Wild Card Weekend NFL Player Props: Top Predictions for Sunday, 1/12
What can we expect on Sunday from Bo Nix, Jalen Hurts, and Brian Robinson? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down three of his favorite NFL prop bets for Sunday, January 12, 2025. Get all of Nick’s picks, including more football props, at ScoresAndOdds.
NFL Wild Card Weekend continues on Sunday, with an exciting 3-game slate on tap. The action begins at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS, with the Broncos taking on the Bills. Jordan Love and the Packers will play Jalen Hurts and the Eagles in the mid-afternoon time slot, followed by the Commanders against the Buccaneers later tonight.
If looking to wager on the player prop market for today, we have 3 prop leans to consider for Sunday’s NFL Wild Card Round action!
Wild Card, Sunday – NFL Player Props
- Bo Nix Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Jalen Hurts Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Brian Robinson Over/Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts
Bo Nix UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-145, BetMGM)
Since 2000, there have been 9 rookie quarterbacks who have seen their 1st career playoff action on the road in the Wild Card round. Among those quarterbacks (min. 20 pass attempts), only Mac Jones and Matt Ryan have managed to throw multiple touchdown passes. Both of them also had multiple interceptions in that contest.
In total, these rookies have gone only 3-6 SU in those games, and only Mark Sanchez in 2010 has managed better than a 46.5% success rate. Simply, rookie signal callers have struggled in these spots, playing on the road in their first season. Nix has thrown the ball well of late, but he threw multiple touchdown passes in only 4 of 9 road games during the regular season. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him struggle.
Jalen Hurts UNDER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-140, DraftKings)
As of Monday, Jalen Hurts remained in concussion protocol. This was particularly noteworthy news given that Hurts suffered his concussion in the first quarter on December 22 against the Commanders, 15 days prior. That means that Hurts hadn’t played in a game nor practiced in over two weeks.
There could be some genuine rust for Hurts due to the long layoff. In Week 1 of the regular season, there were 10 starting quarterbacks who didn’t play in the preseason, and 9 of them threw 1 passing touchdown or fewer. Though the comparison is not “apples to apples,” we have seen countless times that long layoffs are not a good thing for quarterbacks.
Philadelphia is already a team that prefers to run the ball near the goal line rather than pass it. They could lean even heavier on the run in the Wild Card round, with Hurts working his way back from a brain injury.
Brian Robinson OVER 11.5 Rushing Attempts (-110, Bally)
This is a rather low line for a player who has been an integral component of Washington’s offense (when healthy) this season. Excluding Week 18, in which the Commanders pulled some of their starters early, Robinson has cleared this market number in 10 of 13 games overall, including each of his 5 games played on the road.
Tampa Bay’s run defense was very good during the back half of the regular season, ranking 1st in EPA/play allowed. However, it’s worth pointing out that their post-bye schedule featured only one playoff team. It’s likely to be a focal point for Washington to see if they can get Robinson going. There is value on the over at this price.
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