Slates

THE BAT Projected Lineups

Before official lineups are released, these are the lineups THE BAT is projecting each starting pitcher against. Whenever possible, these will be the same projected lineups as the RotoGrinders Starting Lineups page. On rare occasions (such as double-headers), THE BAT will instead use the previous lineup a team used against a RHP/LHP (with a few automated adjustments) to determine what lineup to project each starting pitcher against. This page displays these lineups (or the official lineups, once released). Several users have requested this to get a sense of how THE BAT’s projections may change once official lineups are released. If a team’s star player could be out of the lineup today and the projected lineup has him playing, that could significantly change the opposing pitcher’s (and his own team’s) projections. This page also lists each team’s combined, weighted, underlying strikeout rate against the starting pitcher’s handedness, so you can get a sense of which teams are more strikeout-prone for the SP’s matchup.

PITCHER OPP OL WOBA K% BB% 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 5TH 6TH 7TH 8TH 9TH
Sam Aldegheri BAL false 0.325 27.9% 9.0% Taylor Ward Gunnar Henderson Sam Huff Pete Alonso Coby Mayo Samuel Basallo Tyler O'Neill Jackson Holliday Blaze Alexander
Anthony Kay CLE false 0.302 27.9% 8.4% Travis Bazzana David Fry Brayan Rocchio Rhys Hoskins Kyle Manzardo Gabriel Arias Stuart Fairchild Kahlil Watson Patrick Bailey
Jake Bennett COL false 0.305 24.1% 6.6% Willi Castro Tyler Freeman T.J. Rumfield Hunter Goodman Ezequiel Tovar Cole Carrigg Jake McCarthy Kyle Karros Braxton Fulford
Foster Griffin PHI false 0.331 24.1% 8.0% Trea Turner Kyle Schwarber Bryce Harper Alec Bohm Brandon Marsh Edmundo Sosa Bryson Stott J.T. Realmuto Derek Hill
Brandon Woodruff CIN false 0.319 24.0% 8.5% Blake Dunn JJ Bleday Sal Stewart Nathaniel Lowe Spencer Steer Noelvi Marte Matt McLain Tyler Stephenson Edwin Arroyo
Kumar Rocker MIA false 0.314 23.9% 8.2% Jakob Marsee Otto Lopez Kyle Stowers Xavier Edwards Heriberto Hernandez Owen Caissie Leo Jimenez Joe Mack Esteury Ruiz
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty