THE BAT Projected Lineups

Before official lineups are released, these are the lineups THE BAT is projecting each starting pitcher against. Whenever possible, these will be the same projected lineups as the RotoGrinders Starting Lineups page. On rare occasions (such as double-headers), THE BAT will instead use the previous lineup a team used against a RHP/LHP (with a few automated adjustments) to determine what lineup to project each starting pitcher against. This page displays these lineups (or the official lineups, once released). Several users have requested this to get a sense of how THE BAT’s projections may change once official lineups are released. If a team’s star player could be out of the lineup today and the projected lineup has him playing, that could significantly change the opposing pitcher’s (and his own team’s) projections. This page also lists each team’s combined, weighted, underlying strikeout rate against the starting pitcher’s handedness, so you can get a sense of which teams are more strikeout-prone for the SP’s matchup.

PITCHER OPP OL WOBA K% BB% 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 5TH 6TH 7TH 8TH 9TH
Emerson Hancock LAA false 0.318 25.6% 8.8% Zach Neto Mike Trout Nolan Schanuel Jorge Soler Yoan Moncada Jo Adell Josh Lowe Logan O'Hoppe Oswald Peraza
Mason Fluharty CHW false 0.303 25.4% 8.0% Chase Meidroth Munetaka Murakami Miguel Vargas Colson Montgomery Austin Hays Andrew Benintendi Tristan Peters Reese McGuire Luisangel Acuna
Carmen Mlodzinski BAL false 0.325 25.3% 9.4% Taylor Ward Gunnar Henderson Pete Alonso Adley Rutschman Samuel Basallo Tyler O'Neill Colton Cowser Coby Mayo Blaze Alexander
Max Meyer NYY false 0.334 25.2% 10.7% Trent Grisham Aaron Judge Cody Bellinger Ben Rice Giancarlo Stanton Jazz Chisholm Austin Wells Jose Caballero Ryan McMahon
Kumar Rocker CIN false 0.311 25.0% 8.8% TJ Friedl Matt McLain Elly De La Cruz Sal Stewart Eugenio Suarez Spencer Steer Will Benson Tyler Stephenson Ke'Bryan Hayes
Jesus Luzardo COL false 0.299 24.7% 6.7% Tyler Freeman Hunter Goodman Willi Castro Ezequiel Tovar Jordan Beck Brenton Doyle T.J. Rumfield Kyle Karros Jake McCarthy
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty