The Ceilings and Floors of Wide Receivers
One important aspect in fantasy football is having reasonable expectations and using those expectations to form a process. So, when discussing an individual player or a subset of guys’ ceiling and floors, I think it’s completely relevant to review what type of output we should expect on a weekly basis.
To do so, I measured wide receivers’ maximum (ceiling) and minimum (floor) output over the past five seasons. A finish inside of the top three (75th percentile) of a single subset of receivers denotes a wide receiver’s average ceiling while a bottom-three (25th percentile) finish counts towards a player’s average floor.
For example, let’s say Dez Bryant finished as the No. 1 fantasy wide receiver in Week 14 in 2014; his output would count towards the subset “WR1” (top three) average ceiling.
All scoring is PPR.
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