| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-26 | vs. DET | $6.5K | $6.2K | 10.05 | 16 | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11.59 | 0 |
| 2020-09-23 | vs. STL | $6.5K | $6.2K | 2.25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-07-27 | @ DET | $6.5K | $6.2K | -2.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2019-09-25 | vs. ATL | -- | -- | 9.7 | 20 | 4 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7.73 | 1 |
| 2019-09-19 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 0.2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6.75 | 1 |
| 2019-09-14 | vs. HOU | -- | -- | 3.25 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1.8 | 0 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ MIA | -- | -- | -2.4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2019-09-03 | vs. DET | -- | -- | 16.55 | 29 | 5 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7.95 | 2 |
| 2019-08-27 | vs. OAK | -- | -- | 18.85 | 38 | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.26 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8.53 | 2 |
| 2019-08-21 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 0.05 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 2019-08-16 | vs. NYM | -- | -- | 18.7 | 37 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.17 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2019-08-10 | @ DET | -- | -- | 41.35 | 67 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15.43 | 0 |
| 2019-08-05 | @ BOS | -- | -- | 16.45 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12.6 | 1 |
| 2019-07-30 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 4.95 | 13 | 4 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8.31 | 1 |
| 2019-07-25 | vs. CLE | -- | -- | 5.65 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-07-19 | @ CLE | -- | -- | -7.1 | -6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 2019-07-02 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 5.7 | 10 | 1 | 3.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.7 | 0 |
| 2019-06-28 | @ CIN | -- | -- | -8.15 | -5 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3.86 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3.86 | 2 |
| 2019-06-25 | vs. ATL | -- | -- | 6.05 | 10 | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11.59 | 0 |
| 2019-06-21 | vs. NYM | -- | -- | 3.2 | 7 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.77 | 1 |
| 2019-06-19 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-14 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 5.95 | 11 | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.84 | 0 |
| 2019-06-10 | @ COL | -- | -- | -2.45 | -2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-06-05 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 1.05 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-02 | @ STL | -- | -- | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-31 | @ STL | -- | -- | -1.85 | -2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-05-24 | vs. CIN | -- | -- | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-23 | vs. PHI | -- | -- | 5.65 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| 2019-05-20 | vs. PHI | -- | -- | 7.3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-05-17 | @ WSH | -- | -- | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-05-15 | @ CIN | -- | -- | 2.3 | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13.64 | 1 |
| 2019-05-09 | vs. MIA | -- | -- | 18.25 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 2019-04-04 | @ ATL | -- | -- | -0.5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 2019-04-03 | @ ATL | -- | -- | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-31 | @ TEX | -- | -- | -5.8 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-28 | @ TEX | -- | -- | -1.85 | -2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mike Montgomery Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Despite injuries, Atlanta lineup should remain potent vs LHP
Mike Montgomery has walked six with as many strikeouts over his last 14 innings (12 ERs). He has allowed the highest rate of contact above a 95 mph EV (45%) and has the second highest xwOBA on the board (.388). Batters from either side of the plate have tattooed him for a wOBA and xwOBA above .350. An Atlanta lineup likely lacking Ronald Acuna and Freddie Freeman tonight is still above five implied runs (5.28) and contains several bats who hammer LHP. Injuries may give Adam Duvall (198 wRC+, .424 ISO), Austin Riley (138 wRC+, .403 ISO) or Adeiny Hechavarria (123 wRC+, .304 ISO) a chance to move up the lineup. All are small sample sizes, but all are also below $2.5K on FanDuel. Josh Donaldson (124 wRC+, .233 ISO) and Ozzie Albies (189 wRC+, .306 ISO) are your more established bats, who will most certainly bat towards the top of the lineup.
Montgomery is too cheap on Draftkings ($4.4k) in great matchup
You can’t find yourself in a much better spot than Montgomery does this afternoon, facing a terrible Marlins’ lineup in the friendly confines of Marlins Park. Montgomery has been serviceable this year, posting a 4.42 ERA, 4.24 xFIP and 4.60 SIERA with a 1.54 WHIP, 10.7% K-BB, 48.7% GB rate and 9.8% SwStr between the bullpen and rotation. The Marlins have just a 78 wRC+ and 22.7% K rate vs. LHP on the year and have just an 81 wRC+ and 26.4% K rate over the past 30 days. Mike Montgomery likely won’t have the platoon advantage vs. a single batter in Miami’s order, but it shouldn’t matter much as Montgomery has actually been slightly better vs. righties (.321 wOBA allowed vs. LHB, .310 wOBA allowed vs. RHB for his career). Montgomery is insanely cheap on Draftkings at $4.4k and will likely be a popular play on there given the matchup and obvious value. He’s much more expensive at $7.8k on Fanduel, though he’s still in play in GPPs. The Marlins currently have just a 4.00 impled total vs. Montgomery and the Royals.
Mike Montgomery has allowed just two ERs with 22 Ks over his last three starts
Mike Montgomery might be a must own on DraftKings tonight where he’s just $4.2K. Getting the worst part of it out of the way, he has some of the worst Statcast numbers on the board with a .374 xwOBA and 45.8% 95+ mph EV. Kevin’s forecast also calls for friendly hitting conditions in a tough park. However, he has been much better since being traded and established in a starting role. He has not allowed an ER over his last two starts against the Tigers (11 Ks), but also the Mets (3 Ks). He struck out seven Red Sox three starts back too with just two ERs. His numbers have vastly improved over the last month (3.81 SIERA, 3.40 FIP) and he’s in a fine spot against a Baltimore offense with a 19.3 K-BB% and 10 Hard-Soft% vs LHP this year. The projected lineup for Baltimore tonight includes just three batters above a .170 ISO and only one below a 21.6 K% vs LHP this year. Considering the upside at the top end of the spectrum tonight, a Montgomery/$10K+ pitcher combination might be too much to pass up tonight.
Mike Montgomery has allowed 10 ERs in 11.1 IP since being traded
Mike Montgomery has allowed 10 ERs in 11.1 innings over three starts for the Royals. In other words, he’s been just as bad for them as he’d been for the Cubs. Even after just 38.1 innings pitched this season, his numbers are absurdly poor, including a 13.2 K%, 25.8 HR/FB, 8.50 DRA, 33.1 LD%, 93.4 Z-Contact%, .411 xwOBA, 90.6 mph aEV and 48.1% 95+ mph EV. While the Red Sox own just a 99 wRC+ vs LHP this season, that comes with a 21.1 K%, 17.3 HR/FB and board high seven implied runs. Considering that only a hobbled Yankee offense additionally reaches above 5.7 and the Red Sox should be well represented in lineups tonight and staples of any cash game lineup. Considering batters from either side of the plate exceed a .340 wOBA and xwOBA against Montgomery over the last calendar year, there’s not a bad looking bat in this projected lineup. J.D. Martinez (231 wRC+, .463 ISO, .481 xwOBA vs LHP last calendar year) has to be the top batter on the board tonight and probably still a pretty strong value above $5K on DraftKings/$4K on FanDuel. His 215 wRC+ and 46.7 Hard% over the last seven days are both tops among tonight’s projected starters and he has a .320 ISO at home since the start of last season.
Mike Montgomery has a .421 xwOBA and 49.5% 95+ mph EV
Mike Montgomery lasted 11 batters against these same Indians in his first start of the season after being traded last week. He may be in line for about four innings/60 pitches tonight and has some absolutely brutal numbers, including a 14.2 K%, 35 LD%, 91.8 Z-Contact%, .421 xwOBA, 91.5 mph aEV, 49.5% 95+ mph EV. Unfortunately, the Indians have just a 13.8 HR/FB and 88 wRC+ vs LHP, while transitioning to a power suppressing park tonight, but batters from either side of the plate are above a .350 wOBA and xwOBA against Montgomery over the last calendar year, while Kansas City is actually a positive overall run environment. Jordan Luplow (158 wRC+, .325 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) costs less than $3K on FanDuel tonight. His .362 xwOBA against southpaws over this span is 54 points less than his actual results, suggesting a good amount of regression, but still an All Star quality performance. Francisco Lindor (114 wRC+, .188 ISO), Oscar Mercado (115 wRC+, .192 ISO) and Carlos Santana (136 wRC+, .178 ISO) are all above average bats against batters from either side of the plate and should remain a positive value against bullpen arms after seeing Montgomery twice at the top of the order. The Indians are the number three offense on the board at 5.4 implied runs tonight.
Start of Tuesday's PIT-CHC lineup will be delayed due to rain
The start of the matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs on Tuesday night will be delayed due to rain. There’s yet to be any confirmation of an official start time, and the Cubs have not committed to a specific timeline for providing further updates. The confirmed late start is potentially better news for the prospects of starting pitchers like Mike Montgomery and Chris Archer not being pulled from their starts early because of a mid-game delay, and as Kevin Roth detailed in the latest update to his MLB weather forecast, players from this contest should remain firmly in play for all formats with late postponement concerns remaining fairly low.
A value play and a potentially under the radar one
Johan Camargo (119 wRC+, .234 ISO vs LHP this season) moves up to the second spot in the order for the Braves against Mike Montgomery and is the value play in this Atlanta lineup for less than $4K. A modest 4.5 run line is good enough for fifth best on the board for the Braves. Montgomery doesn't have much of a platoon split and keeps batters from either side of the plate on the ground over 50% of the time, but xwOBA has batters from either side of the plate above .330 against him and Freddie Freeman (154 wRC+, .246 ISO) has been tearing up same-handed pitching this year. He's a reasonable $4.2K on DK tonight. The value play and the sneaky power play would make a nice mini-stack with Ronald Acuna (136 wRC+, .270 ISO) at the top of this lineup.
Tuesday night's forecast is not without risk
There are a few spots with at least a chance of rain on Tuesday night with one spot in particular looking a bit risky. Kevin's full updated forecast is up on the Weather page. Premium subscribers can get the latest updates on Crunch Time at 6:30 ET.
Six pitchers on tonight's slate have an aEV below 86 mph with low Barrel and 95+ mph rates too
Tuesday night's slate is particularly abundant in strong contact managers with 11 pitchers carrying an average exit velocity below 86 mph. Six of those have allowed barrels on 5% or fewer of batted balls and 95 mph exit velocity on less than 30% of batted balls. Those six may include some pitchers on players' radars, but also probably many who aren't (and probably shouldn't be due to either low strikeout or high walk rates or both). They are C.C. Sabathia (84.1 mph aEV, 4% Barrels/BBE, 29.6% 95+ mph EV), Chase Anderson (84.5 mph, 4.4%, 25.5%), Jose Berrios (85.3 mph, 4.6%, 28.7%), Mike Montgomery (85.1 mph, 3.2%, 28.4%), Odrisamer Despaigne (82.3 mph, 3.9%, 28.4%) and Trevor Williams (84.8 mph, 5%, 28.7%). Anderson and Montgomery have workload concerns. The former has only completed six innings once in six starts since returning from injury, while the latter has thrown more than 90 innings just once this season. Sabathia has increased his strikeout rate to 21.4% over the last month, but with a small drop in swinging strike rate to 8.2%. Despaigne has an 11.3% strikeout rate and has worked almost exclusively out of the pen until recently. Williams has just a 17.5 K% this season and an 11.8 BB% over his last six starts, which has held him to five innings or less in three of them. Berrios is probably the most interesting name, but he has one of the more difficult matchups at Yankee Stadium tonight. He's also been fairly inconsistent, striking out seven or more in four straight before six strikeouts to go with six walks over his last two starts. He had a stretch of eight straight starts with six strikeouts or fewer to start July too. Whether considering rostering any of these pitchers or not, players may want to think twice about rostering batters against them as well.
Wrigley is the lone area of concern in Kevin's evening forecast.
The good news is that other than wind conditions, only one game is even mentioned as a weather risk in Kevin's evening forecast. The bad news is that the forecast is a slight downgrade from the morning forecast. The Pirates @ Cubs is now considered YELLOW/ORANGE. Mike Montgomery could have gotten some play as a low priced pitcher in a decent spot, but the additional risk of a delay may have players reconsidering now. While PPD risk is low, it's not completely out of the question, which could also put some potentially useful lower priced bats in this game at risk. Aside from reading the report on the Weather page, players should certainly tune into Kevin's updates in Premium Expert Chat for more on this game.