Yards Per Gretch: Week 2

Ben Gretch, Editor in Chief of Fantasy Insiders, takes an ultra-high resolution look at the upcoming NFL week. If you haven’t yet been introduced to Ben’s level of thinking, get ready for great takes loaded with analytical insight.

Week 2

When to zig while others zag? For Week 2, we have one game of data in the books, and it’s easy to weight those results too heavily. We spend a whole week with both recency and primacy biases feeding our subconscious, with some confirmation bias on certain guys mixed in for good measure. Our brains can’t help but think we learned way more than we actually did last week.

Some of the major Week 1 performances will carry over, of course. We have to adjust to the most relevant data we have. It’s likely we’ve already seen the starts of some major 2018 breakouts. The trouble is figuring out what to believe and what to fade on a small sample, which is the focus of my Stealing Signals column at Fantasy Insiders, and will be the focus of this week’s Yards Per Gretch as well. Let’s get to the picks.

Exploitable Situations

Stefon Diggs @GB

Diggs has become something of a polarizing figure. For a few years now, he’s been a popular favorite among fantasy analysts, as he’s appeared undervalued to a stellar production profile stretching back to college. Still just 24 years old, the argument I and others have made is while soft tissue injuries may have stalled things, the breakout is very much coming.

But because of that nearly cult following, Diggs has picked up his detractors, or at least those who are quick to point out Adam Thielen has been far more productive since the beginning of last year. And yet, this is a productive situation for both, as the two dominate Minnesota’s targets. There are only so many targets to go around in every offense, but the True No. 1 WR discussion is less relevant in Minnesota.

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About the Author

  • Ben Gretch (gretch)

  • Ben Gretch (on Twitter @YardsPerGretch) specializes in blending the numbers that matter with actionable insights about the game. His previous work has been published at Rotoworld, RotoViz, FantasyLabs, and RotoUnderworld. He is the Editor in Chief at Fantasy Insiders.


  • Cerias

    “Receptions stabilize a back’s floor, and, more importantly, unlock his ceiling”. That’s money right there, Ben. Thanks for the excellent analysis!

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