Best Kalshi Predictions Today

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How Our Kalshi Predictions Work

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Our best Kalshi predictions today are designed to help you quickly find an edge on the Kalshi Prediction Markets app. They should be viewed as a cheat sheet that saves you time and increases your chances of winning by highlighting the biggest edges based on today’s projections.

With this tool, you can find YES trades for players on Kalshi, alongside a calculated win percentage and graded “edge.” Check out our Kalshi promo code and find out more about our tool below.

What factors do your Kalshi picks for today consider?

We combine a picks model, simulations, and current market data to help assess expected value of the best Kalshi predictions for today. The underlying model is unique to each sport, but the goal is the same: determine the most likely outcome (Yes or No) to win and the expected win percentage.

On a deeper level, we have a full team designated to determine our model inputs and monitor our projections, including relevant news such as weather and injuries. This is what makes our Kalshi predictions unique compared to other products. Our Kalshi predictions aren’t simply the results of an unmonitored, automated system. We consider the full context of a player’s matchup — their opponents, weather, conditions, injuries, and other relevant news that may impact their usage and success in their upcoming game or event.

How much can I trust your Kalshi predictions?

You should take our recommended trades as the starting point of your own research. We can’t promise they will win — playing on Kalshi Prediction Markets should always, and only, be viewed as a form of entertainment — but you can make informed decisions by referencing our Kalshi projections, as they are the product of a finely-tuned model combined with analysis from our team of experts.

How often are the Kalshi predictions updated?

This page is updated with the best Kalshi predictions at least once every 10 minutes, as soon as the picks model is activated for the day by our projections team. This typically occurs no later than 10:00 AM ET, and updates continue until 11:00 PM ET.

What sports do your Kalshi picks cover?

We have Kalshi picks for NBA, NFL, NHL, and more. We may expand our Kalshi Prediction Markets projections as the platform adds more sports, so stay tuned. Our most popular Kalshi predictions right now are for the NBA.

What if a player in my Kalshi lineup doesn’t play?

If a player doesn’t play due to injury or other reasons, Kalshi typically voids that market, but you should read the rules of each market offered on their website. Check our news updates for the latest on player status to help avoid selecting players who may sit out a game.

How do I access your Kalshi predictions?

You can access all of our Kalshi trades, plus more, by signing up for our Props & Pick’em package. Those who have yet to join the platform can do so with the help of the Kalshi promo code.

Kalshi Predictions Tool Glossary & Terms

EDGE This is the conservative percentage above the market’s implied probability we expect for this pick. Every trade has an implied probability based on the current Yes price on Kalshi. These are shaded on a green-to-red scale (the greener a pick, the better). We estimate the implied probabilities and attempt to show you which selections are most likely to be profitable.

GRADE A star rating system designed to compare today’s predictions to the best quality of predictions that could exist on any day, with 5 stars being best.

WINPCT This stands for win percentage. This is the expected rate that our Kalshi predictions model thinks the selected side (YES or NO) will win.

PICK This is the side of the projection we think is more likely to win, based on the calculations of our Kalshi picks model.

PROJ Short for projection. The projection is the current Yes price on Kalshi expressed as American odds. This is the market-implied probability you are betting against.

TYPE The statistic or category being offered by Kalshi Prediction Markets. These may be traditional stats like points, rebounds, and assists, or combined categories like Points + Rebounds + Assists.

NAME EDGE GRADE WINPCT PICK LINE TYPE SPORT TEAM PRICE
Derrick White 6.3% ★★★☆☆ 67.3% More 2.5 Threes NBA BOS 60.9
Donovan Mitchell 4.6% ★★½☆☆ 66.6% More 2.5 Threes NBA CLE 62.0
Payton Pritchard 4.5% ★★½☆☆ 46.5% More 3.5 Threes NBA BOS 42.0
Sam Hauser 3.6% ★★½☆☆ 29.5% More 14.5 Points NBA BOS 26.0
Klay Thompson 3.4% ★★☆☆☆ 59.3% More 9.5 Points NBA DAL 55.9
Donte DiVincenzo 3.3% ★★☆☆☆ 58.3% More 3.5 Assists NBA MIN 55.0
NFL NBA NHL MLB CBB PGA

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About the Author

ChrisGimino
Chris Gimino (ChrisGimino)

Chris Gimino is a top 4 most accurate fantasy football expert (per FantasyPros) and a key contributor at RotoGrinders. Alongside our team of specialists, his work drives projections, simulations, ownership insights, and analytics across 15+ sports, supporting betting, DFS, and fantasy pick’em contests.

A Best Ball Millionaire finalist, multiple-time DFS Live Finalist, winner of six-figure prizes, and the inaugural FastDraft Origins champion, Chris brings a wealth of experience to deliver actionable tools and expert advice for RotoGrinders Premium subscribers. Follow Chris on X – @ChrisGimino