| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-05 | @ CHC | $6.8K | $2.6K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-07-04 | @ OAK | $3.9K | $2.6K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2024-06-30 | vs. DET | $3.6K | $2.6K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2024-06-29 | vs. DET | $3.6K | $2.6K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-06-27 | vs. DET | $3.6K | $2.5K | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2024-06-26 | vs. OAK | $3.6K | $2.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-06-25 | vs. OAK | $3.6K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-05-22 | @ HOU | $3.6K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-26 | vs. MIN | $3.6K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-24 | vs. BAL | $3.5K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-23 | vs. BAL | $3.4K | $2.3K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2024-04-22 | vs. BAL | $3.3K | $2.4K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-04-21 | @ CIN | $3.3K | $2.3K | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2024-04-20 | @ CIN | $3.3K | $2.3K | 26 | 34.7 | 0 | 4 | 1.75 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.75 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 2024-04-19 | @ CIN | $2.8K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-18 | @ TB | $3.2K | $2.3K | 7 | 9.5 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2024-04-17 | @ TB | $3K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-16 | @ TB | $2.9K | $2.3K | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-04-15 | @ TB | $2.9K | $2.3K | 13 | 15.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.55 | 0 |
| 2024-04-14 | @ BOS | $3K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-13 | @ BOS | $2.9K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-10 | vs. TB | $2.9K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-09 | vs. TB | $3.1K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-04-08 | vs. TB | $3K | $2.3K | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2024-04-07 | vs. BOS | $3.1K | $2.3K | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 2024-04-05 | vs. BOS | $3K | $2.3K | 13 | 18.9 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2024-04-03 | @ MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 18 | 24.4 | 0 | 3 | 1.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.67 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.67 | 2 | 2.13 | 0 |
| 2024-04-02 | @ MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-30 | @ BAL | $2K | $2K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-03-28 | @ BAL | $2K | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-26 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2024-03-25 | @ LAD | $4.5K | -- | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-03-24 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 7 | 9.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| 2024-03-22 | vs. CHW | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-20 | @ KC | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-03-19 | vs. CIN | $4.5K | -- | 7 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-03-18 | @ MIL | $4.5K | -- | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2024-03-17 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-14 | @ CHW | $4.5K | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-13 | @ KC | -- | -- | 22 | 27.7 | 0 | 3 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.33 | 0 |
| 2024-03-11 | vs. TEX | $4.5K | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-08 | vs. COL | $4.5K | -- | 21 | 28.7 | 0 | 3 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2.33 | 0 |
| 2024-03-07 | @ SEA | $4.5K | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-06 | @ CHC | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-05 | @ LAD | $4.5K | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2024-03-04 | @ TEX | $4.5K | -- | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2024-03-03 | vs. CHW | $4.5K | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-03-01 | @ SD | -- | -- | 18 | 24.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.67 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.67 | 0 |
| 2024-02-29 | vs. CLE | $4.5K | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2024-02-28 | @ COL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-27 | vs. MIL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-26 | @ SF | -- | -- | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2024-02-25 | @ CIN | -- | -- | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2022-07-29 | @ SD | $2.1K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-07-27 | @ MIL | $2.2K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-07-26 | @ MIL | $2.2K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Miguel Sano Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Miguel Sano led baseball with 22.9% Barrels/BBE this year
Jose Urquidy made just five starts, facing 116 batters. He’s struck out 17. Twelve of those 17 were Rangers. He struck out just five of 63 non-Rangers. This, along with a 35.6 GB% and 89.8 mph EV are concerns, but there’s not much we can tell from such a small sample size. Urquidy impressed with a 19.8 K-BB% in 41 major league innings in 2019. He actually has a large reverse split though, which doesn’t necessarily help him here. RHBs have a career .338 wOBA and .359 xwOBA against him with LHBs at .281 and .270. Even without Josh Donaldson, the Minnesota lineup is loaded with just one batter below a 109 wRC+ vs RHP since last season (30 PA min.). Miguel Sano bats fifth in the order today and may have some value at just $3K on FanDuel. Despite some recent struggles (55 wRC+ last 30 days), Sano still leads the lineup with a .310 ISO vs RHP since last season, which is particularly important with strong winds blowing out to right center in Minnesota today. When Sano hits the ball it goes. His 95.2 mph EV is second in baseball this year, while his 22.9% Barrels/BBE leads all hitters.
Miguel Sano has a 96 mph EV and 25.6% Barrels/BBE
Tarik Skubal struck out a career high eight of 23 Royals last time out and now faces a much tougher Minnesota lineup, but he struck out six of 20 Twins, allowing just a run over six innings a few starts back. Now up to a 25.5 K%, a 28.6 GB% with a 90.1 mph EV have been his bane. It’s led to 9.4% Barrels/BBE and 6.00 ERA, though his estimators are all much lower, including a 4.30 xERA and 4.34 SIERA. The one exception being a 7.52 DRA. The Twins have just a 79 wRC+ vs LHP and 8.5 HR/FB with a 20.9 K% vs LHP this year. A large portion of their right-handed power has been injured this year, but they seem to be back to full strength at this point. As a result, five batters in the projected lineup are above a 120 wRC+ and .210 ISO against LHP since last season. Skubal’s .368 wOBA (.348 xwOBA against RHBs doesn’t help matters either. RH power should be the way to go here and the Twins, in fact, own tonight’s top implied run line (5.58). Nelson Cruz is one of the top destroyers of LHP in the league (218 wRC+, .456 ISO since 2019), but consider Miguel Sano (130 wRC+, .320 ISO) as potentially the better value for $800 less on FanDuel, should he find himself near the top of the lineup tonight. Sano has an obscene 96 mph EV and is barreling 25.6% of his contact this year.
My Top Stack On This Slate
If you’re not stacking in Coors, I think Minnesota is the next best option on this slate. Overall, they’re my favorite stack on this slate. Holland has 280 PA against right-handed hitters since the start of 2019. He has a .401 wOBA with a .318 ISO on 49.7% flyballs with a 48% hard-hit rate in that span. This team was one of the best teams in baseball against left-handed pitching last season. Sano, Cruz, and Garver all have an ISO over .300 against left-handed pitching since the start of 2019. Don’t be afraid to include some of these lefties when stacking this team. I think a lot of people will just stack the righties, which gives you some leverage inside of your stack.
Leverage Stack
Pitching is beyond atrocious on Sunday's main slate and as a result we'll likely see a ton of ownership concentrated on Aaron Civale after his excellent performance against the White Sox to start the season. Civale is a fine overall pitcher, especially in the context of this slate, but it's safe to assume he won't carry a high strikeout rate throughout the season and there's plenty of indication he's not nearly as good of a pitcher as his current Big League ERA tells you he is. Civale ended last year with a 2.34 ERA over 57.2 IP but his 4.61 xFIP viewed him much less favorably, largely due to a poor batted ball profile paired with some batted ball luck. Furthermore, this Twins lineup that is chock full of power is likely to see extremely low ownership due to Civale's high expected ownership, creating an excellent leverage spot for Twins stacks.
Low Owned Power Bats
The Twins have a potent offense that is full of power bats, and they are under-priced on DraftKings. I like them in a full stack or as a compliment to another stack allowing you to get up to some of the premium pitching available on the slate.
Yankees have highest implied total (currently 5.47) out of four teams today
WeatherEdge is projecting a decrease in home runs, and to a lesser degree a decrease in total runs for this matchup between the Twins and Yanks in New York. Still, the game currently has a healthy 9.5 O/U, two runs higher than Rays @ Astros game.
The Yankees will face off versus right-handed Randy Dobnak, who was called up late in the year for the Twins and provided a solid 1.59 ERA / 2.90 FIP / 3.77 SIERA with a 1.13 WHIP and 15.3% K-BB over 28 and 1/3 innings between the bullpen and rotation. Though it’s a small sample, Dobnak has been more effective vs. lefties (.261 xwOBA allowed in 59 PA) than righties (.316 xwOBA allowed in 59 PA). Once Dobnak is done, the Yankees will face a Twins bullpen that has the 3rd best SIERA (3.24) over the past month. Gary Sanchez (.381 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Aaron Judge (.380), Gio Urshela (.365), DJ LeMahieu (.364), Giancarlo Stanton (.362), Edwin Encarnacion (.356), Gleyber Torres (.327), Brett Gardner (.312) and Didi Gregorius (.286) make up all nine options in the Yanks’ projected order. Stanton and Judge have been the Yankees hottest hitters over the past 2 weeks with xwOBAs over .440, while Gregorius and Torres have been cold, each having an xwOBA below .200.
The Twins will matchup with Masahiro Tanaka and currently have a 4.07 implied total which feels a bit low given how stacked this Twins lineup is. Tanaka posted a middling 4.45 ERA / 4.27 FIP / 4.29 xFIP this year, and a similar 4.32 ERA / 3.97 FIP / 4.20 xFIP over the past 30 days. By xwOBA, Tanaka has been mostly platoon neutral over the past 3 years. When Tanaka is chased from the game, the Twins will face a Yanks bullpen that has an 8th best 3.68 SIERA over the past 30 days. Nelson Cruz (.405 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Jason Castro (.386), Jorge Polanco (.355), Jake Cave (.355), Miguel Sano (.350), Luis Arraez (.342), Max Kepler (.340), Eddie Rosario (.326) and Marwin Gonzalez (.313) are all options in the Twins projected order. Cave, Cruz and Sano all have an xwOBA over .425 over the past 2 weeks. Luis Arraez is the only aforementioned name with an xwOBA below .320 over the past 2 weeks. Jake Cave stands out as a very nice value on both major sites, especially given his recent success.
