Primetime Parlay: Vikings vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay Picks
Last year, ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool helped us create a variety of fun same-game parlay tickets throughout the NFL season. Through simulations, the tool examines the potential value various betting lines offer on sports betting sites. Along with the simulation, we will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sports betting sites to find the best price for our same-game parlay ticket. For this article, we build a Thursday Night Football same-game parlay for the Minnesota Vikings versus the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles welcome the Vikings in a primetime rematch from last football season. The Eagles come off a challenging road victory in New England. The Vikings, on the other hand, lost to the Baker Mayfield-led, Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 1. Both teams are regarded as playoff contenders this season. Will the Vikings spoil the Eagles’ home opener? Will the Eagles right the offensive ship? Let’s build a same-game parlay ticket for Thursday Night Football.
Vikings vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay
The Eagles are 6.5-point favorites at FanDuel Sportsbook. Also, at the time of this writing, the implied game total is quite robust at 49.5 points. The Eagles and Vikings struggled to score on Sunday, but oddsmakers portend a far more efficient night of offense.
Bettors agree. SAO reports an 81% share of betting handle siding with just 61% of betting tickets. The public likes points and believes we will see plenty of scoring this evening — moving the over/under a whole point since its opening. The betting tickets seem to favor the Eagles, but 53% of the actual money spent on the market moved the number off seven points to the 6.5-point line.
For the Eagles, the defense was strong against a less-than-spectacular Patriot offense — even running back an interception for a score. The focus of the Eagle’s defense will be to somehow stop Justin Jefferson. Good luck. Jefferson saw 12 targets from Kirk Cousins in the opening game of the season. He converted those for nine catches and 150 yards. Last season, the Eagles kept Jefferson in check for only 48 receiving yards. If Jefferson is held in check, the Vikings will struggle just as mightily as last season when they lost 24-7 on Monday Night Football.
The Philadelphia offense did not soar in Week 1 versus the Patriots. Jalen Hurts accrued only 154 passing yards on the road against a stingy New England defense. The birds only rushed for 97 yards. The hot start from the Philly defense and a relatively slow-paced game didn’t necessitate a high-flying attack. That said, when the Eagles needed to get cooking late, they struggled to move the football. The Viking defense is nowhere near as imposing as that of the Patriots. I expect to see plenty more from Jalen Hurts at home.
As for injuries, James Bradberry and Reed Blankenship will not suit up in the Eagles’ secondary. While this should make life a bit easier for Kirk Cousins, the Eagles front seven will terrorize a suspect Minnesota offensive line throughout the game. Kenneth Gainwell will not play on Thursday night. D’Andre Swift, Boston Scott, and Rashaad Penny will be active in the backfield.
For the Vikings, center Garrett Bradbury is out, while LT Christian Darrisaw is questionable for the primetime affair. Kirk Cousins could be under siege all game against what could be the best front seven in the NFL.
While oddsmakers expect points, the Minnesota offensive line situation makes me a bit squeamish about projecting a high-scoring affair. Let’s see what ParlayIQ likes in tonight’s game.
Same Game Parlay Picks for TNF
Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline
I am not going to waste any time with this one. I appreciate the public moving the spread for a primetime affair. However, do we really have any faith in Minnesota’s ability to keep Kirk Cousins upright?
The Eagles are obviously significantly better than the Buccaneers and the pressure that this defense can muster up should give Kirk Cousins fits all night. We have already witnessed twice in primetime what happens to a team when they cannot block up an aggressive front. I feel like a route is in play tonight as Kirk Cousins runs for his life all night.
The viewer in me hopes I am wrong and we get an enjoyable affair. Then again, nothing is better than winning a parlay. We open with the Eagles.
Justin Jefferson Under 94.5 Receiving Yards
How will Justin Jefferson succeed when Kirk Cousins is on his back?
I am not buying it. I don’t see any reason for the Viking offense to overcome the Philadelphia defense. In fact, I wouldn’t be shocked if tonight’s game mirrors the Monday Night affair from last season. Jefferson was bottled up all night by the Eagles’ defense. This year, the Vikings feature fewer weapons and are going to struggle to protect Kirk Cousins all night.
While Justin Jefferson can win any individual matchup, I am not sure Kirk Cousins will be able to get the ball out. The 48 yards from last season feel pretty appropriate tonight. More than 50% of the simulations of this game have Justin Jefferson staying below this very lofty receiving output. I agree.
Jalen Hurts Over 46.5 Rushing Yards
Given the Eagles are going to run roughshod all over the Viking offense, why would the Eagles need to air it out that often on offense? Instead, the Eagles can keep handing the ball off to their trio of backs and Jalen Hurts can use his ridiculous athleticism to take advantage of gaps and lanes created by the Eagles’ offensive line.
Hurts is capable of exceeding this total with just a couple of carries but is more likely to approach double digits than stand in the pocket and pass the ball all night. If the Vikings are caught in man defense with their backs turned, Hurts can rip off large gains all night. I don’t think it will take much for him to hit this over.
Alexander Mattison Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Finally, Kirk Cousins is going to be under immense pressure throughout the game. Alexander Mattison saw four targets last week and could see more as the primary safety valve for Cousins on early downs. While he will likely need to be involved in pass protection, the best way to slow a pass rush down is with screens and draw plays. The Vikings must know this is going to be an issue heading into this game.
Mattison should get a couple of looks on designed screens and swing passes and should have a few opportunities just because Kirk Cousins needs somewhere to go with the football. I think this over makes plenty of sense and works against the grain of a Philadelphia win. Same-game parlays often see improved odds when outcomes don’t correlate. While Mattison could have a big receiving day in a losing effort, the script does not fit as well as the Viking offense simply doing nothing.
Remember, these parlays are treated by me as a recreational challenge to throw a couple of bucks down and hope for a nice outcome. I would never recommend wagering over your limit on any parlays for a single game. Good luck!
Vikings vs. Eagles Parlay Odds
- Philadelphia Eagles Moneyline
- Justin Jefferson Under 94.5 Receiving Yards
- Jalen Hurts Over 46.5 Rushing Yards
- Alexander Mattison Over 13.5 Receiving Yards
Here is a look at what ParlayIQ thinks about this parlay:
Here is a look at our ticket on FanDuel Sportsbook:
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Parlay Odds: +718
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 3.59 units
Good luck with all of your bets and plays this evening. Share your parlays with me on Twitter. First touchdown scorers? Touchdowns? DFS lineups? Player props? Thanks for reading.