Yards Per Gretch: Week 3

Ben Gretch, Editor in Chief of Fantasy Insiders, takes an ultra-high resolution look at the upcoming NFL week. If you haven’t yet been introduced to Ben’s level of thinking, get ready for great takes loaded with analytical insight.

Week 3

Injuries are already starting to take their toll. We know the NFL season is a war of attrition, and for DFS it means backups thrust into higher-value roles at discounted price tags.

The easy response is to jam in the cheap touches, but we’re constrained by more than just the salary cap. We have roster constraints as well. Every player in your lineup is taking the place of a bunch of potential alternatives, from other players to other configurations.

Let’s get to the picks.

Exploitable Situations

Alvin Kamara @ATL

Early in the week, Alvin Kamara looked like the play everyone would be on. As the week has rolled along and a ton of cheap RB options have opened up, I’m starting to catch wind of cash configurations that feature three RBs not named Kamara. I even heard how he didn’t play well against Atlanta last year, even though he left their first matchup with a concussion on the first drive.

I don’t want to spend a ton of time on this, but he’s very much worth his high price tag. We know Atlanta concedes a ton of targets to the RB position, and we know that RB receiving is huge for both the floor and ceiling of a back. I wrote up the relevant info last week for McCaffrey if you’re interested. Suffice to say McCaffrey’s 15 targets didn’t change the trend.

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About the Author

gretch
Ben Gretch (gretch)

Ben Gretch (on Twitter @YardsPerGretch) specializes in blending the numbers that matter with actionable insights about the game. His previous work has been published at Rotoworld, RotoViz, FantasyLabs, and RotoUnderworld. He is the Editor in Chief at Fantasy Insiders.