THE BAT Projected Lineups

Before official lineups are released, these are the lineups THE BAT is projecting each starting pitcher against. Whenever possible, these will be the same projected lineups as the RotoGrinders Starting Lineups page. On rare occasions (such as double-headers), THE BAT will instead use the previous lineup a team used against a RHP/LHP (with a few automated adjustments) to determine what lineup to project each starting pitcher against. This page displays these lineups (or the official lineups, once released). Several users have requested this to get a sense of how THE BAT’s projections may change once official lineups are released. If a team’s star player could be out of the lineup today and the projected lineup has him playing, that could significantly change the opposing pitcher’s (and his own team’s) projections. This page also lists each team’s combined, weighted, underlying strikeout rate against the starting pitcher’s handedness, so you can get a sense of which teams are more strikeout-prone for the SP’s matchup.

PITCHER OPP OL WOBA K% BB% 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 5TH 6TH 7TH 8TH 9TH
Seth Lugo COL false 0.297 27.1% 7.8% Charlie Blackmon Ezequiel Tovar Ryan McMahon Elias Diaz Brendan Rodgers Brenton Doyle Nolan Jones Michael Toglia Jake Cave
Matt Manning CIN false 0.313 26.0% 9.2% Jonathan India Elly De La Cruz Jeimer Candelario Spencer Steer Nick Martini Tyler Stephenson Noelvi Marte Will Benson Stuart Fairchild
Cade Povich OAK false 0.305 25.5% 8.2% Max Schuemann Miguel Andujar Brent Rooker Shea Langeliers Daz Cameron Zack Gelof JJ Bleday Tyler Nevin Brett Harris
Logan Allen SFG false 0.309 25.2% 8.8% Jorge Soler Austin Slater Heliot Ramos Matt Chapman Luis Matos David Villar Nick Ahmed Curt Casali Tyler Fitzgerald
Kyle Hendricks LAA false 0.312 25.0% 8.2% Nolan Schanuel Taylor Ward Miguel Sano Willie Calhoun Logan O'Hoppe Brandon Drury Zach Neto Mickey Moniak Jo Adell
Hunter Greene DET false 0.306 24.9% 8.4% Matt Vierling Colt Keith Riley Greene Mark Canha Wenceel Perez Justyn-Henry Malloy Zach McKinstry Jake Rogers Parker Meadows
This content is available to MLB subscribers

Gain Instant Access to this MLB Content

  • LineupHQ Optimizer loaded with player projections, ownership % for big slates, and more
  • Includes comprehensive tools and articles
  • Cash and tournament strategy from top ranked DFS experts
  • Expert help and community interaction in our Premium Discord
Access Now

About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty