THE BAT Projected Lineups

Before official lineups are released, these are the lineups THE BAT is projecting each starting pitcher against. Whenever possible, these will be the same projected lineups as the RotoGrinders Starting Lineups page. On rare occasions (such as double-headers), THE BAT will instead use the previous lineup a team used against a RHP/LHP (with a few automated adjustments) to determine what lineup to project each starting pitcher against. This page displays these lineups (or the official lineups, once released). Several users have requested this to get a sense of how THE BAT’s projections may change once official lineups are released. If a team’s star player could be out of the lineup today and the projected lineup has him playing, that could significantly change the opposing pitcher’s (and his own team’s) projections. This page also lists each team’s combined, weighted, underlying strikeout rate against the starting pitcher’s handedness, so you can get a sense of which teams are more strikeout-prone for the SP’s matchup.

PITCHER OPP OL WOBA K% BB% 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 5TH 6TH 7TH 8TH 9TH
Blake Snell LAA false 0.317 27.1% 8.7% Vaughn Grissom Mike Trout Jo Adell Jorge Soler Oswald Peraza Zach Neto Yoan Moncada Logan O'Hoppe Bryce Teodosio
Clay Holmes NYY false 0.338 25.5% 10.6% Trent Grisham Ben Rice Aaron Judge Cody Bellinger Jazz Chisholm Ryan McMahon Spencer Jones Anthony Volpe Austin Wells
Tanner Bibee CIN false 0.321 24.9% 9.7% Will Benson Elly De La Cruz Sal Stewart JJ Bleday Spencer Steer Nathaniel Lowe Tyler Stephenson TJ Friedl Matt McLain
Edward Cabrera CHW false 0.314 24.5% 9.3% Sam Antonacci Munetaka Murakami Miguel Vargas Colson Montgomery Chase Meidroth Andrew Benintendi Jarred Kelenic Tristan Peters Drew Romo
Zack Littell BAL false 0.330 24.4% 9.1% Gunnar Henderson Taylor Ward Adley Rutschman Pete Alonso Samuel Basallo Tyler O'Neill Colton Cowser Coby Mayo Jeremiah Jackson
Merrill Kelly COL false 0.305 24.1% 7.3% Edouard Julien Mickey Moniak Hunter Goodman T.J. Rumfield Tyler Freeman Troy Johnston Willi Castro Ezequiel Tovar Jake McCarthy
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty