJ – 17 1/2
ARI – 19
WAS – 19
MIA – 20

A few notes on the above:

1) The highest implied team totals this week correspond pretty much directly with the largest favorites. This means we aren’t expected to see a lot of close, higher-scoring games; many of them are projected to be decided by a full touchdown or more.

2) It’s rare to see Baltimore on the list of highest game totals given how good their defense is, but such is life when you play the Chiefs.

3) How the mighty have fallen… The Bengals looked like a legitimate playoff team early in the year, but their defense has gone in the tank, and now their offense is dealing with a rash of injuries. Suddenly, the Bengals have the lowest team total on the board and are huge underdogs against the Chargers.

4) Don’t sleep on the GB/ATL and IND/HOU games as strong potential shootouts this week. The Packers might have new life with McCarthy gone, while the Colts and Texans logged 71 total points in their first head-to-head matchup.

Addressing The Chalky Lineup Build

Our Premium content can help you make better picks every day

  • To read this full article for this week’s NFL games, you need to have a subscription to RG Premium.
  • A Premium subscription will allow you to access this article, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, daily picks from top-ranked players, and much more.
Start your FREE 7-day trial

  • If you have already used your free trial, you can purchase a weekly pass to quickly gain access to Premium Content!
Purchase a week pass

About the Author

Comments

  • dethdealers

    Cards, I’m seriously considering putting the NYG DST in several of my gpp lineups this week. The Redskins offense was already lackluster but now the Giants get to feast on the human turnover machine, aka Mark Sanchez. A pick six or perhaps two might make a huge difference if the other positions hit just right!

  • stlcardinals84

    Leading RG Expert & Contributor

    • 38

      RG Overall Ranking

    • Ranked #31

      RG Tiered Ranking

    • 2018 DraftKings FBWC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings FBBWC Finalist

    @dethdealers said...

    Cards, I’m seriously considering putting the NYG DST in several of my gpp lineups this week. The Redskins offense was already lackluster but now the Giants get to feast on the human turnover machine, aka Mark Sanchez. A pick six or perhaps two might make a huge difference if the other positions hit just right!

    Totally agree with this. Any defense facing Sanchez can be viable with a chance at a defensive TD.

  • X Unread Thread
  • X Thread with New Replies*
  • *Jumps to your first unread reply

New to DFS?

Be sure to click through our links and use our exclusive promo codes to receive the industry's best sign-up bonuses, including free access to our premium content.

RotoGrinders.com is the home of the daily fantasy sports community. Our content, rankings, member blogs, promotions and forum discussion all cater to the players that like to create a new fantasy team every day of the week. Our goal is to help all of our members make more money playing daily fantasy sports!

Disclosures: All RotoGrinders content contributors are active DFS players. Contributor screen names can be found on their respective RotoGrinders profile pages. Contributors reserve the right to use players or strategies not discussed in their content on RotoGrinders.