Lesson 4: Usage, Assist, and Rebound Rates
If we look at FanDuel scoring, there are only five ways you can gain positive fantasy points (a turnover is -1) in NBA DFS:
Scoring (FT = 1 pt; 2-pt FG = 2 pts; 3-pt FG = 3 pts)
Assists (1.5 pts)
Rebounds (1.2 pts)
Blocks (3 pts)
Steals (3 pts)
To make what could turn into a very long story short, blocks and steals have a much higher variance than the other three stats since they happen less frequently throughout a game. That means that scoring, assists, and rebounds are the easiest things for us to predict when trying to project how a player will perform when factoring in all of these moving parts. And by “moving parts” I mean how Player X (LeBron) being inactive affects Player Y (Kyrie).
We already know from Lesson 3 that Kyrie’s fantasy point-per-minute rate skyrocketed in 2016-2017 when LeBron was not on the floor. But let’s spend a little bit of time digging into why that is, as it will help you with decisions when similar scenarios present themselves with other teams in the future.
Our Premium content will teach you how to be a successful DFS player
- To access this course, you need to have a subscription to RG Premium.
- A Premium subscription will allow you to access this course and all other RotoAcademy courses, as well as Consensus Value Rankings, daily analysis from top-ranked experts, and much more.