| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-27 | vs. CHC | $7.7K | $6.5K | 2.15 | 4 | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27.27 | 0 |
| 2020-09-25 | vs. CHC | $7.7K | $6.5K | -0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.77 | 0 |
| 2020-09-23 | @ CLE | $7.7K | $6.5K | -1.85 | -2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-18 | @ CIN | $7.7K | $6.5K | 11.45 | 19 | 4 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.29 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15.45 | 0 |
| 2020-09-14 | vs. MIN | $7.7K | $6.5K | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-09 | @ PIT | $7.5K | $6.5K | 6.1 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 2020-08-22 | @ CHC | $7.7K | $6.5K | 13.85 | 23 | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.09 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.92 | 0 |
| 2020-08-17 | vs. DET | $7.7K | $6K | 21.7 | 38 | 10 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19.31 | 0 |
| 2020-08-11 | @ DET | $7.7K | $5.7K | 6.3 | 14 | 2 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3.86 | 1 |
| 2020-08-06 | vs. MIL | $7.5K | $6.1K | 1.15 | 10 | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.54 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6.24 | 0 |
| 2020-08-01 | @ KC | $7.2K | $5.7K | 15.45 | 29 | 6 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14.75 | 1 |
| 2020-07-26 | vs. MIN | $6.8K | $6.1K | -3.75 | 2 | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.18 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7.38 | 2 |
| 2019-09-28 | @ COL | -- | -- | 16.9 | 29 | 5 | 4.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.29 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9.66 | 1 |
| 2019-09-22 | vs. PIT | -- | -- | 16.9 | 25 | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8.11 | 0 |
| 2019-09-17 | vs. SD | -- | -- | 12.95 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 2019-09-12 | @ MIA | -- | -- | 6.8 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6.75 | 0 |
| 2019-09-07 | vs. CHC | -- | -- | 12.85 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.4 | 0 |
| 2019-09-01 | @ CHC | -- | -- | 8.35 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 2019-08-26 | vs. STL | -- | -- | -0.55 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| 2019-08-20 | @ STL | -- | -- | 17.05 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10.8 | 0 |
| 2019-08-14 | vs. MIN | -- | -- | 2.85 | 11 | 5 | 3.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12.3 | 1 |
| 2019-08-09 | vs. TEX | -- | -- | 10.25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.6 | 0 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ CHC | -- | -- | 12.15 | 22 | 4 | 4.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8.31 | 1 |
| 2019-07-26 | vs. CHC | -- | -- | 25.85 | 44 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12.8 | 0 |
| 2019-07-20 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 0.8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.25 | 3 |
| 2019-05-27 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 11.7 | 23 | 7 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13.52 | 1 |
| 2019-05-21 | vs. CIN | -- | -- | 9.65 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 2019-05-15 | @ PHI | -- | -- | 15.2 | 28 | 3 | 5.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5.07 | 1 |
| 2019-05-10 | @ CHC | -- | -- | 19.75 | 32 | 3 | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.77 | 1 |
| 2019-05-04 | vs. NYM | -- | -- | 22.2 | 34 | 7 | 5.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11.82 | 0 |
| 2019-04-28 | @ NYM | -- | -- | 7.05 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3.6 | 1 |
Gio Gonzalez Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Gio Gonzalez has a SIERA (4.89) and DRA (4.40) much higher than his ERA (3.64)
Considering a potential washout in Kansas City and likely pitcher friendly conditions in Philadelphia, Milwaukee may easily be the most positive run environment on the board without another park coming even close tonight. This means players need to look at both offenses very seriously tonight. While the Brewers are currently the top offense on the board, the Cardinals check in at a 4.66 implied run line that places them fourth. While Gio Gonzalez has been about average vs RHBs over the last calendar year (.316 wOBA, .336 xwOBA), the advantage for the Cardinals here is that Gio’s 3.64 ERA is well below his 4.89 SIERA and 4.40 DRA, while his .344 xwOBA is 30 points worse than his actual results. A .361 xwOBA over the last 30 days is 40 points worse. His ground ball rate is down to 40.2% this year, which has resulted in 8.4% Barrels/BBE. While he did strike out six Brewers in five innings with just one run in his last start, he did walk four and the advantage generally goes to the offense seeing a pitcher for the second straight outing. Paul Goldschmidt (121 wRC+, .274 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) is unquestionably your top overall bat here. He has a 52% hard hit rate over the last week and is not even that expensive ($4.5K DK, $3.7K FD). Tommy Edman (113 wRC+, .200 ISO) bats second, Marcell Ozuna (99 wRC+, .278 ISO) is in the cleanup spot, and Dexter Fowler (100 wRC+, .176 ISO) should have some value at the top of the order.
