Tournament Winner Bet Probabilities & ROI

GOLFER BETTING LINE IMPLIED WIN PROB MODEL WIN PROB ROI
Dustin Johnson 800 11.1 9.0 -18.8
Rory McIlroy 1200 7.7 2.9 -61.8
Justin Thomas 1400 6.7 4.0 -39.6
Brooks Koepka 2000 4.8 3.2 -33.4
Jason Day 2000 4.8 2.6 -45.0
Justin Rose 2200 4.4 5.0 14.7
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About the Author

colekev
Kevin Cole (colekev)

Kevin Cole previously worked on Wall Street as an equity and credit analyst before transitioning to data-related sports analysis. For a number of years, Kevin has specialized in creating predictive sports models that includes published work at Pro Football Focus, Rotoworld, numberFire, and RotoViz. He is now the Director of Data and Analytics at RotoGrinders.