Lineups in New York will feature an abundance of power
Temperatures are expected to be over 30 degrees cooler in New York than Atlanta today and while there appears to be a strong wind, it seems to be blowing across the field, according to weather edge. This still may be the game players want to target for offense tonight. Jose Berrios has both the second lowest strikeout rate (23.2%) and aEV (86.5 mph) on the board today. His 3.68 ERA and 3.85 FIP are quality marks as well, but his 4.44 DRA is actually worst on the board. And while it’s still a better than average mark, his .303 xwOBA is also just one of two above .300 today. In fact, batters from either side of the plate had a .303 xwOBA against him this year with an actual wOBA within three points. Though he seemed to straighten himself out in September (two runs or less in three of his last four starts), Berrios did allow at least three runs in each of his previous six starts. This Yankee lineup is completely stacked. Virtually anyone in it could bat third or eighth. Among those projected, only Didi Gregorius (83 wRC+, .187 ISO) was below a 118 wRC+ vs RHP this year and only Giancarlo Stanton (.156) and DJ LeMahieu (.166) along with Gregorius were below a .200 ISO against RHP this year.
James Paxton gets the ball for the Yankees to start this series. He had an amazing September (1.05 ERA, 2.20 FIP, .245 xwOBA, 30.6 K%), but he also left his last start of the season after a single inning due to glute tightness. He calls it a non-issue and could have amazing upside for just $6.9K in this spot, but the Twins had a 126 wRC+ vs LHP that’s the highest split on the board today. Paxton at less than 100% could be a problem here. The projected lineup for the Twins features four batters above a .400 wOBA and .300 ISO vs LHP this year, all with more than 120 PAs: Mitch Garver, Nelson Cruz, Miguel Sano and C.J. Cron. Beware that the Yankees do have an abundance of quality right-handers they can bring out of the pen if need be here, but these Twins bats were also very strong against RHP as well.
Twins once again have highest total on the slate
The Twins get another nice matchup today, this time versus Jorge Lopez. Lopez has posted a 5.93 ERA / 5.16 FIP with a 1.72 HR/9, 1.45 WHIP, 12.8% K-BB and 9% SwStr. Lopez has some ugly Statcast numbers, including an 11.4% barrel rate, 90.3 MPH aEV and .418 xwOBACON that are among the worst qualified starters in the league. Lopez has been a bit more vulnerable vs. lefties (.369 xwOBA allowed vs. LHB, .341 xwOBA allowed vs. RHB in his career) but can be targeted from both sides of the plate this afternoon. Nelson Cruz (.402 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), LaMonte Wade (.389), Jorge Polanco (.354), Miguel Sano (.350), Luis Arraez (.346), Mitch Garver (.340), Jake Cave (.336), Eddie Rosario (.323) and Marwin Gonzalez (.312) are all potential options in the Twins’ order. Mitch Garver has been on fire with a .524 xwOBA over the past 2 weeks. Arraez stands out as a nice value at just $4k on Draftkings and likely leading off. Cave, Gonzalez and Wade are all $3.7k or less on DK and a cheap way to get exposure to this lineup. The Twins currently have a 6.48 implied total vs. Lopez and the Royals.
Twins have the highest implied total of the slate vs. Sparkman
The Twins have a whopping 7.11 vs. Glenn Sparkman tonight which is easily the highest total on the slate. Sparkman has really been bit by the home run ball this year, as he’s allowed an ugly 2.06 HR/9 which is part of the reason for his inflated 6.02 ERA / 5.89 xFIP / 5.64 SIERA line. He doesn’t miss many bats (12.9% K rate, 7.6% SwStr) and simply does not matchup well with this Twins team that has the 2nd most home runs this year with 201. Nelson Cruz (.403 xwOBA vs. RHP this year), Jason Castro (.383), LaMonte Wade (.356), Jorge Polanco (.355), Miguel Sano (.352), Luis Arraez (.346), Jake Cave (.336), Eddie Rosario (.324) and Marwin Gonzalez (.315) are all potential options in the Twins’ order. Arraez is one of the best bargains on the slate, leading off with a price of $3.9k on DK and $2.6k on FD. Towards the bottom of the order Gonzalez, Cave, Castro and Wade all find themselves with very cheap pricing on each site are great value plays as well.
One Off Bat
Miguel Sano has a great matchup against Glenn Sparkman. Sparkman has struggled all year and Sano has the type of power to win in this matchup. Sano this year against right handed pitching has a 290 ISO and a 51% hard hit rate. Sano is worth the expensive price tag in this matchup where hopefully people don't spend up and we get him at a lower ownership.