Gio Gonzalez in high strikeout spot against Rangers (26.3 K% vs LHP)
Gio Gonzalez hasn’t done much to garner notice in his 45.2 innings for the Brewers. A 14.8 K-BB% is a bit above league average, while his 3.35 ERA is around a run below non-FIP estimators. Gonzalez has a history of being able to suppress HRs, but his 7.5 HR/FB this season is only half the league average, while his 42.2 GB% is the lowest of his career. In a power friendly park, it would seem there would be more home runs in store. Still, he owns a 3.92 DRA and his .328 xwOBA is just about league average, which would seem to make a $7K price tag for his services tonight seem about right. That’s before taking the tremendous matchup into account though. Gonzalez faces off against the Rangers tonight, who have a team 90 wRC+ with a 26.3 K% vs LHP. Additionally, the Rangers lose their DH in an NL park. Tonight’s projected lineup for Texas features five batters above a 25 K% vs LHP this season and only one batter (Hunter Pence) above a .200 ISO vs LHP with a strikeout rate below 30%. So, while Gonzalez may very well regress at some point, his upside is increased in this matchup, making his low price quite the bargain potentially.
Matchup Based Upside
Use left-handed pitchers against the Rangers. Especially when they are on the road and especially when they're playing in a NL Park without a DH. The Rangers have been bad against left-handed pitching this season with the league's fourth highest strikeout rate (26.3%) against southpaws and a below average 90 wRC+. Gio is best reserved for tournaments but he does have some matchup based upside for a cheap price tag.
Mets Could Be Sneaky Vs. Gio
The Mets face Gio Gonzalez in Miller Park tonight with a 4.35 implied total that feels a tad low. Gonzalez showed strong signs of decline in 2018, posting his highest SIERA (4.73) since 2008, his highest xwOBA (.334) since Statcast originated in 2015, and showed a fastball that averaged less than 90 MPH. After struggling to land a job throughout the offseason, Gonzalez’s velo was down about 1 MPH in his first start. He started to show some vulnerability vs. RHB in 2018 with a .333 xwOBA compared to a .295 xwOBA vs. LHB. Pete Alonso (.462 xwOBA vs. LHP since 2018), JD Davis (.413), and Wilson Ramos (.397) are all RHB with nice success vs. LHP. Jeff McNeil (.396), Robby Cano (.354) and Michael Conforto (.329) have also had solid success vs. LHP and could certainly be worth a shot in stacks. Cano has been the Mets’ hottest hitter with a .389 xwOBA over the past 10 days.
The Best of a Thin SP #2 Group
Gio Gonzalez was re-signed by the Brewers a few weeks ago when they decided to move Corbin Burnes to the bullpen, and that opened up a rotation spot. Gonzalez is nothing sexy from a DFS perspective, but tonight's pitching gets thin in a hurry. There are also a lot of great spots for offense on this slate. On sites where you have to take two pitchers, it's a priority to go cheap with the second choice. That's where Gonzalez has some value. He faced this same Mets team last weekend and held them to two runs over five innings, and a similar performance would work tonight if he can add some strikeouts. He should also be allowed to throw a few more pitches after getting to 82 in that start. The Mets are scuffling mightily at the plate right now, having failed to top five runs in a game in a full week. It's not fun to click the button, but Gio is the most logical SP #2 option tonight.
NL Central Champs?
There are only four games being played on Sunday that have any sort of playoff implications behind them. DET @ MIL is one of them as the Brewers will send post-trade deadline acquisition Gio Gonzalez to the mound in an attempt to put Milwaukee in a spot to win the NL Central. A meaningful game is good, but it comes with concern as we already saw Craig Counsell pull Wade Miley after two innings on Saturday night. If Gio isn't near perfect his day will be a short one but it's an undeniably good run prevention spot for the lefty in a matchup against a poor Tigers offense.
