NFL Props and Pick'em

From Week 12 to Week 18, the Rams’ pass defense ranked 13th in EPA/play and 22nd in DVOA. Notably, they ranked 27th in explosive play% allowed during that span – consistently allowing big plays through the air with S Quentin Lake sidelined due to injury.

The good news for the Rams is that Lake returned for the team’s Wild Card matchup against the Panthers. The bad news for the Rams is that their defense still had problems containing explosive plays, allowing 3 completions of 20+ yards.

Williams doesn’t offer much stability on a down-to-down basis, but he extends plays and usually finds a way to connect for at least 1 or 2 deep balls each week. He hasn’t gone under 212 passing yards in a home game since mid-October.

The weather forecast seems a little bit overblown for this game as of this writing. Chicago is going to need to find success through the air if they hope to advance to the NFC Championship Game. Expect HC Ben Johnson to have his passing attack ready to roll in this one.

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