U.S. Open by the Numbers: DFS Wrap-Up

The DraftKings $2.5M Millionaire Maker ended in dramatic fashion last night as carlbassewitz held off a late charge by RotoGrinders analyst and DFS legend headchopper to become the second PGA millionaire of the season. Dustin Johnson’s three-putt on the 18th green secured the title for carlbassewitz and his team of Jordan Spieth (1), Louis Oosthuizen (T2), Kevin Kisner (T12), Patrick Reed (T14), Tony Finau (T14), and Jason Dufner (T18). Incredibly, carlbassewitz and Masters Millionaire Maker champion brettmarino each did it with a single entry.

A total of 53,482 players submitted 143,125 entries for a shot at the $1 million first place prize. Twelve players submitted the maximum 500 entries while 35,806 (67% of the field) players submitted a single entry. Several players decided they hate money and failed to submit a lineup for 1,590 entries.

Let’s take a look at the breakdown by number of entries.

Now let’s take a look at some other interesting statistics.

• The highest finish for a player with one golfer that did not make the cut was alklutts in 25th place.

• The highest finish for a player with two golfers that did not make the cut was CapeCoast in 1,668th place.

• Two players (dsherm22 and mgeezy12) cashed with three golfers missing the cut. Both players chose Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson, and Louis Oosthuizen.

• The most popular lineup (Billy Horschel, Brandt Snedeker, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, Jim Furyk, Patrick Reed – 121 entries) finished in the top 2.5% of the field.

• The most highly owned golfer in the field (Hideki Matsuyama – 28.5%) appeared in only one of the top ten lineups.

• 70 players won at least $1,000 and 113 players lost at least $1,000.

• The No Chalk Award goes to rockytop69, who did not have a golfer over 0.4% owned.

• The Straight Chalk Award goes to 10 players, with each golfer at least 14% owned.

• 3,048 players cashed without choosing a golfer that finished in the top 10.

• 17,904 players chose Jordan Spieth but did not cash.

• 556 players chose Jordan Spieth and either Dustin Johnson or Louis Oosthuizen but did not cash.

Registration is currently open for the DraftKings $3M Fantasy Golf Millionaire Maker for The Open Championship beginning July 16th, where players will have another shot at a million dollars.

About the Author

  • baseballs (baseballs)

  • Chad Hancher is a western Pennsylvania native and 2005 graduate of Penn State who’s been hooked on DFS since 2011. He currently resides in Alexandria, VA with his wife and works as a statistician in Washington DC. You can find him on twitter at baseballsDFS.

Comments

  • TanstrosFan

    Good work. It’s always fun to look back at tournaments you played in to see a different take on the results.

  • borkbork

    That chart changes a bit if Dustin Johnson makes that putt.. Seems like single entry would still be strong but negative 30-40%? And the 50-99 entry would be plus about 1000%?

    Not editorializing, just saying there’s not much to draw out of such a top-heavy prize structure. Pretty much every group except the group that includes the winner and maybe the runner up is going to be garbage. 4th place isn’t even enough to make the 2-entry group decent.

    To me this would be so much better if they lowered that top prize and made maybe 5 people $100,000+ winners, with a half-mil to the winner, and they’d keep way more money in circulation that way.

    But they’re printing money, I’m sure their data says otherwise. How many people would enter 100+ lineups if they were ONLY going to win 500K? We get the payout structures we choose to buy into I guess. To me, that’s just obscene to have two great lineups decided by a putt and the difference is ten-fold. You shouldn’t feel like crap for hitting 2nd out of 143,000 – but most of us would in Headchopper’s situation.

    At least in poker, when you got to the final table you could make a deal to chop up all or a portion of the winnings, and if not, the differences in payouts weren’t nearly as bad.

    Interesting as well to see that those who spent $200-$1000 got killed. That’s a pretty significant amount of lineups, and it clearly guaranteed nothing.

    Money helps, but usually the money lies in the hands of the people with the greater skill. Pretty much like life in general.

  • KillaChap

    I love it when single entry guys win over the multi-entry players!

  • DoubleTime

    • 2016 King of Summer: August

    Shouldn’t the % of players earning a profit be the exact same number as the % of line-ups that cashed for those people that had a single entry? Due to the the fact that the min payout was $25, so all 20.1% of people that cashed would have earned a profit. But it says that only 19.8% earned a profit for single entries.

    Just sayin

  • baseballs

    good catch DoubleTime. the % lineups cashed only includes entries that submitted a lineup. sometimes DK includes blank entries in csv files and sometimes it doesn’t. makes it a little tough to analyze.

  • DoubleTime

    • 2016 King of Summer: August

    That makes sense, thanks for explaining and thanks for the article. I like random stats like all these, very interesting. I think the craziest stat of all is that there were 1,590 blank line-ups! That’s a lot of money wasted.

    The other interesting thing, is that Headchopper’s line-up that came in 2nd place did not even include the winner Jordan Spieth! He very well could have won with that line-up.

  • JoeBags

    Thousandaire maker also won by single entry player, FWIW

  • bripc23

    2013 PFBC Finalist

    @borkbork said...

    To me, that’s just obscene to have two great lineups decided by a putt and the difference is ten-fold.

    Amen

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