Unexciting Option
Gio threw a gem in his first start for the Brewers as the old Nats lefty racked up 28.4 DK points and struck out seven Giants batters over 5.2 IP. Friday's matchup isn't quite as good for Gio as the Brewers host a Pirates team that has been neutral against southpaws this season (21.7 K%, 96 wRC+). Gio is an unexciting option as he's basically been a league average pitcher for his career but he's priced cheap enough that there's room for him to return value on his price tag.
Brewers Debut
Gio Gonzalez is scheduled to make his Milwaukee Brewers debut on Saturday night and he draws a strong matchup against a San Francisco Giants lineup that more closely resembles a Minor League lineup. San Francisco's collective stats versus LHP via PlateIQ: 23.5 K%, .285 wOBA, .130 ISO. The Giants implied run total is trending downwards and sits at 3.6 at the time of this writing. Gio hasn't had a strong 2018 campaign but this is a good contextual spot for the southpaw who should be able to capitalize on his low price tag.
Power hitting catcher hitting cleanup and a great value on FanDuel
Gio Gonzalez allowed just one run to the Mets in seven innings last time out, but still struck out just two and still has just a 2.8 K-BB% over his last 14 starts. The Phillies (5.01) are currently the last of four teams above five implied runs tonight. They line up entirely right-handed against Gonzalez because batters from that side have a .347 wOBA and xwOBA against him this season. Wilson Ramos (161 wRC+, .263 ISO) is the top bat in the lineup by a mile against LHP this season. Both he and Rhys Hoskins (122 wRC+, .147 ISO) cost $4.9K on DraftKings, but the cleanup hitting catcher costs just $2.7K on FanDuel. Jose Bautista (104 wRC+, .185 ISO) and Carlos Santana (104 wRC+, .200 ISO) are the only other bats in the lineup who have had shown significant pop against LHP this year.
Soft tossing lefties may rule this board
Soft tossing (or at least below average velocity) lefties could be a theme on this daily fantasy slate with only six pitchers above a league average strikeout rate. Dallas Keuchel gone at least seven innings in five of his last nine starts, has the third best ground ball rate on the board (53.8%) and the seventh best xwOBA (.309). Most importantly, the Angels are absent their two legitimate right-handed bats. The drawback is his lowered strikeout rate this year (17.5%) and also that of the Angels vs LHP (20.8%). Rich HIll has the second highest strikeout rate on the board (though with just a 9.1 SwStr%) and is actually closer to the bottom of the board than the top with a .343 xwOBA, but it’s been better over the last month (.303) and he’s in a great matchup (Padres 24 K% vs LHP) in a great park. C.C. Sabathia has struck out 19 of his last 47 batters. His .305 xwOBA is sixth best on the board and he has the lowest aEV (84.9 mph). He’s missed two weeks with a knee issue and the Orioles are a predominantly right-handed lineup (.313 wOBA, 13 HRs vs Sabathia this season). That’s not a particularly good right-handed lineup and batters from that side have been just league average against him, but the O’s have just a 21.9 K% vs LHP, despite a 75 wRC+. Andrew Heaney's ERA is up over the last month and he's in a tough spot against the Astros. However, it's in a negative run environment and his estimators have remained on pace with his season rates below four, while his 22.8 K% is sixth best on the board. Jason Vargas has a career high 10.5 SwStr% and just an 85.5 mph aEV. He's allowed just four runs over 11.1 innings in his last two starts and the Nationals are a deep and balanced, but under-performing offense for the entire season now. Gio Gonzalez has been terrible (2.4 K-BB% last 13 starts), but so are the Mets at home (80 wRC+, 8.6 HR/FB) and vs LHP (79 wRC+, 25.5 K%). A couple of RHPs might even be more interesting tonight. Joe Musgrove has gone at least seven innings in eight of his 14 starts. He has set down 13 of his last 53 batters on strikes and has a ground ball rate above 50% in four of his last five starts. His 86.6 mph aEV is sixth best on the board, which gives him the best xwOBA on the board at .291. The Brewers have a 16+ HR/FB at home and vs RHP, but also a 25+ K% at home and vs RHP. Zack Godley is facing a contact prone Seattle offense (20.2%), but his 11.9 SwStr% is highest on the board along with a 50.9 GB% and in an NL park, the Mariners are likely to be without one of their top bats, perhaps Nelson Cruz.